My entirely speculative theory is that the whole sordid mess is explained by the failure of Frost’s negotiating strategy.
The ‘they’ll give in if we stick to our guns’ plan hasn’t worked, and, the NI protocol means no deal is not political cost free.
The master stroke (I suspect a Frost / Cummings plan) is to repudiate parts of the WA to increase negotiating leverage (pay attention to us!) and reduce the cost of no deal.

But unfortunately...
It has done the opposite, by:
1. Reducing EU patience / goodwill (increasing the cost of no deal)
2. Raising serious domestic concerns re the government’s fitness and squandering political capital
3. Torpedoing relations w/ large sections of the US political establishment
Not to mention casting a more general pall over the UK’s reputation for good judgment and probity, thereby reducing not just goodwill but the value of investment in UK assets (I refer you to the £).
It’s sort of remarkable that the proponents of this terrible strategy aren’t resigning left right and centre.
But anyway, now is the time to assert some analytical comparability between Brexit and Covid disasters. It’s noteworthy that the similar penchant for really bad implementation isn’t more remarked upon.
I propose the Fiasco Index.
It seems only fitting that the A level fiasco is the base measurement (equating to 1 Fiasco) for the Fiasco Index.

Breaking International Law = 1.5 Fiascos

(A bigger fiasco than the A level fiasco because both a domestic and international fiasco)

Test and Trace = 2 Fiascos

(No international dimension but both existential and visible from space)

Whatever next?

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More from @Sime0nStylites

29 Nov
On my giddy aunt, Digby Jones is doing a Preparing for Brexit programme on @TimesRadio
Is this a weird joke? Poetic justice?
It’s like some sort of excruciating torture involving bamboo sticks. Uh oh. A small haulage company based in NI has just come on the programme.
Read 8 tweets
29 Nov
On behalf of the people of Great Britain I shall be writing to Netflix and other broadcasters to complain about The Last Kingdom’s portrayal of King Alfred as a capricious, weedy hypochondriac. Everyone knows he had legs like tree trunks and carried an enormous sword.
Alfred, captured in the statue below in astonishingly lifelike detail, was the saviour of England. That’s why he’s called Great. Following in King Arthur’s footsteps, he beat off the Vikings, the second invasion of our shores by the Europeans.
Like Churchill, Alfred was a great Englishman who did not give an inch. He never compromised with the Vikings. Never made peace. Never gave an inch. Perhaps we could learn from him!
Read 4 tweets
29 Nov
Cases have been absolutely crushed in France, leading to declines in hospitalisations, ICU usage and deaths.
France is now pursuing a three stage national easing policy. Stage 1 (from y’day) - shops open, some easing of movement restrictions. Stage 2 (Dec 15) - no more internal movement restrictions nor self certified attestations. Stage 3 (Jan) - bars and restaurants to reopen.
All easings are contingent on national case and ICU targets being achieved.
Read 9 tweets
28 Nov
This is absolutely amazing.

Not sure it gets much better than this.
Words to music.

Who knew.
Read 4 tweets
28 Nov
1. Brexit. Like Christmas with Covid or dunking your head in a bucket of ice cold water or running your toes over with a lawnmower. What fun we did not have. But here we all are. Forced to play the worst ever drunken party game.

2. So as we while away our time, whooping it up from lockdown, wondering at the next national crisis, let us ponder this week’s existential question: how can a Brexit deal be so close and yet so far away?
3. Is it close? Is it far away? Are we doomed or saved? And even if we’re saved are we in fact doomed?

It’s all too much. Like playing zenga with no twig things or scrabble with no letters. My head is spinning. Pass me the whisky and egg my nog.
Read 19 tweets
26 Nov
1. Why hello Thanksgiving Turkey...

Thread (very slow)
2. Fare there well young turkey guy
3. MEANWHILE....Sweeeeeeeeet
Read 12 tweets

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