China had worked hard to build their reputation as a 10 foot Chinaman. In fact, thru Hollywood they portray themselves as highly efficient in engineering, all kung fu masters and even appropriated Tibetan mysticism and started calling it Chinese. All that is coming crashing down.
Chinese just cannot understand what has happened to the peace-loving circumspect Indians, and one sees on Gobar Times, how the Chinese are losing their sh*t w.r.t. India. They don't seem to be able to cow down the Indian spirit anymore.
More than that, the Pakistanis are astounded how India has started staring down at their Abbu. Chinese have always thought they could simply grab everything they look at, simply due the others' fear of the 10 foot Chinaman.
Chinese thought they could kill the Indian "chicken" and scare the American "monkey". They erred. The fear is gone. There's an irrepressible desire among all Indians to kick the 10 foot Chinaman in his balls. That's what Xi Jinping has achieved by challenging India on the border.
Pakistan made a mistake in Pulwama, and Modi tore down Pakistan's nuclear terror by attacking their terrorists at Balakot
China made a mistake at Galwan, and Modi tore down China's 10 foot Chinaman at the border
No more fear. India is ready to kick butt of both terrorists & PRC
Chinese reputation as some highly efficient merciless military superpower, others need to fear, lies in dust, not just in India, but now throughout Asia and beyond.
Well played, Xi Jinping.
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includes: raw military might, technological superiority, AI, space satellites, heavy machinery, infrastructure, manufacturing capacity, server farms, etc
2) Operating System Challenge
includes: UNSC, world banking system, social media platforms, international sports bodies, Internet DNS, online commerce hegemons, intellectual property rights, etc
3) Social Software
includes: non-native languages, western entertainment, foreign streaming platforms, missionary networks, non-Indic religions, NGOs, colonial mentality, bureaucratic lethargy, corruption, increasing promiscuity, decay in family values, etc.
What Putin has managed is, is after ages of lethargy and indeciveness, to bring about a level of Western unity on how to deal with an adversary.
This is the main takeaway from this war.
This will also be the template for the future against other adversaries.
Xi will be getting a message loud and clear.
It also means that PRC will now try to make itself resistant against these pressures.
India needs to learn the same lessons.
Whereas China has its domain of info warfare completely under its control, in India, it seems we are the world's most open city with zero fortifications.
Not just that we don't own our own social media platforms, we don't even have m
Here is my try at analyzing Putin. What are his motives? What is that what everybody may be ignoring or just not seeing.
Putin must have played this out in his mind. So here goes.
Aim 1: He does not just want part of Ukraine. He wants all of it. Why?
Putin's motive is not just to conquer land. Russia is big enough. Putin wants Russia to again be a central European power with borders with Poland, Hungary, Slovakia and Romania.
Putin does not want buffer states between Central Europe and Russia.
Aim 2: Putin sees Ukraine as part of the Russian civilization, and cannot see it being turned against Russians. So Ukraine would be totally Russified. That means those, who feel Ukraine-nationalist, will not be acceptable in Russified-Ukraine.
In the next two days world history will be determined.
1) Either Ukraine falls to Putin and Russia remains in SWIFT, resulting in Russia again becoming a player in Central Europe, leading ultimately to a weakening of Anglo-American and WEF-Liberal grip on politics of the West;OR
2) Russia is cut off from SWIFT, and Russia is enmeshed is a long-lasting urban-guerilla fighting between Russian occupiers vs Ukranian neo-Nazi militias supported by the West, which leads to Russia investing more forces to Ukraine.
This would ultimately lead to Russia's ...
total dependence on China for market, for banking services, etc.
Yes, someday may come then, when Putin AND Russian Federation collapse.
China will then take over the whole of Eastern Russia which lies in Asia, in order to "ensure security".
I think, Pakistan may not really have thought this through.
Many of the fighters who have gone to Afghanistan now, were earlier Pakistan's cannon-fodder. They're now in Afghanistan, and thus aren't available to Pakistan any further.
There is no incentive for them to come and fight for Pakistan against India in Kashmir.
Pakistan may not have the same level of control on political messaging in various seminaries in Afghanistan, where they can spread the same anti-India hate as happened in Pakistan.
Effectively, Taliban have been freed from Pakistani oversight and control.
Sure, in Afghanistan, Taliban will do mayhem as per their ideology, but politically Taliban is now free.
2. Neither Russia, China, Iran, Pakistan, USA nor Turkey will be trying to dislodge it. There's no opposition game left anymore.
3. Afghans have been betrayed, ANA units have crossed over to Taliban.
4. It is of no use to try to deny the Taliban recognition from our side. They ARE in power.
5. Our recognition or lack of it, doesn't make them weaker. They have access to Pak, Iran, China, Russia, etc, who can meet all their diplomatic and investment requirements.
6. If India had a credible game in Afghanistan, then it would have been different. Then we may have supported other groups. But we don't. We lack land access. We can't really help anybody there.