Thread by @GraphicMatt

Some numbers pulled from most recent week of Toronto COVID-19 data (episode dates: Sept 7-14)

- 366 cases. 343 confirmed, 23 probable
- 185 men, 180 women
- 68% under age 40
- Neighbourhood with most cases: Waterfront
- Most common transmission source: close contact (38%)

In recent weeks, Waterfront Communities - The Island has been neighbourhood with highest case count. Flipped script from early days of pandemic, where spread was highest in inner suburbs.

Open Data has updated. Here’s Toronto’s Week in COVID-19, Sept 14-21 (episode date, new cases still reporting)

- 650 cases, 595 confirmed, 54 probable (11 hospitalized)
- 328 men, 316 women
- 70% under 40
- Neighbourhoods: #1 Waterfront, #2 Niagara, #3 York U Heights

Still seeing a lot of case growth in downtown neighbourhoods — keeping a close eye on Liberty Village (Niagara) and Church-Yonge. Potential second wave looking very different than the first.

As I wrote in my Toronto Star column this week, it’s very hard to look at numbers like this and not wonder what govs could have done differently to maintain the curve-flattening achieved in the summer.

https://twitter.com/GraphicMatt/status/1308124081410183170

Open Data has updated. Toronto’s week in COVID, Sept 21-28 (episode date, new cases still reporting)

- 970 cases, 905 confirmed, 65 probable (29 hospitalized)
- 514 men, 453 women
- 62% under 40
- Top Neighbourhood: Waterfront
- Top Neighbourhood per-100K: Maple Leaf

In the three weeks I’ve done this, the weekly # of cases has gone from 366 to 650 to 970. Not great!

Change notable this week is that the percentage of under-40 cases has dropped. Second wave may have started as a young person thing, but doesn’t look like it’s staying that way.