Matt Willes Profile picture
Sep 18, 2020 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
There’s a “movement” for my thoughts on structuring (how I learned, mentors, etc) ...

Ok, really it’s @tsludwig that asked.

Time for a thread!
First, the following chart from is fascinating. It begs the question: How do you achieve superior risk/adjusted returns? In my opinion, it boils down to:

1) Finding the right deals
2) Saying “no” (being selective)
3) Structuring correctly Image
Second, find a good lawyer. My attorney is also my best friend. He performed my daughter’s marriage. You don’t need to go that far, but:

If you’re picking an attorney based solely on cost, you are making a mistake. Ditto if you expect them to make a few edits and hit print.
I was first exposed to the mezz world when I was running a $1 B corporate bond portfolio when they put me in charge of alternatives as well.

I’m a complete idiot: It took me 8 years (and significant heartache in less than fulfilling jobs) to realize I could go downstream.
So, structuring isn’t complicated, but in finance we like to make it sound complicated. You have:

A) Hard costs (cash)
B) Terms of “A” (frequency, term, etc)
C) Soft issues (risk control)

Think about what’s important to you, and be flexible on what’s not.
A) I’m upfront about the cash cost of doing business with me in the first conversation. Set expectations, and be willing to walk away. Know your strengths, and be willing to charge appropriately for them.

If you’re not the right fit, refer them to a “competitor” that is.
For example, I like current pay (no PIK), monthly interest payments. But I don’t usually need to amortize the loan.

My rates are mid-high teens. If you can find cheaper money you should take it. If I think I can charge you 20% then the deal’s too risky for me.
Learn from the market, but don’t blindly follow the market. Deal flow is always lumpy. It may be ok for pricing to be different than the market BUT you better know why it’s different. If you’re ok with the results then that’s great.
B) Structure of cash: Keep thinking (and learning). Listen to your clients. Be flexible and creative to come up with structures that work for both of you.

My current pay rates are typically higher than others, but I don’t typically take equity (warrants).
There are structural reasons for this in the mezz industry, but the reality is giving up equity kickers has become a competitive advantage for me.

Know your strength.
C: Incentives matter. If you want to reduce risk then put softer issues in place that help your clients do what you want the to do.

That may be information flow, board access, financial penalties, covenants, etc.

However, don’t put things on place just to do it.
I’m going to be nice going in, but I’m also clear going in: IF you default you aren’t going to enjoy it and there’s a good chance that I’m taking your business if the situation persists.
Final note: How did I learn? Slowly, over time.

From who? Everyone. Watch, listen, and think.

Talk to as many as you can, keep good ideas, and discard the bad.

Always happy to answer questions!

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More from @SkolCapital

Jan 31, 2022
A few have asked, so today’s thread is how I manage my own portfolio.

One thought before we get there:

Start Where You Are!

It doesn’t really matter where I am - play your own game, but yes I hope you are investing for your future.
1. I have a large chunk of my portfolio in private debt. This is what generates cash flow and pays the bills.

It’s my “job”
2. Now, the basic strategy is to take the excess cash flow from #1 and diversify into other stuff.

** Minimize Trading **

I own a lot of plain, boring low-cost index funds.

Frankly, I never sell these
Read 12 tweets
Jan 25, 2022
I ran a $1 Billion corp bond portfolio in the 00’s for a small insurance company

I beat my benchmark by 177 basis points annually from 2003-2008 (when I left) - If you don’t know, this is massive performance

Lots of chatter about about interest rates, so here are a few lessons
1. Don’t predict interest rates

If you are betting that your model is better than all the Wall Street banks and all the portfolio managers (especially those managing 10-1000x your institutional portfolio) you have already lost.

Play the game that you can win
2. Don’t predict the Fed

I’m old enough to remember Greenspan’s “briefcase indicator” (for you kids out there - it was as dumb as it sounds)

If your strategy is based on what the Fed is or isn’t going to do, then you have already lost.

Play your own game
Read 9 tweets
Mar 10, 2021
As the kids say these days, “it’s been a minute” since we’ve done a mezz thread.

Today: my first mezz deal, and the answer to the question “How do you know if mezz is right for your business?”
When I went out on my own I started from scratch - no deal flow, etc.

So, I hit the lunch circuit - take people to lunch, ask a lot of questions, ask for referrals, ask for other contacts, etc.

It started slowly, but it started
I looked at a number of potential deals (different sizes, different industries), and found a consumer deal that I liked. They were growing quickly and needed additional capital.

We worked together to come up with a structure that worked for me and the company.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 22, 2021
Last week @girdley made a comment about amateurish SMB financials ...

Thought I’d pile on here with a thread on evaluating different parts of those amateurish financials.

(Reminder, often there is opportunity, but it requires some work)
First, a quick story ... my favorite moment at @uclaanderson was accounting class.

Professor: “What account did you use for your plug to make things balance?”

Classmate: “Well, I used two”

Professor:
Ok, 5 areas to probe on amateurish financials:

1) Timing - accounting cadence in most SMB is nonexistent. You’ll often see quarterly or even annual financials. That’s fine. Be sure to ask about seasonality, and make sure financials are current

A 6 month old Balance Sheet is:
Read 10 tweets
Feb 2, 2021
Today in mezz threads:

Finding collateral where there isn’t any ... aka, my most innovative idea (and I’m giving it to you for free)!
Let’s revisit this thread from my early (active) Twitter days. A few questions you might ask:

1) What was my collateral (why did I make this loan)?
2) Why did I have any leverage with the company at all (short of a foreclosure)?
3) Why did the “deep pockets” buy me out?
Let me pick up the story with two assumptions I had going in:

1) I didn’t trust the owner/operator (at all)

2) I knew the PE group (that had offered $200 M) well, and I knew who they were proposing to bring in to run the company had they bought it

#2 (plan B) made sense to me
Read 13 tweets
Jan 21, 2021
Last week I promised a few thoughts on cultivating deal flow.

I’m back after some time helping my wife with her art businesses, so the time is now!

How to make deal flow like:
1. Deal flow is a balance between active selling and sitting on your hands.

Who do you “sell” too? Everyone, but especially the “professional set” who are touching a lot of potential targets. For me: bankers, lawyers, accountants, etc
2. Take them to lunch (I know...) - pay for the lunch. Build a relationship. This isn’t a “one and done” thing. Go regularly.

Every city has a handful of people that “control” the deal flow in your industry/target market in that city. You have to find a way in...
Read 14 tweets

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