A few people that follow me have complained they want finance discussion, not social justice rants. All new investors.

It's actually THE SAME ISSUE. In order to discuss where the market is going, you need to understand where it's been.

Inequality is a signal.

<thread>
2/ First, it's rare for me to discuss discrimination *I* face. I discuss rising inequalities, and historic inequalities in the context of the history of commerce.

That's because as inequality begins to become a bigger discussion, the gap is widening.
3/ When economies boom, we see resources spread across society more readily. Fewer people see the injustices that impact society, and a lot of people suffering think they're just a few moves at work from breaking out of the cycle.

The injustices still happen...
4/ ... people just aren't in the streets, demanding change. Instead, that sliver of hope prevents a lot of focus on those issues.

Basically, these periods have fewer recorded issues of unrest, and therefore history is pretty light on the coverage of them. When things go south.
5/ When the economy is in decline, we see resource allocation tighten – and fast. People with existing connections and privilege still have access to the wealth.

It's just cut off from those with fewer privileges. This is when people go out in the streets, and demand change.
6/ As inequalities have greater recognition, the market approaches a top. We see a final divergence, where the rich hoard as much as possible, and those with modest incomes realize the system was rigged against them.

Once this happens, those with some privilege align.
7/ The disruption of commerce finally hits a system, and rich people start losing money. Governments throw people a bone, taken from the rich, and this redistribution marks a positive for society, but a dip in the market.
8/ Once redistribution has reached an optimism phase, people begin to enjoy their bone, and believe they can work up the system again.

The cycle restarts.

<thread/>
This is also why older dudes in Greenwich, with more money than god, who I have a little street cred with, call me to say, "explain defund the police?"

... and 30 y/o guys that bought their first stock last year, DM to say white people are the real victims in society.

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More from @StephenPunwasi

Oct 31
🇨🇦 is falsely framing a prominent journalist as an asset of Russia.

It's a malicious lie to discredit @davidpugliese, who has a 42-year track record of exposing embarrassing gov lies.

A short list of the work 🇨🇦 is trying to hide.

<thread> 🧵👇
2/ 🇨🇦's military used the pandemic to test its propaganda techniques.

In 2021, David exposed the military conducted an "info" sharing exercise against the public without any official authorization or request from the Fed gov.

ottawacitizen.com/news/national/…Image
3/ The military refused orders to release details on the propaganda tests.

It turns out the "info" was actual disinformation, such as notifying the public of wolves to create panic.

They also illegally monitored & tested social manipulation techniques.

ottawacitizen.com/news/national/…Image
Read 13 tweets
Oct 30
🇨🇦’s tax authority (CRA) was forced to acknowledge it’s hiding a significant breach of its internal system by hackers.

Also, an unrelated SMS exchange between me & a prominent FINTEC expert that started 6-months ago on the topic of Don’t Worry About It.🙃 Image
2/ also for anyone else that wants a little peak into our Don’t Worry About It file.

🇨🇦 anti-gang Intel agency estimates 1 in 2,600 adults in 🇨🇦 are organized crime affiliated & 1 in 10 work for government.
ps if you’re about to give me the “Gov knows more than you” lecture, you’re new here. Welcome!

First, ponder why a former RCMP director was perplexed how we figured out the money laundering players before intel, why it wasn’t isolated, & who regulators ask to find stolen shit.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 6
Okay, 🇨🇦. I need you to look past the left vs right BS for a sec. You don't understand how hard you're being screwed.

In a few tweets, you'll understand gov finance better than most politicians. You'll also see how f*cked up Ontario's corner store liquor deal is.

<thread>🧵👇
2/ Rushing the deal means taxpayers will shoulder an initial bill of $1b.

If paid in cash, that tax revenue is equivalent to 111k families working for a year. Imagine the whole city of Windsor going to work for a year. All to pay that bill.

But ON is broke, it has little cash.
3/ When ON spends excess money, it has to run a deficit. It'll try to get the federal gov to pay some (read:taxpayers everywhere), and borrow the rest.

But let's say ON will borrow the whole amount. Last bond was 3.8% interest, so add another 51k families to cover interest.
Read 12 tweets
Aug 16
The kids are not alright.

By isolating children from socialization for months, countries like 🇨🇦 may have inadvertently produced a generation of tiny psychopaths.

Let's talk about the research on early childhood development. We have no idea what's coming.

<thread> 🧵👇


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2/ Prosocial behavior is voluntary behavior we demonstrate towards others. Acts of kindness, compassion, etc.

It's why you help an elderly stranger with a heavy package. It's why you give money to the homeless.

It's the stuff we do that we can only explain as the "right" thing.
3/ It's the best part of humanity, and also observed in other species.

Dogs will defend other animals.

Chimpanzees share their food.

Rats become distress when they see another trapped, & will disregard known risk to try & save them.

There's a biological reason.
Read 16 tweets
Aug 7
High home prices will come down if more is built. Simple supply & demand, right?

That’s one of the biggest lies ever repeated.

Let’s talk about home prices, monetary policy, and how greasy f*cks tricked the normies into advocating for their own exploitation.

<thread> 🧵👇
2/ first, let’s clarify something about monetary policy. The central bank exists to control the decay of money, aka inflation.

The key policy rate is their primary tool, influencing other lending rates. If inflation is below target, they’ll lower rates to stimulate borrowing.
3/ bluntly put, credit (aka debt) is a purchase made today with future income. Future economic activity is borrowed to stimulate the current activity.

Future buyers get pulled forward to compete with current ones. The goal is to intentionally overrun supply for inflation.
Read 18 tweets
Jul 31
🇨🇦’s rolling out 30-year mortgages to “help” first-time buyers get a home.

This is actually a form of liquidity injection called capital cushioning.

It’s not about affordability. A similar plan was used by the 🇺🇸 during the financial crisis. Is this a crisis? 🤔

<thread> 🧵👇
2/ first off, let’s fix what you’ve been told about the 🇺🇸 housing bubble.

a common myth is poor people with subprime credit f*cked up. In reality, poor people have nowhere else to go so they paid their bills through negative equity.

When you’re poor, everyday is a recession.
3/ the real foreclosure surge was actually high credit quality investors that went to subprime lenders for more leverage.

When shit hit the fan, they just walked away. It was investors that were really the problem.

More on that if you’re bored later.
Read 12 tweets

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