In my first article for @ChinaBriefJT, I mapped the budget of China's united front, the collection of organizations the CCP leverages to silence political opponents, persecute religious minorities, and acquire foreign tech.
(2/9) For years, Chinese diplomats have insisted that the united front is nothing more than a benign administrative bureaucracy and accused Western analysts of overhyping its role.
But the CCP's own public budget documents belie its claims about the UF's importance and function.
(3/9) For @ChinaBriefJT, I analyzed 160 budget reports from organizations involved in China's central and provincial united front systems.
The central 🇨🇳 government's UF spending exceeds $1.4 billion USD each year—and probably even surpasses the budget of @MFA_China.
(4/9) Next to CPPCCs, Ethnic and Religious Affairs Commissions (ERACs) in each province receive the most funding of any UF organization. They are official gov offices dual hatted with CCP staff, tasked with persecuting religious minorities, especially in the Western provinces.
(5/9) Let's not pretend like this isn't the point of the united front. This public, **1,800-page** CPPCC Work Manual lays out the UF's goals quite clearly. Plenty of other internal docs cited in my @ChinaBriefJT paper highlight the UF's goals and MO. web.archive.org/web/2020062216…
(6/9) UF budget documents state explicitly that Hong Kongers, Taiwanese, and and overseas Chinese are the UF's primary targets outside China, and are subject to its monitoring and influence.
Before it was absorbed, the central OCAO had a budget of $376 million USD just for this.
(7/9) In light of the facts, I'd ask this question:
If there's really nothing nefarious going on with the united front, why do some provinces feel compelled to classify information about their UFs as secret? And why does an "admin org" occupy so much of the 🇨🇳 gov's resources?
(8/9) For full transparency, I am releasing the 160 united front budget documents I analyzed in the course of this report, for the central CCP and all 31 provinces of China.
I encourage other analysts to comb through them with keener eyes than mine.
🇺🇸 The @WhiteHouse has just released its "AI Action Plan" — possibly its most impactful strategy yet.
After years spent watching DC fumble tech policy, this document is different.
It reads like it was written by people who understand both the technology and the stakes.
🧵
2/ The framing gets straight to the point:
"The United States is in a race to achieve global dominance in AI. Whoever has the largest AI ecosystem will set global AI standards and reap broad economic and military benefits."
No more "competing while we cooperate."
3/ The U.S. approach to AI will be guided by three pillars:
- Accelerate AI Innovation
- Build American AI Infrastructure
- Lead in International AI Diplomacy and Security
Each is designed to address real pain points and extend 🇺🇸's lead.
I recently returned to DC after a week spent in Taipei — a fascinating time to be on-island amid RightsCon, PLA live-fire exercises, and a seismic shift in U.S. policy toward Ukraine.
This was somehow my first visit to 🇹🇼, so I wanted to share a few high-level impressions 🧵:
1⃣ It’s one thing to read about, and quite another to experience in person:
Taiwan's democracy is an indelible feature of its society, culture, and place in the world.
In my short time there, I had pamphlets foisted upon me by @amnesty canvassers, walked through crowds of protestors gathered outside government ministries, and watched as Taiwanese gathered to observe the 78th anniversary of the 228 Massacre.
I'm leaving the U.S. government after 2 years as @StateDept's main contact with the Chinese Embassy in Washington — the most challenging and rewarding experience of my life.
More soon on what's next. But first, a few thoughts on diplomacy and America’s role in the world:
2/ I’m sad to leave what must be the most interesting job in Washington, and a team that includes some of the United States' most talented and devoted public servants.
I am and always will be grateful to countless mentors who taught me the American way of diplomacy.
3/ But these 2 years spent helping build and launch @USAsiaPacific’s “China House” have aged me a decade.
After serving as an Economic, Tech, and Political Officer — and managing nearly 300 conversations between the governments — it's time to pass the torch to someone else.