Gaurav Sabnis Profile picture
Sep 19, 2020 16 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. You will be missed so much. But you knew that.
Say hello to Justice Cotton.
Only Republican senators can save this country now.
Sleep is going to be hard to come by tonight. #NotoriousRBG
Feeling more despondent tonight than the night Trump won. A republican majority in the supreme court for at least a decade. Republicans are gonna go to town overturning progress on everything since the Civil War. Roe, Obergefell are dead. Civil Rights Act too possibly.
Trump's next pick is going to make Kavanaugh look like a liberal.
Getting a few "hey can you explain why this is such a big deal" messages from desi friends about Justice Ginsburg passing. Sorry, no emotional bandwidth left. Especially when it's pointless. The tweets upthread pretty much cover it.
The first major moment when I started running away from American libertarianism was around 2008 when a lot of "first principle" libertarians argued that the civil rights act was "state tyranny". Like "oh of course racism is wrong but state punishing racism is tyranny".
Now these Confederates, Nazis, Sanghis who pretend to be all about "liberty" will get a supreme court that will take a hatchet to societal progress over the last century or so. Forget Roe v Wade. These Republicans/Libertarians will mostly overturn Loving v Virginia.
Yup, I know overturning Loving v Virginia would make McConnell's own marriage illegal. As if he cares.
That of all the possible justices in the history of this country, Justice Ginsburg's seat is the one being filled by Donald Trump, that too after he stole a seat from Obama using elections as an excuse... That really hurts. Like the world is run by reality show producers.
Wife and I are exchanging sighs and rants and head shakes and of course, hugs, to cope with the loss of Justice Ginsburg.
Very realistic possibility.
Biden wins the election, but Trump refuses to concede (as he's said he will since 2015), takes it to the Supreme Court under some pretext, and his pick to replace RBG casts the deciding vote to bring him back.
Very realistic.
Reminder that historically, the Bill of Rights wasn't so much "here is what govt can't do to you" as it was "here is what Congress or the Federal Govt can't do to you". So DC couldn't restrict your free speech or religious freedom, but your state govt could, if they wanted.
It was supreme courts over generations and centuries who took the constitution beyond what some dudes 240 years ago thought. Interpreted it as a broader proscription against government overreach. That is the power of SCOTUS. To shape history and society.
Until Reagan came along, the general arch of SCOTUS tilted towards progressivism and individual liberty. Went from Dred Scott to Brown v BoE in less than a century. Since Reagan, we've had GOP appointees with a decidedly antebellum agenda. State sanctioned bigotry as the goal.

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More from @gauravsabnis

Nov 9
This will set many unkil hair on fire but when you read the full multi sided history of the 1962 India China war, there isn't much to blame Nehru about, except using hindsight and weirdly high standards and expectations of clairvoyance. And Cuban missile crisis is minimized. 🧵
First of all, Indian defeat in the 1962 skirmish is overblown for Nehru bashing purposes. And it really was a skirmish not a war. How many wars have zero civilian casualties?

India lost 1300 soldiers. Not great. But not exactly Vietnam War numbers. We lost half those in Kargil.
Losing territory is never great but Aksai Chin was and is mostly uninhabited territory more useful for strategic and logistical purposes than losing actual people inhabited territory.

China didn't march on and take Leh or Srinagar, did they? It was a very opportunistic skirmish.
Read 13 tweets
Nov 2
DMs filling up with "hey can you explain this Zohran phenomenon to me" from friends & Desi columnists lol.

So this will be my NYC Mayor election mega 🧵. FAQ of sorts.

I first truly noticed Zohran in 2023 when he put out an anti Modi statement. As Ro was sucking up to Modi /1 Image
I had known of Zohran vaguely for a couple of years before that, but it was as a huge fan of Mira Nair. I had heard her son was running for state assembly. Not exactly a glamorous & enriching career. But even then I thought, that's sweet. He's choosing public service!
The only son of Mira Nair & Zohran Mamdani, while definitely no billionaire, would still have enough social networks and financial fallbacks to try to make a career in Hollywood. Or academia. Or anything really. Even wall street banker.

But he chose state assembly? Nice.
Read 17 tweets
Jul 25
The historic reasons for why England (and most of it's ex colonies) and Japan drive on the left but Europe, USA, rest of the world drive on the right are fascinating. And predate the invention of cars.

It's about chariots/wagons vs single horses as primary transportation. 🧵
In Europe, the Romans built highways 2000 years ago for military and supply chains. Lots of chariots & wagons involved.

90% people are right handed, so held the reigns in their right hand. So it made sense to sit on the left. And drive in the right. As a norm, then rule.
Britain tho, until 1800s, was a tiny island without the scale or logistical needs of Continental Europe. Transport there was primarily individual horses. 90% people are right handed there too. But right handers climb a horse from the left, using the right arm to pull them up.
Read 11 tweets
May 21
Mumbai & Chennai are port cities. Hard to avoid flooding. And Mumbai gets rainfall like no other major city in the world.

Bangalore Pune flooding is the batshit insanity. Both are on an elevation. No history of such floods until IT-fueled "development".

Felt it in Pune! 🧵
Last week in Pune, I went to many cousins' & friends' new or recent homes. In and around Pashan. And I could picture exactly which areas were sure to flood. I've walked those hills for years.

Why is it called Pashan?

Some of the oldest & hardest rock on the planet!
Marathi has a word for seasonal streams. ओढा. Literally means "to pull".

Those rocky hills had centuries, millennia old odhas which took water from heavy rain all the way down to the rivers. Mudslides were unheard of, given how hard the rock was.

Then came "development".
Read 7 tweets
May 15
Personal story 🧵

Recently I was in Pune for a short trip visiting parents. Had sprained ankle, wanted to ice it. But their fridge didn't have enough ice.

Went on dad's Activa to nearby medical store to get a gel pack. Next door is a barber shop. A dude was outside. /1
Guy in his 30s. Looked at me & gave a big smile, waved.

I was confused. This was Pune not the Midwest. People don't just randomly smile at strangers. Did I know him from childhood or youth? Didn't seem familiar.

But I was limping & in pain. So drove away.
Coupla days later, dad was making chai but we were out of khari. I took Activa to grocery store next to same barber shop.

Again as I was leaving, same dude standing outside smiled & waved. I again smiled. Still couldn't place him.

Maybe it was his way to attract customers?
Read 15 tweets
May 10
Be it 1993 serial blasts, 2001 Parliament attack, 26/11 or German Bakery, Indian govt identified perpetrators and laid out details of how they happened very soon.

But we still have no answers or details on Uri all these years later. Public was satisfied with Balakot alone.
Will that be the fate of Pahalgam too? Will we get no serious investigation of the terrorist perpetrators and no serious systemic introspection of security lapses, because these missile strikes and dogfights have brought the josh to shallow armchair patriots?
Have you ever been to Kashmir? There are so many security personnel doing security checks everywhere. You can't carry a nailcutter into a sensitive location, much less a truck full of explosives in the middle of a lot of Indian soldiers. Or guns at one of the most popular spots.
Read 6 tweets

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