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David Paton Profile picture
@cricketwyvern
Sep 17, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Are we in a similar situation to early March?

7-day average of PHE deaths was 6.9 on 6th Sept and has been trending up since (last few days likely to see more deaths reported). Image
7-day average was v. similar (6.7) on 13 March so let's compare the evolution of deaths so far from 13 March & 6 September: Image
Who knows what will happen to deaths over the next few weeks, but at the moment there is simply no comparison with what was happening in early March.
For completeness, here is trend from 13 March extended to the peak in April. Image

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More from @cricketwyvern

David Paton Profile picture
Nov 11, 2023
What action should be taken about @SuellaBraverman's @thetimes article alleging bias in policing?

I suggest four things that might be done:

1. The police commit immediately to stop arresting people for praying silently in their own minds.
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2. The police commit immediately to stop intimidating people for expressing perfectly legitimate views about transgender issues.
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3. The police commit immediately to stop aligning themselves with particular lobby groups.
…

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Read 4 tweets
David Paton Profile picture
Oct 31, 2023
An objective examination of the data and evidence suggests that delaying the March 25 lockdown decision by a week or so would have saved lives.

Here’s why …
…
We know from deaths data, NHS Triage and React that infections were almost certainly decreasing well before 25 March (and the rise in infections was levelling off even earlier). But those data were not available by the 25th.
...
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It remains possible lockdown caused an even faster reduction in infections, preventing some Covid-related deaths in the short run but …
Read 10 tweets
David Paton Profile picture
Jul 30, 2023
The Scottish Covid Inquiry commissioned an independent expert (Dr Ashley Croft) to report on “the accepted scientific & medical understanding” of Covid-19.

This is his conclusion on the evidence of interventions aimed at limiting spread:
…
…
For face mask mandates outside of healthcare settings, lockdowns, social distancing, test, trace and isolate measures:

"there was either insufficient evidence in 2020 to support their use – or alternatively, no evidence”
...
And:
“the evidence base has not changed materially in the intervening three years.”

Dr Croft on the evidence for vaccines having saved lives:
"It remains unclear as to whether or not COVID-19 vaccination has resulted in fewer deaths from COVID-19."
…
Read 7 tweets
David Paton Profile picture
Jul 24, 2023
A problem with this poll is that many "net zero" policies are the opposite of green. For example:

Onshore wind farms (noise pollution, bird killers, recycling difficulties when decommissioned).
...
...
Converting Coal-fired Drax to burning wood pellets imported from the US.
...
theguardian.com/business/2023/…
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Banning fracking & then being forced to import even more tankers full of LPG from Qatar.
...
telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/…
Read 6 tweets
David Paton Profile picture
Jun 17, 2023
A summary of what happened with baby Lily:

@BPAS1968 & pro-abortion MPs campaigned successfully to be able to to send out abortion pills without any in-person consultation.

@BPAS1968 then sent out pills w/o doing any checks to ensure the mother was within the 10-week limit.
…
…
Carla Foster took the pills & Lily (nearly 8 months after conception) died.

The mother was distraught, deeply regretting the death of her baby & has been imprisoned.

i.e. @BPAS1968 actions led to the death of an innocent baby girl & the devastation of a woman’s life.
…
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Instead of apologising for their disastrous negligence & promising to change, @BPAS1968 are now campaigning to extend the law so it would be legal for them to kill babies right up to the moment of birth for any reason.

This organisation is not only shameful but shameless.
…
Read 6 tweets
David Paton Profile picture
Jan 14, 2023
The reaction to @DrAseemMalhotra measured questions about risks of Covid-19 vaccines is telling.

Instead of looking at the evidence & debating, prominent scientists plus media like @Guardian & @theTimes have focused on complaining about Dr Malhotra being given a voice at all.
…
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These scientists & journalists are repeating the same mistakes of past 2 years and which have contributed to a huge loss of public trust in vaccination & broader public health messaging.
...
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It is obvious there are valid questions to be asked about both the benefits of Covid-19 vaccination for different groups (for healthy, previously infected young people, surely close to zero) but also the risks:
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Read 6 tweets

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