I'm increasingly starting to think the Conservative's don't actually know how they won last year.
https://twitter.com/Conservatives/status/1305628139532488704
The debate always seems to be framed as if as long as the Tories keep hold of the average Leave voter then it's plain sailing.
Except they won last year because they got the support of 74% of Leave voters, while Labour only won the support of 49% of Remainers.
Except they won last year because they got the support of 74% of Leave voters, while Labour only won the support of 49% of Remainers.
The reasons for this include (among, I'm sure, many other things):
a) More popular leader
b) Perceived to be more competent
c) Seen as "getting Brexit done" (which also appealed to enough Con leaning Remain voters)
a) More popular leader
b) Perceived to be more competent
c) Seen as "getting Brexit done" (which also appealed to enough Con leaning Remain voters)
If the Tories lose a chunk of more moderate Leave voters, while also losing some more Remainer who stuck with them, then it won't end well.
And reigniting an aggressive Brexit debate (when you said you would get it done) ain't gonna play well with them.
And reigniting an aggressive Brexit debate (when you said you would get it done) ain't gonna play well with them.
Of course, there are loads of other things that could be going on.
Could be that they think they think they need to pass the law anyway, so might as well make the attack.
It is also better for the Conservatives for the media to be focusing on this than testing.
Could be that they think they think they need to pass the law anyway, so might as well make the attack.
It is also better for the Conservatives for the media to be focusing on this than testing.
But the idea that this is some ingenious trap that screws Starmer and the Labour party is based on a massive misunderstanding of where the public are and how the Tories won.
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