Ok a quick thread on equity research since so many people have jumped into equities.
Good news? equity research today is more freely and more widely available than ever before. Bad news? most of it is mediocre. There's a reason why they're free.
There are plenty of blogs too that do a pretty good job of writing about stocks and markets and stuff. But they're a) not updated frequently b) full of intrusive ads c) not always high quality.
Then there are open forums and groups that are free to join but they're either too specialized (which is good if you're into that area) or too 'kya lagta hai'. Few of them even circulate institutional research .
Then there's data analytics and good lord there's so much cool stuff out there from Screener to @Tijori1 that are so damn good.
And finally, there's premium subscription services that offer combinations of equity advisory, tips, forums, content, etc. Maybe there's quality here but I don't know for sure.
But I'd say that the best equity research is still churned out by the guys in the business - buy side and sell side. Sell side research is clients only and not in public domain. You can get it via contacts but it's not freely available.
I think buy-side research is the breakaway story of the past few years. Mutual funds, PMS, AIFs, etc are doing a great job here of detail and depth.
But buy side research either goes to distributors (mutual funds) or clients (PMS). Again, not easily and freely available. And that's why..
The @MarcellusInvest newsletters are simply outstanding in their depth and rigour. They're also freely available. The only PMS that does so. Yes this is a recommendation, no it's not paid although...
My ex-boss. I remember him. I looked up to him. Until one fine day he turned out to be a bigot. Of course he became bolder after...well you know when. And he found he had good company. Over time, I went silent on that WhatsApp group. And now that group has gone silent as fuck.
Then there are people I looked up to on Twitter from back in the day. I've been here long enough. Yeah, I un-followed most of them. There is this one markets guy but I muted him yesterday because, well, he was muted in past few days except for platitudes.
When we first logged on Twitter back in the 2007/2008, a few of us even started a campaign called Voteyatra - to get people to vote. This was a few years after the great @sidin had made a bold attempt at indie media with Hafta which was after blogging great @amitvarma had great success with India Uncut.
My name and address were used for a loan, without my knowledge or consent. I am now being chased by @MobiKwik to repay this loan. Here's what happened.
On 13th March, a CIBIL enquiry for a loan was done on my account by Whizdm Finance. My mistake to have ignored it then.
On 13th March, a loan of Rs30K was originated by Transactree, the company that runs @lendboxin. This loan went on my name with my address and mobile number taken from CIBIL.
Markets are at all-time highs. I think this is why. Thread.
Three things are getting 'factored in' (fancy word for assumed) by investors: a) Modi 350+ in May 2024 b) India GDP at 7%+ for foreseeable future and c) US Fed rate cuts (and RBI) start next year. These are big assumptions.
What can go wrong? If any of the previous three assumptions do not happen. But talking of what can go wrong, take a few steps and look at the past 4 years..