Thread by @MD_Nalapat

❝Those in the US and India who seek to “prevent war” seem to be unaware that the conflict has already started, and will end only with the defeat of one side over the other.❞

Xi gambles on Mission Meltdown in U.S. & India i.mdnalapat.com/tsg200920

For Xi, as for his idol Mao Zedong, what counts is raw power and its exercise. He is clearly a believer in the adage that if an opponent is in a weaker position, it is irrelevant where that person’s heart and mind is, for he will be forced into doing what is wanted of him.

Even the “friendly face” of the PRC, Wang Yi, is voluble during conversations that his country is 100% right in whatever its leadership says or does, & so discussions need to centre around the sole point of how quickly & smoothly the other side acknowledges such an obvious fact.

The removal of the two-term limit by PRC President Xi Jinping has been taken as an indication that the CCP General Secretary would like to remain in office until the close of his life. However, the fact is different... .

India and the US are the two countries which figure prominently in the calculations of the team that has been gathered around Xi, individuals seen as the “best and the brightest” that the CCP has to offer.

An intensive effort is under way within the US to map for the CCP leadership the faultlines in US society and how they are developing. Or can be developed, a task in which China’s key ally Russia has been assigned to play the lead role on behalf of the common interests of 🇷🇺 🇨🇳.

The reality is that both (Putin & Xi) wish to see the end of US primacy, ensure a fissured EU, and a weak congeries of South Asian and Southeast Asian states.

A Washington-Delhi pairing as close as the Moscow-Beijing partnership would present an immense obstacle to the global designs of the Sino-Russian alliance, and extraordinary effort is being made by both capitals to ensure that this not take place.

Just as the US is regarded as being close to getting tipped into a societal war on a scale that will dwarf the unrest of the 1960s whoever wins on 3 November, India is calculated as being potentially vulnerable to a similar meltdown of public confidence and order.

More than in the South China Sea or across the Taiwan Straits, it is the Himalayan massif that is likely to witness a kinetic effort by the PLA. This would be designed to shatter the image and confidence of India.

Should the General Secretary’s Himalayan adventure end in catastrophe for the PLA, the impact on his leadership would be immediate.

i.mdnalapat.com/tsg200920