1/9: Gov Newsom this week announced the first 10 hotel-to-homeless-housing conversion projects using $600 million of COVID relief money from #ProjectHomekey. How do these projects stack up?
2/9: What really jumps out is the value. These 10 projects will secure 579 units for $76.5 million, or about $132k per unit. That's WAY cheaper than is typical for these projects. For example, this Oakland project cost $314k per unit: huduser.gov/portal/pdredge…
5/9: So what's going on? PreCOVID conversions were usually old, dilapidated hotels (big $ to rehab), whereas Homekey is securing newer, currently functioning hotels, mostly ready to go (check out @mlevinreports deep dive on conversions) calmatters.org/housing/2020/0…
6/9: At $132k per room, Project Homekey is on pace to produce 4,545 units of transitional housing for the homeless and become a major accomplishment for the Newsom Admin. Great news! But here's why it probably can't scale:
7/9: CA has ~110k unsheltered homeless ppl, meaning Homekey is on pace to house ~4%. Some cities might not even notice a difference. Sheltering all 110k in a Homekey-like project would cost $14.5 billion and require at least $1 billion/yr
8/9: In short, Homekey is off to a great start, but ending homelessness requires bringing per unit costs down to depths currently reachable only by ADUs (and even then will still need fed support). We should!
9/9: In the meantime, California should end the horror of unsheltered homelessness by prioritizing safe shelter to all who need it, which at ~$35k per bed, is something we could do right now.
Maps depicted California as an island for hundreds of years after it was discovered to be connected to the mainland. Why? 🧵
The first European to spot CA was Spanish mutineer Fortún Jiménez in 1533. Hernán Cortéz sailed part way up the Gulf of California two years later looking for gold. During the expedition Cortéz drew the first map of California, which included just the southern tip of Baja.
Many believed (hoped?) that Jiménez/Cortéz found the island of California described in the popular novel Adventures of Esplandian by Garcia Ordoñez de Montelvado as just east of Japan, peopled entirely by women, and ruled over by Queen Calafia.
1830 Map of Central California by José María Narváez. Notice how the Central Valley is submerged beneath a 300-mile long, 30-mile wide shallow lake/marsh
Another depiction of this lake/marsh, albeit somewhat smaller, can be seen in this 1843 map from American explorer, general, and politician John C. Frémont.
California’s great central marsh was seasonal, emerging from winter rains and spring snowmelt. This 1848 map, Frémont’s last, shows only the now dry Tulare Lake. It also shows various wagon routes to CA. Congress ordered and distributed 10k copies to encourage migration west.