David Boxenhorn Profile picture
Sep 17, 2020 14 tweets 4 min read Read on X
This is the podcast on Covid self-tests that you have to hear. It answers all your questions. Takeaway: It's the bureaucracy, stupid! Only 21 minutes, and Gladwell is an excellent interviewer. My notes are below

@realDonaldTrump
@ScottAdamsSays
@nntaleb
@normonics
@yaneerbaryam
Gladwell: Why are we not doing this?

Mina: It's been first and foremost a regulatory hurdle
The only paths we have to evaluate tests like this in the US are medical diagnostic pathways. They're pathways designed specifically to ensure that a physician, like a detective, is getting all of the information they need to diagnose a sick person in front of them
So it's been first and foremost a regulatory hurdle. We don't have a regulatory pathway to approve a test whose primary objective is one of stopping an epidemic.

That's held everything up.
All the companies that could be producing these tests in the millions, they have been sitting on these tests trying to hone them, trying to get them just a little bit better so they can pass through FDA standards
It's not just slowing down their approval, it's actually bottlenecking the companies into creating tests that are not as scalable... they have to become more expensive, highly-manufactured tests
If we can do the cheap version of them, they can be made very fast, but they won't get though the FDA
How dumb are the FDA?

It's not that they're not smart, it's that they're a regulatory body. They just don't have a pathway. You can't apply for a public health tool. That might make you say "why bother getting FDA approval?"
Unfortunately, these tests are defined as clinical diagnostic tests.

Definition of diagnostic test: tests that give information that changes people's behavior. The FDA doesn't want to change the rules, and doesn't want to say the rules don't apply
There is precedent at the FDA to consider public health: A vaccine will be approved even if it's only 50% effective.

This could make people think they are immune when they are not, but they are approved because it leads to herd immunity
If the FDA stops regulating, how long before we can buy these tests over-the-counter?

We have them now! Abbot has a test, but it's approved only for medical diagnostic use
The blueprints for these tests are publicly available. No IP. You can get royalty-free, non-exclusive rights to just produce these tests.

People are dying because regulation is preventing us from making a test for pennies, sold for a dollar, that can stop the pandemic
Where can I buy these tests legally?

South Korea is one country. Canada is starting to produce them. India, Singapore. South Korea makes the highest volume
For more information, go to this site:

rapidtests.org

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More from @davidboxenhorn

Dec 11, 2023
If you think that Israelis kill people on purpose, for no particular reason, then you are an antisemite. You might not know that you're an antisemite, because you think "it's just the truth". But, you are. You are a victim of a modern form of the Blood Libel
If you talk about the number of children Israel kills, or the number of civilians Israel kills, without considering the overall context, that Hamas puts them in danger and Israel does its best to avoid killing them, you are invoking the Blood Libel, and leveraging antisemitism
If you use phrases like "typical Israeli brutality" you are leveraging the Blood Libel, because, by the standards of armies of the world, the Israeli army is not brutal. You are invoking the Blood Libel, and leveraging antisemitism
Read 8 tweets
Jun 2, 2023
1. What is AI? How does it work? What are the implications of how it works?

The following thread is mostly based on this article by @stephen_wolfram who knows much more about the subject than me. So feel free to just read that, and skip this thread

writings.stephenwolfram.com/2023/02/what-i…
2. I read the article several weeks ago, and have not reread it, so this thread reflects how the information has been integrated into my biological neural network, not necessary what is written there. That makes a big difference, as we will see
3. AI is based on neural networks. Neural networks are a kind of computer architecture that is based on the way that we *think* that our brains work. Actually, no one really understands how brains *or* neural networks work, and this is very important
Read 28 tweets
Apr 4, 2023
What is Woke?

It is a worldview that teaches that all interactions are about power. There is only one conflict in the world, and it is the powerful against the powerless, where the powerful are trying to preserve their power (this is called "intersectionality")
Intersectionality applies equally to individual and group interactions. Employer-employee, husband-wife, sectarian conflicts, and international conflicts can all be understood through Wokeness
The moral stance is always the same: the powerless must be supported against the powerful
Read 13 tweets
Mar 10, 2023
"Moreover, critics of the reforms ought to ask themselves whether the current system would look as attractive if the current situation were reversed, with the Knesset dominated by progressives and the Court tilting right and invalidating progressive measures."
"As for nightmare scenarios about canceling elections or annulling minority rights, these seek to prevent challenges to the real and present tyranny of the Court by appeals to imaginary future tyrannies."
"For all its unruliness, no Knesset has ever suggested anything remotely like canceling elections. Israel survived before Aharon Barak’s judicial revolution of the 1990s, with governments as ideologically homogeneous as Netanyahu’s—and no one doubted it was a democracy."
Read 4 tweets
Jan 22, 2023
I was just in a Twitter Spaces with @ScottAdamsSays. The topic was: "Why are educated people getting the wrong answers on vax?" Frustratingly, when he asked me to speak, I couldn't figure out how to turn on my microphone, and he moved on to the next person
Did a 2nd microphone icon appear when I was made speaker, that I missed? It definitely wasn't there before or after I was made speaker. (I already had a microphone icon, but that was for requesting to speak)
In any case, I wanted to say that I disagree with the premise. I don't think that educated people got the wrong answers on vax. At least, I don't think that they got it wrong in Israel, where I live
Read 20 tweets
Jan 12, 2023
They say that AI might be smart, but it will never be creative. I suspect it's the other way around. Creativity is about making random connections and rejecting what doesn't work. AI can help with that. Is this the AI that puts writers out of business?
Let me be clear. I think that we are a long way from AI producing a finished product, but I think it can help. A lot. I think that we will use it to generate ideas, most of which we will reject, but some of which we will keep
I am always looking for inspiration in randomness, but this is better than random. It is a foreign (non-human!) intelligence, making connections that would never occur to you, some of which - most likely a very small percentage, but that's enough - will be good
Read 4 tweets

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