Hal Marshall Profile picture
Sep 13, 2020 6 tweets 1 min read Read on X
More strategic thinking from Bloomberg — he wants to eliminate trump’s ability to say he won on election night by denying him a critical 29 electoral votes. washingtonpost.com/politics/bloom…
“Bloomberg’s aim is to prompt enough early voting that a pro-Biden result would be evident soon after the polls close. Florida, unlike other swing states, reports almost all early ballots shortly after voting ends.
“Democrats and Republicans have worried that early results will dictate public perceptions of who will ultimately win the election. In many states, the first reported votes are more Republican, …
“but the numbers turn more Democratic over time as more mail-in and early votes are added to the tally.
“ ‘It would give lie to what we expect to be Trump’s election night messaging that Democrats are stealing the election, because unlike other battleground states, Florida counts its absentee ballots on or by Election Day,’ Bloomberg adviser Howard Wolfson said.
“ ‘We think Florida is incredibly close but winnable.’ “

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More from @HalMarshall2309

Sep 4
@politicalwire recommends waiting until after Labor Day before paying too much attention to the polls. Here’s his advice on what to make of the polls now. politicalwire.com/2024/09/03/now…
“Don’t make too much of individual polls and follow the polling averages instead. The best polling aggregators are Nate Silver … natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-…
Read 8 tweets
Jul 30
Sad news for trump. Very sad.

“The political world is buzzing, not only over Harris’s momentum but the coming announcement of her choice of running mate.
“Undecided voters are learning about impressive, capable, and normal Democrats all over the country—from Gov. Andy Beshear to Gov. Josh Shapiro to Gov. Tim Walz.
“They’re also seeing clips of the inimitable Pete Buttigieg pop up in their feeds, destroying Trump and Vance on television every few hours.
Read 12 tweets
Jul 28
An interview with the chief author of the American intelligence community’s report on Russia’s interference in the 2016 presidential election.

rollingstone.com/politics/polit…
“The unclassified version of the intelligence report concluded that Putin had ‘ordered an influence campaign in 2016 aimed at the U.S. presidential election,’ had ‘developed a clear preference for [Trump],’ and ‘aspired to help [Trump’s] election chances when possible.’
“The report found broad agreement within the intelligence community except for one point: Had Putin ordered Russia’s spy services to meddle in the election merely to cause bipartisan chaos, or had he wanted Trump to win?
Read 7 tweets
Jul 24
Thanks to @NastyOldWomyn for flagging this article.

“Superficial analyses of why certain tech billionaires are aligning with Trump tend to fixate on issues like taxes & regulations, but that’s only part of the story.
“Tech plutocrats like Thiel & Elon Musk already have money. Now they want power—as much as money can buy.” newrepublic.com/article/183971…
“ … Vance is a Thiel creation. And like his billionaire benefactor—who once wrote, ‘I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible’—Vance embraces a radical ideology hell-bent on destroying government as we know it.
Read 8 tweets
Jul 10
From @JoyceWhiteVance

“For the first time in eight years, the Republican Party has a platform. It’s not written in Sharpie, but it might as well be.”

The twenty point platform can be seen in all its majesty in the article.
open.substack.com/pub/joycevance…
“It’s all in caps, like they’re shouting at us. The content and the form are high-schoolish. It reads as though someone who lacks substance tried to write bumper stickers or poster slogans that sound good but are empty—
“no one, Republican or Democrat, is going to ‘seal’ the border or ‘stop’ inflation. It’s that emptiness, ending with ‘Unite our country by bringing it to new and record levels of success,’ that captures the hollow spirit of this new Republican platform.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 4
From the @ProjectLincoln podcast today.

Research shows 15% of voting age Americans lack the ID they’ll need to vote.

The problem Voter ID laws is designed to prevent- illegal voting - is as rare as pink elephants.

Now is the time to get proper ID. Voteriders can help.
From The Lincoln Project: Every Vote Counts with Lauren Kunis, Jul 4, 2024

This material may be protected by copyright.podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…
Rick Wilson:

“What happens when someone reaches out to VoteRiders and says, help, I can't get registered to vote, what do I do?”
Read 12 tweets

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