Jonathan Martin Profile picture
Sep 15, 2020 14 tweets 4 min read Read on X
On FLORIDA...

A few more thoughts

1/

nytimes.com/2020/09/14/us/…
I spoke to voters in Venice, Sarasota, St Armands (just across the water) and Longboat Key. Mostly retirees.

The bulk of the conversations reflected the polarized times: people knew who they were supporting and had strong feelings about the race.

But there were nuances...
Biden supporters would shoot a look that said "how could you even ask, ya dope" when asked why they were supporting him.It was, to them, self-evident: because Trump!

Trump supporters were more mixed. A few were hardcore. But most injected some to-be-sure note
It was either "the tweets" or "the tone" or "his mouth." @Peggynoonannyc made this pt in last column - outside his rallies, Trump supporters are far more willing to be candid about his flaws.

But after their to-be-sures, they'd quickly pivot to...
to the pre-virus econ, what they see as his get-it-done leadership style or, most often, making the case *against* Biden and Dems. Ye ole negative partisanship, which was, to put it mildly, also the animating force driving the Biden voters.
What was mostly lacking w Trump supporters, tho, was the sort of contempt for Biden you'd hear about the Clintons four years ago. They'd mock him, repeat Trump lines. But there were little attacks on his character.
*in the way of attacks on his character. ^

Candidates aside, the most striking part of the convos was how they brought pol science alive.

By that I mean the degree to which voters now use events to retrofit their preexisting partisanship...
Reporters talking to voters generation ago would found them moved by events - econ is up/down etc - to support an R or a D. Now events are mostly the raw material voters use to justify their already-determined vote.

NOT in all cases.
Events - the virus, biggest of all - *have* hurt Trump, esp w seniors. The "LOL nothing matters" bit is inaccurate. But in a polarized moment, the shifts are at the margins.

Fla, tho, is a margins state.
And if Trump can't sustain his support in places like Sarasota Co. - where Hillary lost by 11.5 after Obama nearly *won* there in '08 - he won't win Fla again. And he likely can't win the WH without Fla

So people like Michelle, she w/ the wheaten terrier, in the story matter.
Speaking of voters, I encountered.

Dept of Ya Can't Make It Up.

Longboat Key is known as a haven for Midwestern retirees and, sure enough, I happened across the sister-in-law of Mercer Reynolds at the Publix.

Reynolds was nat'l finance chair for W, is from Indian Hills
...and speaking of Cincy, does anything scream “Midwestern transplants” like the below (taken in the Sarasota airport)

#oh #io
And speaking of eats, didn’t know there were Columbia outposts beyond Ybor City!

Got that grouper and yellow rice in St Armands, the first key across water from Sarasota 👇
But if you’re in Sarasota, or just driving up or down 75, can’t recommend Indigenous Restaurant enough. Charming old house, somehow tucked away in downtown Sarasota. Lots of outdoor seats.

Got there during gov race in ‘18 - and it was on point again

indigenoussarasota.com

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More from @jmart

Nov 6
The blame game began shortly after dawn this am

And while Trump's victory may have a thousand fathers, Harris's defeat won't be an orphan

There's lots of blame to go around

My column:

politico.com/news/magazine/…
First, it was the height of irresponsibility for Biden to insist on running for reelection in his 82nd year. It was also an abdication of leadership by his advisers and elected Democrats to never even question his determination to seek a second term until he forced their hand with a catastrophic debate performance.

You know what ad would have replaced the trans surgery spot, had Biden not quit? An endless loop of his unintelligible answers at that debate.
Biden revived Harris’s career after her flop of a primary bid, kept her on the ticket this year despite her low approval ratings and then crowned her within minutes of dropping out of the race in July. With the Democrats’ next-generation talent on deck, Harris would never have been a competitive candidate for her party’s nomination had Biden not made her vice president in the first place.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 19
NEW: One party brings back David Plouffe, the other brings back Corey Lewandowski

As Chicago -- site of so many drama-filled conventions gets underway -- Dems have mostly snuffed out their drama.

I wrote on how Dems have become what Repubs used to be

politico.com/news/magazine/…
Democrats are a healthier, better organized, more hierarchical and even ruthless party. Unified against Trump more than they are dedicated to any ideological project, they’ve adopted what’s effectively an Al Davis platform: Just win, baby.

President Biden is finally going to give in? Get in line behind Harris — now.

The vice president is discarding her now-inconvenient left-wing proposals from her 2020 primary bid and airing tough-on-the-border ads? Nod.

She’s inviting a cast of Obama-era Democratic consultants onto the campaign she inherited from Biden? Salute.
After so many years in which our British cousins have adopted American political tactics, Democrats finally took a page from Westminster. When prime ministers struggle or become impediments to the party’s success, their colleagues abandon them or pressure them until they step down. It’s not personal, it’s business.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 7
NEW: On the vindication of VP’s comfort food pick, the first signs that she’s running in a general election + the shades-of-2008 moment last night that triggered Repubs

Oh, and one victory lap: I told Walz in Dec either he or Beshear would be Kamala’s running mate (he didn’t push back!)

My column from Phila >>

t.co/HDTpyIUwRW
The “only in America” line that triggered the “U-S-A” chant has some Dems wanting more

Including Wes Moore

He thinks Harris should drape her nominating convention later this month, literally and metaphorically, with the stars and stripes.

“This needs to be framed as a celebration of America,” Moore said of the Chicago conclave, urging Harris and Walz “to be unapologetic in speaking about their love of country.
Here’s that memorable Obama to- camera opening spot of the 2008 general I mentioned

This is peak inoculation politics

And. yes, a different time

Read 7 tweets
Jul 31
I had lunch in SF w WILLIE BROWN early last month

Then 6/27 happened

And we lived thru the World Willie Made

On the VP, GAVIN, PELOSI, MAXINE, TRUMP, KIMBERLY and more

Pull up a chair:

politico.com/news/magazine/…
He’s the most enduring Black political figure in America.

You can scarcely find a pol in either party - from LBJ and Pat Brown to Trump and Kamala - to which he doesn’t have a connection

He was elected to the Calif assembly 60 years ago this yr

And in Chi, he’ll be able to offer expert insight on the Democratic nominee - almost 2/3ds a century after he attended JFK’s convention
The story of how Kamala first met Trump involves Willie Brown, Trump Force One, Teterboro and Steve Wynn

Oh plus Harvard and the LA school district, where Trump wanted to build a west coast tower
Read 8 tweets
Feb 5
Now cometh the news cycle when Dems realize Biden is gonna avoid debates, hope they can pin it on Trump for not doing debate commission ones

This has, literally folks, been the Biden plan for a year.

They “believe that Trump or any other Republican nominee will be reluctant to work with the Commission on Presidential Debates, lessening the chances, and risk, of a head-to-head debate.”

politico.com/news/magazine/…
If ya don’t think somebody who’s skipping the super bowl pre game interview two years in a row - a massive free media opportunity - is looking to avoid any unforced errors you should pay closer attention
Read 4 tweets
Apr 4, 2023
Best part of this is how much it contrasts w Biden’s woeful history in Iowa, caucuses and general

He knows who brung him to the dance and it ain’t Iowa

espn.com/womens-college…
Would only be better if it was SOUTH CAROLINA that had won finals 🌴
Read 7 tweets

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