Phil Kerpen Profile picture
14 Sep, 3 tweets, 1 min read
Federal Judge Rules Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf, Dr. Rachel Levine's Shutdown Orders Unconstitutional cbsloc.al/2RrYqIw#.X1-if…
Here is Judge Stickman's order in Butler v. Wolf.
scribd.com/document/47601…

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More from @kerpen

9 Sep
Cherokee County, Georgia 5 weeks into full-time school at 3 feet distance, masks optional. (The hallway!!!!)

35 of their 62 active cases as of Friday rolled off today.

So going into today they had 27 active cases out of 42,200 students and 4,800 staff.
cherokeek12.net/Content2/cases…
This is a county that opened at near-peak community transmission! Schools are just not high risk settings.

It's disgusting that so many are closed, including in places like DC with microscopic COVID prevalence.
So the real story of that hallway picture -- let the kids go to school and don't put crazy restrictions on them. It's OK. Really.

Never got the hallway freak-out anyway; CDC defines an exposure event as minimum 15 minutes close contact.
Read 4 tweets
3 Sep
United States COVID-19 deaths age stratification

**New age groups added this week**

CDC NVSS Deaths, weeks ending February 1, 2020 to August 29, 2020. As of Septemebr 2, 2020.

data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provision…

Population from CDC Wonder, 2020 projection.
wonder.cdc.gov/population-pro… Image
This new update gives us the first full look at under 18 as a group.

The CDC reports 85 total pediatric deaths with COVID since February 1, out of 18,063 total pediatric deaths (0.5%). Less than pneumonia at 286 (1.6%) and influenza at 122 (0.7%). Image
If we take flu back to the beginning of the season, we're at 188 pediatric lab-confirmed influenza deaths. Image
Read 5 tweets
29 Aug
Turning point? **NYT*** blasts non-infectious positives from miscalibrated PCR tests.
nytimes.com/2020/08/29/hea…
"In three sets of testing data that include cycle thresholds, compiled by officials in Massachusetts, New York and Nevada, up to 90 percent of people testing positive carried barely any virus, a review by The Times found."
"On Thursday, the United States recorded 45,604 new coronavirus cases... If the rates of contagiousness in Massachusetts and New York were to apply nationwide, then perhaps only 4,500 of those people may actually need to isolate and submit to contact tracing."
Read 7 tweets
28 Aug
"The high specificities (usually 100%) reported in PCR-based tests for SARS-CoV-2 infection do not represent the real-world use of these tests, where contamination and human error produce significant rates of false positives."
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Then and now
Read 4 tweets
26 Aug
There will not be much transmission in schools anywhere, regardless of containment or lack thereof. School disruptions have been caused by *community transmission* reflected in schools and ill-advised healthy quarantine policies.
We know this because we have data from all over the world and it is consistent.
The one supposed exception country anti-schoolers flog as if it makes the other three dozen countries irrelevant is actually in line with everything else.
ecdc.europa.eu/sites/default/…
Read 10 tweets
24 Aug
Top UK epidemiologist/government adviser Mark Woolhouse: lockdown was a ‘monumental mistake’ and must not happen again express.co.uk/life-style/hea…
Woolhouse: "Lockdown was a panic measure and I believe history will say trying to control Covid-19 through lockdown was a monumental mistake on a global scale, the cure was worse than the disease."
“I never want to see national lockdown again. It was always a temporary measure that simply delayed the stage of the epidemic we see now."
Read 14 tweets

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