THREAD on the very deep hole the USA finds itself in, & how, if history indeed repeats itself, it will try to get out of it.

I was going to write new, detailed info about the Yellow Vest movement, but I realised it may bore many. So instead I will write about the wider picture.
2. I am sure that most know about what the Federal Reserve has been doing as of late. And I am sure that most know that it leads to hyperinflation. But some seem to think it will lead to stagflation first, and then giga-inflation later.

I agree with the latter.
3. Sadly, many websites like to peddle fear porn and affirm every day that the US economy is going to suddenly collapse like an avalanche.

This is nonsense. It will not just collapse like an imploding star. It will be gradual and happen over a long period of time. But how long?
4. In very simple terms: the big hyperinflation wave caused by the Fed’s covid QE fiat injections, not to mention the rot from the earlier 2007 mess, will start to touch shore in about 7-10 years from now. Until then - stagflation. BUT, the Q is: can the Fed mitigate this?
5. If to take Japan as an example, we can see that an economy that is truly rotten-to-the-core on paper can actually seem to be okay. Infrastructure functions normally, technology is still being developed, etc. Nothing scary. Will the Fed be able to replicate this in the USA?
6. In 2024 I strongly suspect Trump Jr will run for President. Who the Dems will put forward is anyone’s guess. At this time a new era of US politics will begin, but the stagflation problem will continue unabated. To be clear: the damage the Fed inflicted is 110% irreversible.
7. Will Trump Sr & Jr be able to fully drain the swamp by 2030? I doubt it. After all, what has Trump Sr done in 4 years? Anyone been jailed? Nope. Big Tech, Clinton, Biden, Obama etc are untouchable. But this isn’t to say that alliances won't shift or some draining won't happen.
8. My deep feeling is that there will be endless stagflation until literally the horse has died and flogging any more is physically impossible. To stop this, Trump has to choke the MIC and bring all US troops back home. Again, the odds are seriously stacked against him.

All these links show how the MIC actually works vis-a-vis its lobbying power and total control over US foreign policy. So yeah, draining this part of the swamp is more than an uphill battle.
11. So, how can the USA climb out of this deep hole? Well, the same way it has done it multiple times in the past: world war.

The fruits of the plundering the US did of Europe after WW2 - which is why the Anglos provoked it in the first place - have run out.
12. In order to compensate for stagflation and an empty piggy bank, the USA needs to provoke another world war, so it can once again loot Europe and palm off its toxic debt. A reshuffling of the cards, as it were. Problem: in the 21st C, it’s not possible.
13. Russia & China are too powerful, so a direct clash is out of the question. This leaves only 1 option: a hybrid conflict on European soil. For example, it can involve a rehash of ISIS - with an epicentre in Bosnia/ Kosovo/Albania, thus trigging takfiri cells in Western Europe.
14. Again, this is just an example. The most important takeaway here is that the “world war” has to be non-nuclear and must happen on EU soil. Maybe it will involve Germany again, since the USA likes to encircle it every time it floats out of its orbit & flirts with Russia.
15. I stress: the USA is left with no choice but to reset its economy. But it doesn’t mean it will happen any time soon. As I said, it can be in 10 years, when the brunt of the Fed’s f*ckery really starts to hit home. But something serious has to be done nevertheless.
16. From Trump’s perspective, the ideal scenario is to use the model imposed on Japan - use all manner of dirty economic tricks to at least preserve the facade that everything is okay. But this is just buying time. Regardless of what bills he signs, unemployment will not go down.
17. Russia (and China) is not stupid, and has very detailed 20 year forecasts. The movements Russia makes today take into account what will happen in the short, medium, and long term. No decision is made without ticking these 3 boxes. Moscow is very aware of the US’ predicament.
18. For Russia, the aim is to pen the USA in and prevent it from shifting its toxic debt onto Europe via "world war”. So far it is succeeding to assert its influence in Western Europe, but Eastern Europe (limitrophes) are a problem. The USA uses them as a cordon sanitaire.
19. Moscow’s response to this has been to completely cut funding to the limitrophes and let them choke on their own “democracy” and “freedoms” (read: IMF debt + NATO strangulation = USA plundering). USA tried to compensate by grasping at Belarus, but the FSB outplayed the CIA.
20. So once again Germany is back in the spotlight. USA will not allow Berlin-Moscow rapprochement on any conditions. Trump will use all tools to strangle German business and make life for Germans a hell. Concerning this, he and the “deep state” are in agreement.
21. The Kaiser “had to go” because of the Berlin-Baghdad railway & general flirtation with Russia. JP Morgan put Adolf in power, who provided the right conditions for the US to brazenly loot Europe (fill the vacuum) & impose the Bretton Woods system on the globe.
22. What the US does after each world war it provokes:

Transfer debt & dump it onto the rest of the world via various post-war austerity/reparations stuff while simultaneously also crippling the industrial/manufacturing base of any major competitors.
23. I haven’t yet even mentioned China, which gives the US another bundle of problems. How to hit Russia and China (this also means Venezuela, Belarus, North Korea) and also appease Israel (and hit Iran) at the same time? Does the US have the resources for all this? No.
24. Russia’s MoD supercomputer (which I’ve written lots about in the past) will try to accurately narrow down the range of movement available to the USA. De-dollarisation is of course an obvious way to shove a stick in the US’ wheels, but there is a need for more flanking.
25. Summary: there is simply no way the US’ economy can continue further without A) massive “deep state” purge, making night of the long knives look like a child’s sandpit quarrel, or B) large-scale “hybrid" war in Europe.

If history wants to repeat itself, it will be option B.

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More from @O_Rich_

18 Jul
THREAD on what’s going on in Russia’s Khabarovsk.

1. The @BBC is, predictably, following its usual policy of presenting absolutely any protest in Russia as some anti-govt uprising.

The British Brainwashing Corporation deliberately shirks from telling key facts about Khabarovsk.
2. The governor of Khabarovsk, Sergey Furgal, was detained under suspicion of him being involved in many murders. One of such murders is that of businessman Roman Sandalov in 2004. At the time, Furgal headed LLC "Mif-Khabarovsk".
3. For more than a decade and a half, the mother of Sandalov tried to achieve justice. She wrote letters to all sorts of authorities, but it was all in vain. Among these letters was an appeal to the head of the LDPR party, which Furgal is a member of.
Read 31 tweets
10 Jul

1. Putin is starting the much-needed purging process after the adoption of the constitution amendments.

All crooks who previously enjoyed US protection during 90s and 2000s will be swept aside, but through the judicial system, as assassinations are what the CIA does.
2. Zhirinovsky blackmailed the Duma by threatening to leave the commissions.

So, goodbye Sir. Both he and Zyuganov were part of the USSR liquidation team working in US interests. There’s no place for traitors like them in 2020 Russia.
3. Sergey Furgal, governor of Khabarovsk and fellow LDPR member, was detained for ordering murders.

Liberal mouthpieces like @meduza_en immediately started chirping in his defence.

Bye bye, Furgal! Don’t let the door hit your ass on the way out!
Read 12 tweets
28 Feb
THREAD: As soon as Erdogan predictably moved to the next phase of exiting the Syrian theatre (pretending to fight “the regime”), and the USA/NATO predictably interfered and fanned the flames, Moscow (also predictably) started to flirt with the Kurds.
99% (no exaggeration) of what I am seeing on s/ media is truly facepalm worthy. Apparently, WW3 is going to break out (yes, again, because for some “strange” reason it didn’t break out the last time the cyber pant-poopers promised it would) and Ankara is going to nuke Damascus 😂
The latest example of idiocy: Russia is in a bad position because it has obligations before Ankara, and thus Assad may be thrown under the bus.


Yes, yes, of course! Putin is really that weak and can capitulate as soon as the kitchen warms by 1℃

[/sarc off]
Read 30 tweets
3 Nov 19
THREAD about “the oil” in Syria, which @realDonaldTrump is deliberately pushing on social media.

1. As I have alluded to a few times, I don’t believe the thesis that the US political system is some unitary block, and that the US just wants oil and that’s it.
2. @ejmalrai has stated many times that a group of US troops cannot stay for long in the middle of the desert. Especially within the framework of a general pullout. Moreover, the US does not have an aim in Syria anymore. Looting some oil is hardly going to bring any fruits.
3. Let’s pick the timeline up at the moment when Trump, Putin, and Erdogan reach an agreement over throwing the Kurds under the bus. It doesn’t matter what he said on Twitter during this operation, the fact remains that he green-lighted Operation Peace Spring.
Read 36 tweets
16 Oct 19
THREAD on some very interesting remarks made by @realDonaldTrump during this conference:

*Paraphrased to save space.*

1. "Why are we protecting Syria's land, Assad's not a friend of ours why are we protecting his land?”

An overt admission that the land belongs to Syria. I.e., US has been occupying Syrian land illegally all this time.
2. "Are we supposed to fight a NATO member so that Syria keeps their land? It makes no sense”

Again, he affirms that it is Syrian land. I.e., recognition of Assad as the leader. But he purposefully doesn’t touch on what a NATO member is doing on Syrian land in the first place.
Read 26 tweets
12 Oct 19
THREAD on the reaction of the “international community’s" to Turkey’s incursion.

1. Just when you think that the “civilised” West and allies couldn’t be any more hypocritical, they all open their mouths and prove you wrong. Some of the reactions ought to be parodies.
2. Let us be honest here - there is no “civil war” in Syria. Every single UNSC member is involved in one way or another. But Russia, for example, did not violate international law. The collective West simply cannot afford to abide by int law (they would lose/be outsmarted).
3. What’s remarkable is that the West is still losing despite the fact that they have spat on the UN charter (the UN being HQd in the USA is not a coincidence; it is biased in favour of the West). And this happened without Moscow violating international law. A masterclass.
Read 24 tweets

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