1) Central banks believing they can escape a massive debt problem by exponentially adding more debt makes me think of this quote from Mises - "There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion......
2) ....The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved."
3) PS - that debt (BEFORE Covid) was $250 trillion on a global economy of $80 trillion, with $185 trillion of that $250 trillion of debt being added in the last 20 years. And that's looking backwards....adding at an exponentially faster rate now.
4) The unwind in whatever form it takes is going to be brutal.
5) Only two choices now - all around the world. Default through a deflationary depression (including banking system collapse) or default through hyperinflation.
7) Be safe out there - and please be kind. People are hurting and it's going to get much worse. Most of what is happening is not because of bad people (no matter what you think) but because of an economic system trying to fight gravity and catching all of us in its vortex.
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1) Almost everyone on the planet seems to be “using/training” AI to make themselves more efficient without realizing that the improvement comes at the expense of their long term income.
And…..
2) While at the same time, advocating/reinforcing a monetary/political system that pushes prices higher through manipulated money.
And…
3) While failing to see the consequences of those 2 diametrically opposed paths….or how the path can’t be solved from within the system creating the problem.
1) Follow the money - It leads you to all sorts of people who will be "blinded" by it, or sacrifice their integrity to get it.
2) Counterparty risk......"the probability that the other party in an investment, credit, or trading transaction may not fulfill its part of the deal and may default on the contractual obligations" is very REAL!
3) Far bigger than FTX and "crypto"...... our entire financial system (ie - everything) relies on both part 1 and part 2 of this thread.....and only pretends it is solvent through the manipulation of money.
A 🧵 1) El Salvador has reaffirmed to me what I have learned from my travels throughout the world.
The vast majority of people in this world are beautiful people.
With similar hopes and dreams for a better life for themselves and their families, trying their best to achieve it
2) Media and governments, through a biased lens of manipulation, label these people as a group - and we then fall for it. In doing so, we fail to see the individual people on the other side.
In El Salvador, I, myself almost fell into the trap worrying about the gangs and crime
3) Instead, I found the most amazing people, volcanoes, beaches, and hidden gems,
Still early in a transition, but wildly exciting.
As @nayibbukele states it, A place you want to be.
1) Imagine a society where it was almost universally accepted that it was okay to take something from you, without your knowledge, and gives it to someone else.
That is the world we live in.
And it is called....... inflation.
2) In a more rational world, we might call inflation a "theft".
Taking $$ from the middle class and poor and gifting to the rich.
The more you have the more you are enriched. The less you have the more you are impoverished.
How is possible to solve climate change from an economic system that REQUIRES inflation?
2) Instead of embracing the exponential technological gains that naturally bring deflation and broader based abundance, monetary policy (globally) is fighting it - keeping society on a treadmill of ever higher prices and needing more consumption and more production....forever.
3) The real "inconvenient truth" @algore is that climate cannot be solved from within a system that requires perpetual growth. (and will manipulate money to get it)