Ketan Joshi Profile picture
14 Sep, 15 tweets, 7 min read
Okay everyone. @renew_economy let me get mad about Australia's great big new push into building big new fossil fuel infrastructure.

Specifically, the threat to build a gas-fired power is *really* weird, very suspicious and deeply embarrassing.

reneweconomy.com.au/morrison-casts…

🧵->
Liddell is a huge coal-fired power station in New South Wales that's set to retire in 2023 ish.

Angus Taylor ran hard with a push to force AGL to keep it open, and ran into a brick wall.

reneweconomy.com.au/morrison-casts…
As I write in @renew_economy, these moments, when coal plants shut down, are flash-points. They shine an ultra-bright torch on something we're good at ignoring: it's better to replace these things *before* they shut down, than afterwards. But we need to *decide*, and plan.
Back in 2017, @UTSISF modelled a range of options for Liddell.

- Keep it open
- Replace it with gas, renewables and batteries
- Replace it with zero emissions only.

Guess which option was cheapest?

reneweconomy.com.au/morrison-casts…
You know what's changed since then? Renewables have become even cheaper, and work to upgrade interconnection has already begun.

That means even *with* Liddell's retirement, the reliability standard won't be breached, because there's so much new clean tech coming on
So......hang on. Angus Taylor's thing says that failing to replace Liddell will lead to wild increases in electricity prices. But AEMO's forward-looking planning report says nothing beyond what's already being built / planned is needed??
So who is this taskforce? Where's there modelling? What are the assumptions? Why doesn't it match up with the grid operator? When was the modelling done? Who did they consult? Are there any vested interests?

Most importantly: why aren't more people asking these questions?
So far:

- NSW DEFINITELY doesn't need a new gas-fired power station

- It doesn't even *really* need any new renewables or dispatchable capacity before 2023 (2039 if you use the old standard...I won't get into it)

- The modelling is secret?
And then, in that sea of weirdness, Angus Taylor promises to Shirtfront The Energy Industry if they fail to meet a 1,000 MW target of new dispatchable capacity that - as @simonahac points out - is *NOT NEEDED* to meet reliability targets???

"It’s worth pausing to reflect on how genuinely silly this situation is. Imagine the communications minister demanding that telecommunications companies build 5G masts, and if they don’t, the government will start building landlines and telegraph poles"

reneweconomy.com.au/morrison-casts…
After the Black Summer bushfire crisis, Australia's government has been in climate policy freefall, descending deeper into weirdness. The only solid through line has been the clumsiest, most open and brazen cronyism for the fossil fuel industry.

reneweconomy.com.au/morrison-casts…
So yeah, I'm mad. We're all mad. This is so, so bad.

This is destructive, and horrific, and it's based on the wildest, weakest and weirdest justifications, because there's no shame about enacting policies so harmful and so horrific.

reneweconomy.com.au/morrison-casts…
Additional reading - the legendary @RichieMerzian



Will add more when I wake up (from not being asleep because I'm bloody fuming)
Please also read @GilesParkinson's piece on this. This is a big deal that sends some dark signals about the near future of climate action in Australia.

reneweconomy.com.au/australia-shou…
And come on, honestly, starting a chart at non-zero for such a small number is about as dodgy as downloading a PDF of a government document and manually replacing numbers, then handing them to a friendly journalist.

reneweconomy.com.au/australia-shou…

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More from @KetanJ0

23 Sep
Not much time but here's a few bits from @PriceofOil's excellent new report on oil and gas companies priceofoil.org/2020/09/23/big… #BigOilReality

Top line: these companies are still VERY far from doing enough to limit emissions....
We need to stop burning fossil fuels, and part of this can only happen if the companies that dig them up stop doing that. There is no escaping that, no matter how hard the 'drug dealer's defence' is invoked.

To have even half a chance, we need to leave a whole lot in the ground Image
So which people at which companies are behaving as if the climate crisis is real, and that the decisions they make every day have consequences on our health and safety?

Yep, you guessed it folks! Bloody none of them! Image
Read 16 tweets
23 Sep
It's been so interesting thinking about international sea-based travel that is (a) very long duration and (b) totally sustainable.

With new, extremely high levels of digital interconnectedness, could it sort of become a...lifestyle?
I'm just thinking of longer trips that are actually comfortable. 38 hours Australia -> Europe on a plane is crap, even without kids. Something comfortable, cheaper (?), with space to move and exist and be fully connected with the world at the same time....that would be something
Anyway, hydrogen planes sound nice to people like you and me, who like machines, but they're also a potential vector for the *delaying* of climate action, as explained with plenty of evidence here -->>
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
There are some stunning statements in this @theprojecttv interview with @ScienceChiefAu that worth digging into.

That they're coming from Australia's **chief scientist** is something that will stick in my mind for some time. Let's dig. 🧵

First of all - as I pointed out the other day, the gov is targeting *in* the 2nd half of the century. Essentially, that is net zero by 2100, 80 years from now, when the vast majority of everyone alive today has perished.

Here, Finkel explicitly defends that goal:
Indeed, Australia's Paris targets - which it is *still* set to miss - draw a straight line to 0 by 2100: reneweconomy.com.au/scott-morrison…
Read 29 tweets
21 Sep
Sorry can someone please explain why the head of Coke got a spot on Australia's 'tech roadmap' board but not anyone from clean energy industries?

Did someone get confused about carbonation in soft drinks? This is the only possible explanation.

abc.net.au/news/2020-09-2…
Wait until they realise the interplay between climate action and the externalised health impacts of sugary soft drinks!
This is easily not even in the top 10 bad things about the current state of climate action in Aus, btw. Please see my post about the top 1 bad thing here:

reneweconomy.com.au/technology-roa…
Read 4 tweets
21 Sep
This is "a new novel I'm working on about truth and reconciliation after a successful Green New Deal saves our civilization from collapse", which sounds extremely interesting...
(it's a long way down the line but of all the possible worlds in which climate change is mostly or fully resolved as a threat to humanity, how that moment is reached will define us as a species for centuries)
Read 4 tweets
21 Sep
It's tricky but there is a rising contingent of people giving up on climate action from younger generations. Doomism's champions have been incredibly effective, and I think they're going to cause much more damage before this movement fades.

theguardian.com/environment/20…
“It is true that the existing approach to climate policy is not going to work, but that is absolutely no reason for doom. It just means we have to be smarter about how we tackle the problem"

Thank you @jasonhickel 👏👏👏
“If the Titanic’s sinking, I don’t wanna just dive into the ocean and then just not come back up. I’m still gonna struggle like, you know, Leonardo DiCaprio.”

I mean, I get it, but Leo's fate wasn't a good example I guess
Read 4 tweets

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