.@RebeccaLissner are excited to release our book today – it’s the product of three years of work and has been anchor as the world has transformed around (all of) us. So what is An Open World? cfr.org/book/open-world
1/9
After 2016, we were surprised how many analysts seem to credit President Trump as the sole antagonist to America’s role in the world and responsible demise of the Liberal International Order. We saw him more of an avatar than an architect. cpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com/blogs.gwu.edu/… 2/9
We found strong evidence that domestic dysfunction, rapid technological change, & global power shifts would transform USFP forever. When the Day After Trump came, the US would not be able to reclaim its uncontested, post-Cold War perch. COVID made this ever-more apparent. 3/9.
Washington will a new strategy and approach to the international order– one that does not assume unrivaled, post-Cold War primacy, but still allows it to guarantee its security and prosperity, despite mounting political constraints. foreignaffairs.com/articles/2019-… 4/9
That’s where openness comes in. We lay out a new approach by which Washington can keep the world accessible, preventing others from dominating regions or functional areas, even if it cannot dominate them all itself. 5/9
These objectives are more easily obtained than those the US pursued during the unipolar period – and constitute a tremendous opportunity for a still-powerful United States to remake its global role on favorable terms. We lay out a policy agenda to match. 6/9
We owe tremendous gratitude to so many colleagues and supporters, many of whom @RebeccaLissner has thanked, and many more of whom appear in our acknowledgments. @LauraSamotin and @Don_Casler , true rockstar RAs, can’t be thanked enough. 7/9
COVID-19 has accelerated a rare moment: the collapse of one global order, and the incipient emergence of another.
My new book with @RebeccaLissner - “An Open World” - unpacks this change
Some thoughts from our new piece in @ambassadorbrief
THREAD 1/19 cfr.org/book/open-world
The US-led liberal order as we knew it has ended. The COVID crisis has clarified domestic and international shifts that have been under way for some time and the LIO had failed to keep pace with geopolitical and technological change. 2/19
Three main factors have driven the LIO's demise:
- China’s rise and relative US decline
-Domestic dysfunction in the United States
-Rapid technological transformation and diffusion
3/19
In the early days of the Cold War, the United States built an unprecedented system of alliances. In part because of its successes, that system now finds itself in peril.
Some thoughts from my new book “Shields of the Republic” for @ambassadorbrief 1 / 11
1.The American alliance system has been remarkably effective – especially for the United States, allowing it to:
-practice forward defense (meeting threats overseas)
- deter conflict &
- assure and influence allies (bringing them along with preferred U.S. policies) 2/11
Successes of this system include:
- No U.S. ally was ever the victim of attack
- Management of many Cold War crises
- limiting nuclear proliferation
- helping transform wartime rivals, Germany & Japan into democracies & thriving economies
- buying the US political goodwill 3/11
While you were (rightly) focused on the President’s rage against NATO, something of as much—or more—consequence happened in America’s Asian alliances. Here’s why the demise of the Japan-ROK intelligence pact matters. (1/13) washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pac…
South Korea and Japan have a long history of troubled relations born of colonialism and wartime atrocities. They have made numerous attempts to put historical grievances behind them, but tensions resurface periodically. (2/13) washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/…
Scholars have examined why there is no NATO-like alliance in Asia. This history is one reason. After WWII, regional states were loathe to ally with Japan; they wanted reassurance that it would not rearm. A hub-and-spoke system made more sense. (3/13) mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdfplus/10…
1/ VP Pence declared full-blown competition between the U.S. and China today. Much of the data is accurate-- China is engaging in increasingly worrisome behavior, has upended many longstanding assumptions. But you'll forgive me if I have some questions. hudson.org/events/1610-vi…
2/ China's economic practices have long bee prejudicial, but almost none of this relates to the bilateral trade deficit with the United States. How will a trade war help us gain long-sought market access or prevent massive IP theft?
3/ China is using its regional infrastructure investments toward coercive ends, in the form of Belt and Road, but the United States has no economic agenda for the region. How do we respond?
This is a stunning development— Massive PLA hardware infiltration reaching more end users than any known prior attack. Read the full story. bloomberg.com/news/features/…
The plot thickens: strong and specific denials by Apple and Amazon.