Chris Powers Profile picture
Sep 16, 2020 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Why does @FortCapitalLP invest in Class B Industrial?

👇

fortcapitallp.com/the-fort-podca…

If you don't have time to listen, here's a summary:

1. For every $1B increase in online sales, 1.25M SF of industrial real estate is needed. We believe online sales is a tailwind.
2. Infill by nature (b/c of decade built) which optimizes for "last mile".

3. @travisk, founder of Uber, with a gold mine of data, purchased @CloudKitchens after leaving Uber. They are acquiring Class B Industrial to be used as ghost kitchens.
We believe many more industries and businesses will continue to understand there is a meaningful part of their business that can be outsourced to this more affordable and functional real estate. Long food delivery!

4. Depleting supply and huge tenant demand.
We believe there is a 1-2% supply decrease each year as these properties are redeveloped into other product types.

5. They are the ultimate covered land play if you're in the path of growth. By nature, they are on large plots of contiguous land.
6. It is cost prohibitive to replace these properties. Lack of affordable land, construction costs, and city government preferences make for no new supply in the core.

7. Zero signalings in this asset class.
If you get a raise, you might move from a Class B apartment to a Class A apartment. If your business does better, you might move from a Class B office to a Class A office. If your business that occupies Class B industrial is prosperous, it grows within the same asset class.
There is no need to move to a Class A building unless there is a functionality need.

8. As Cannabis is legalized across the US, almost all major grow facilities operate from Class B industrial facilities. We are long legalization of cannibas.
9. Individual deal sizes (unless large portfolios) fall under the institutional threshold. Less competition.
Opportunity to aggregate and sell larger portfolios to institutional buyers (value add through cap rate compression.)

10. Cap ex is very predictable.
Roof is the largest risk (easily able to understand risk). TIs of $2-3 psf for minimal office finish outs. Exterior cap-ex includes striping parking lots, painting buildings, landscape, monument signage. Very predictable.
11. Leases get done much quicker with less friction due to tenant size and demand.

12. Tenants are humble in nature and easier to manage. Overall much easier property management.

13. Value add through converting gross leases to NNN.
14. Very diverse tenant bases and growing demand.

We've acquired nearly 3.5M sq ft to date, across 23 deals, and are looking for more in major Texas markets.

Please DM if you know of a property we should be buying!

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More from @fortworthchris

Oct 23, 2023
Cities hate industrial

Supply of Class B industrial is shrinking every year

Meanwhile, growth of Class A is slowing dramatically

And now it’s getting much harder to build new industrial buildings in urban cores across the US

What comes next for industrial?

A few thoughts:
Everyone needs their Amazon packages delivered within a few hours, but nobody wants a Class A industrial warehouse in their neighborhood.

Everyone needs an emergency HVAC repair tech to come immediately, but no one wants a Class B Industrial building down the road from them.
Whether you’re talking Class A or B, new development is slowing down.

Construction is slowing dramatically.

But demand remains strong from tenants.

This dynamic is played out in every single major American city.

Take Dallas, for example:
Read 18 tweets
Sep 25, 2023
Where is all the class B industrial going?

These two pictures sum up our bull thesis for Dallas and several other markets

Let me explain:
Image
Image
Every single major city in the United States is supply constrained when it comes to Class B Industrial

The supply is shrinking each year as tenant demand continues to grow

Dallas is a prime example
When cities like Dallas grew quickly in the 50s and 60s, you had the downtown office core and industrial just outside the core of the city

Factories and warehouses filled the perimeter of Dallas to make products and ship them out. Image
Read 16 tweets
Aug 29, 2023
There's a problem in the real estate market:

Rising property insurance rates.

Here’s what I’m seeing & how our team is thinking about the problem:
Earlier this year, State Farm announced it would stop writing new homeowner insurance policies in California

This came as a shock to many, but this has actually been years in the making Image
While rising homeowners insurance rates are national news this year, commercial real estate folks have been seeing this trend for years

Here’s a story from late 2020: Image
Read 15 tweets
Aug 23, 2023
Here's why I'm incredibly bullish on Class B Industrial real estate: Image
Every single major city in the United States is supply constrained when it comes to Class B Industrial

And the supply is shrinking each year as tenant demand continues to grow
In Texas, we estimate a decline of 1-2% per year.

For example, this is a popular area of Fort Worth called W 7th.

(2007 on the left / 2022 on the right) 👇
Image
Image
Read 15 tweets
May 15, 2023
Fort has been all-in on acquiring Class B Industrial (CBI) since 2016.

Here's why in no particular order:
1. By nature of the era (70's - 90's) it was built, it is infill and surrounded by mature infrastructure. Transportation systems, major arteries, homes, commercial, hospitals, universities, etc.

One can’t over estimate the value of mature infrastructure surrounding a property.
2. Companies continue to optimize for being close to their customer so they can serve or deliver product faster.

Billions are invested annually to optimize the entire supply chain. As landlords, we benefit from these ever increasing efficiencies.

That is why #1 is important.
Read 21 tweets
Feb 28, 2023
🚨New Episode: @pyrtbilly - Founder of Fyre Festival

- detailed stories of the day before and the day of the festival
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