A few people that follow me have complained they want finance discussion, not social justice rants. All new investors.

It's actually THE SAME ISSUE. In order to discuss where the market is going, you need to understand where it's been.

Inequality is a signal.

<thread>
2/ First, it's rare for me to discuss discrimination *I* face. I discuss rising inequalities, and historic inequalities in the context of the history of commerce.

That's because as inequality begins to become a bigger discussion, the gap is widening.
3/ When economies boom, we see resources spread across society more readily. Fewer people see the injustices that impact society, and a lot of people suffering think they're just a few moves at work from breaking out of the cycle.

The injustices still happen...
4/ ... people just aren't in the streets, demanding change. Instead, that sliver of hope prevents a lot of focus on those issues.

Basically, these periods have fewer recorded issues of unrest, and therefore history is pretty light on the coverage of them. When things go south.
5/ When the economy is in decline, we see resource allocation tighten – and fast. People with existing connections and privilege still have access to the wealth.

It's just cut off from those with fewer privileges. This is when people go out in the streets, and demand change.
6/ As inequalities have greater recognition, the market approaches a top. We see a final divergence, where the rich hoard as much as possible, and those with modest incomes realize the system was rigged against them.

Once this happens, those with some privilege align.
7/ The disruption of commerce finally hits a system, and rich people start losing money. Governments throw people a bone, taken from the rich, and this redistribution marks a positive for society, but a dip in the market.
8/ Once redistribution has reached an optimism phase, people begin to enjoy their bone, and believe they can work up the system again.

The cycle restarts.

<thread/>
This is also why older dudes in Greenwich, with more money than god, who I have a little street cred with, call me to say, "explain defund the police?"

... and 30 y/o guys that bought their first stock last year, DM to say white people are the real victims in society.

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More from @StephenPunwasi

Feb 12
Folks in 🇨🇦 keep explaining to me that we don’t have 🇺🇸-like crime.

It’s true. Here’s a brief list of the 🇺🇸 crime that never happens in 🇨🇦.

<thread> 🧵👇
2. in 🇺🇸, their anti-money laundering & enforcement budgets are soaring to deal with crime.

In 🇨🇦, we’re so confident that there’s no laundering that politicians confidently slash the budgets. Image
3. In 🇺🇸, defunding the police is extremely controversial.

In 🇨🇦, we don’t hesitate. Ontario immediately cut its financial crimes unit. Image
Read 9 tweets
Feb 7
People think 🇨🇦 is lax on money laundering because it’s good for the economy. Nope.

It’s so much worse. The lax enforcement turned into organized crime capturing 🇨🇦. The legal system is now too scared to act. Seriously.

<thread> 🧵👇
2/ First off, let’s talk about how extensive 🇨🇦’s organized crime (OG) problem is. The country’s OG intel agency estimates 2,600 groups operate in the country.

Since a gang is 3 people or more, at minimum they’re estimating 1 in 4000 adults are OC members. Image
3/ that means the ratio of OC to normal people is higher than the concentration of high school school teachers to people in Toronto.

Think about that for a second—how often do you see high schools across Toronto? Well, you’re more likely to see OC members than a teacher in one.
Read 21 tweets
Feb 6
🇨🇦: fun story. Two guys fight. One gets murdered. The other gets murdered a year later.

🇨🇦's intel agencies pursue evidence alleging they were involved w/criminal activity.

Thankfully the intel agencies were redirected by the real experts—🇨🇦's politicians.

<thread> 🧵👇
2/ Good thing. It was the enemies of the politicians all along—India. 🇨🇦’s PM Trudeau notified the public it found "credible rumors.”

🇨🇦 goes from “Modi did it” to denying it, then calling one of its own intel agents a criminal faster than a bank bail out.

So weird. 🤷‍♂️ Image
Image
Image
Image
3/ anyway, not really about India.

It’s the fact 🇨🇦’s intel agencies are very capable but heavily manipulated by politicians.

They did this w/Sidewinder ~30 years ago—agents had allegations that politicians tried to suppress. Now we’re dealing w/fall out from not addressing it.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 5
🇨🇦 hiding a lot more fentanyl trafficking.

A whopping 19 FENTANYL TRAFFICKING CASES DROPPED OVER 7 DAYS IN ONE CITY. Why would 🇨🇦 do that? 🤷‍♂️

Police bust massive rings, it makes the news, the gov drops charges. What fentanyl trafficking? There’s no convictions. 🙄 Image
2/ Hamilton home prices 3x in 8 years, eh? Is it 🇨🇦’s Greenwich, CT?

Love Hamilton but we’re not paying the gov $10k for property records to prove the laundering, only for gov act shocked & ignore it.

Already did that in TO. I’ll do the analysis, but not paying for records. 😂 Image
Hey @MarkJCarney, does your platform have a plan to deal w/the laundering & fentanyl?

I think 🇨🇦 would love to hear it since you may be PM in as little as 2 months.

Pierre’s voiced concern. Freeland demonstrated she’s #TeamFentanyl by hiding the HSBC investigation.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 3
“🇨🇦 doesn’t have fentanyl problem. 🇺🇸 only seized 19 kgs at the border.”

lol. Yeah, no. Firefighters accidentally found multiples of that in some dude’s apartment.

The brother of Toronto’s Danforth Mass Shooter lived there…

<thread> 🧵👇
2/ long story short, firefighters are called to check out a carbon monoxide detector. They see an unreasonable amount of drugs.

They call the police, who find 33 firearms, and 42 kg (92.6 lbs) of carfentanil, a powerful derivative of fentanyl.

globalnews.ca/news/3806457/m…Image
3/ Carfentanil is a derivative 100x more powerful than fentanyl, and 10,000x more powerful than morphine.

Sounds like a comically absurd strength of opioid? It is. A grain of sand sized dose is enough to OD.

This guy had 42kg of this stuff? 🤔

pubchem.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/compound/Carfe…
Read 11 tweets
Feb 1
🇨🇦’s a special place. Regardless of race, creed, or nationality—the country will accept you with open arms… to wash your money.

🇨🇦 doesn’t just have a money laundering problem. It’s THE global money laundering hub, leveraging its innocent reputation.

<thread> 🧵👇
2/ a lot of people heard about TD’s epic money laundering problem, and the resulting US$3b fine for washing cartel cash.

Few people in 🇨🇦 realize TD & RBC had freakishly similar allegations here, but the case was botched and fell apart.

occrp.org/en/investigati…Image
Image
3/ In 🇨🇦, folks complain 🇺🇸 appointing @TulsiGabbard to direct national intelligence is reckless.

Few in 🇨🇦 know its own intel equivalent was arrested for leaking Five Eyes intel to launderers.

His case referenced a lot of terror cash at 🇨🇦’s banks.

thebureau.news/p/toronto-curr…Image
Read 15 tweets

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