A few people that follow me have complained they want finance discussion, not social justice rants. All new investors.
It's actually THE SAME ISSUE. In order to discuss where the market is going, you need to understand where it's been.
Inequality is a signal.
<thread>
2/ First, it's rare for me to discuss discrimination *I* face. I discuss rising inequalities, and historic inequalities in the context of the history of commerce.
That's because as inequality begins to become a bigger discussion, the gap is widening.
3/ When economies boom, we see resources spread across society more readily. Fewer people see the injustices that impact society, and a lot of people suffering think they're just a few moves at work from breaking out of the cycle.
The injustices still happen...
4/ ... people just aren't in the streets, demanding change. Instead, that sliver of hope prevents a lot of focus on those issues.
Basically, these periods have fewer recorded issues of unrest, and therefore history is pretty light on the coverage of them. When things go south.
5/ When the economy is in decline, we see resource allocation tighten – and fast. People with existing connections and privilege still have access to the wealth.
It's just cut off from those with fewer privileges. This is when people go out in the streets, and demand change.
6/ As inequalities have greater recognition, the market approaches a top. We see a final divergence, where the rich hoard as much as possible, and those with modest incomes realize the system was rigged against them.
Once this happens, those with some privilege align.
7/ The disruption of commerce finally hits a system, and rich people start losing money. Governments throw people a bone, taken from the rich, and this redistribution marks a positive for society, but a dip in the market.
8/ Once redistribution has reached an optimism phase, people begin to enjoy their bone, and believe they can work up the system again.
The cycle restarts.
<thread/>
This is also why older dudes in Greenwich, with more money than god, who I have a little street cred with, call me to say, "explain defund the police?"
... and 30 y/o guys that bought their first stock last year, DM to say white people are the real victims in society.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Fun fact: 🇨🇦 issues student visas to anyone with a few bucks.
Here’s a quick thread on the hundreds of criminals that organized crime groups set up in 🇨🇦 using student visas.
<thread> 🧵👇
2/ 🇺🇸’s DEA claims El Chapo made $3m/day in 🇨🇦 prior to his arrest, and they were surprised by how “deep infiltration” was.
His point man in 🇨🇦? Jesus Herrera Esperanza, aka Hondo—a “student” in 🇨🇦. No one knows where Hondo is these days.
3/ One of the world’s most powerful gangsters is former TO resident Lawrence Bishnoi—a 31 y/o that runs a global assassin & extortion network… from prison for the past 10 years.
His empire is allegedly run by his #2—Satinderjeet Singh, aka Goldy Brar. I wonder what he studied.
Most people don't understand how interest rates, population growth, and immigration are related.
Let's fix that with a quick thread.
<thread> 🧵👇
2/ A central bank's purpose is to control the decay of money, aka inflation.
If inflation is low, they cut rates to stimulate consumption by lowering the cost of borrowing. Since debt is your future income used today, this creates demand w/the goal of overrunning supply.
3/ Pretty easy since they can cut rates a lot faster than supply chains can respond, which is the goal. They're trying to raise prices to drive inflation, after all.
The opposite is also true. They raise rates to slow inflation by delaying demand so there's excess supply.
Why is every politician discussing their aggressive plan for affordable housing?
… even the ones you know don’t care about it?
Well, they hijacked the term and weaponized it against the people who need it. Here’s how.
<thread> 🧵👇
2/ in 🇨🇦, the term affordable housing now means a rental that’s 1/3 the median household income.
First off, a third of income isn’t really affordable. A third of income is the max allowable payment a mortgage borrower can accept before they’re considered too risky of a payer.
3/ so, affordable really means the max a person can reliably pay without being a default risk in this case.
in Canada, it also means maximum regulatory leverage. That doesn’t feel the same, does it?
Wait until you realize how that plays into distribution.