One of the reasons why there was some confusion on Black Top and Helmet Top and whether the Indian Army controlled it or not, was because since those heights are on Chinese side of the LAC, Indians did not wish to look as being violating of LAC.
At the same time these heights needed to be in Indian control, so it was the SSF and Tibetans, who captured those heights. Black Top and Helmet Top are officially under the control of the Tibetans, not of the Indian Army.
In more than a few occasions, the Tibetan flag has been used on top of heights. This is going to become the new norm.
India will not hesitate to take areas on the Chinese side of the LAC if it bolsters defense of Ladakh, as well as enables return of Indian territory.
However from now on, all that conquest of territory on Chinese side of LAC will be accredited to the Tibetans and it will be the Tibetan flag that will fly on those heights and areas.
Even if territory is not in Tibet proper but in Ladakh, but under Chinese control, it will ...
... be reclaimed under Tibetan flag, not the Indian flag.
India is again making this issue into an Indo-Tibetan border issue.
This allows India with Tibetan troops to ingress not just across the LAC in Ladakh, but into Tibet proper, and as far India wishes.
And yet officially it will not be India liberating/conquering Chinese-held territory but Tibetan forces.
Chinese conflict with India is officially now limited to a better understanding of where the LAC is
Rest of China's border issues will now be with Free Tibet forces under 👇
This means from now on, Indian troops + SFF may be taking over various areas across China's view of LAC, but we won't be claiming that those areas are under Indian control. All such moves wd simply be called readjustments.
Chinese troops will only see Tibetan flags flying there.
How does this strategy really screw China?
1. Indians are saying, we are on our side of LAC, so China cannot make a good case for escalation.
2. India may in fact be in control of strategic points, not just in Ladakh, but also in Tibet, but we may not say so, other than a little vaguely. So if we don't say it, has it even happened?! 🙂
3) In all those positions, Tibetans will fly their flag & dance, and PLA will have to see all that as an impotent. Other Tibetans, in Tibet will find out, and there will be an uprising.
So Chinese fighting against an army, fighting under the Tibetan flag, is destabilizing for 🇨🇳
4) India, most likely, at an official level, is not even going to acknowledge any support for Free Tibet.
All that would be hollow talk. Talk didn't help Pakistan in Kashmir.
But there will be a lot of fighting.
5) China cannot publicly acknowledge that Indian troops under Tibetan flag are fighting against PRC in a region formerly controlled by them, because that would be both loss of face and may trigger even more uprising in Tibet and elsewhere.
And this is how little emperors from PRC will die in far away lands without even being honored in death in a military ceremony.
Here's how the Indian side explains it.
So, even if the Indian side occupies any features on Chinese side of LAC, Indian side will only officially confirm control over Indian side of the LAC.
includes: raw military might, technological superiority, AI, space satellites, heavy machinery, infrastructure, manufacturing capacity, server farms, etc
2) Operating System Challenge
includes: UNSC, world banking system, social media platforms, international sports bodies, Internet DNS, online commerce hegemons, intellectual property rights, etc
3) Social Software
includes: non-native languages, western entertainment, foreign streaming platforms, missionary networks, non-Indic religions, NGOs, colonial mentality, bureaucratic lethargy, corruption, increasing promiscuity, decay in family values, etc.
What Putin has managed is, is after ages of lethargy and indeciveness, to bring about a level of Western unity on how to deal with an adversary.
This is the main takeaway from this war.
This will also be the template for the future against other adversaries.
Xi will be getting a message loud and clear.
It also means that PRC will now try to make itself resistant against these pressures.
India needs to learn the same lessons.
Whereas China has its domain of info warfare completely under its control, in India, it seems we are the world's most open city with zero fortifications.
Not just that we don't own our own social media platforms, we don't even have m
Here is my try at analyzing Putin. What are his motives? What is that what everybody may be ignoring or just not seeing.
Putin must have played this out in his mind. So here goes.
Aim 1: He does not just want part of Ukraine. He wants all of it. Why?
Putin's motive is not just to conquer land. Russia is big enough. Putin wants Russia to again be a central European power with borders with Poland, Hungary, Slovakia and Romania.
Putin does not want buffer states between Central Europe and Russia.
Aim 2: Putin sees Ukraine as part of the Russian civilization, and cannot see it being turned against Russians. So Ukraine would be totally Russified. That means those, who feel Ukraine-nationalist, will not be acceptable in Russified-Ukraine.
In the next two days world history will be determined.
1) Either Ukraine falls to Putin and Russia remains in SWIFT, resulting in Russia again becoming a player in Central Europe, leading ultimately to a weakening of Anglo-American and WEF-Liberal grip on politics of the West;OR
2) Russia is cut off from SWIFT, and Russia is enmeshed is a long-lasting urban-guerilla fighting between Russian occupiers vs Ukranian neo-Nazi militias supported by the West, which leads to Russia investing more forces to Ukraine.
This would ultimately lead to Russia's ...
total dependence on China for market, for banking services, etc.
Yes, someday may come then, when Putin AND Russian Federation collapse.
China will then take over the whole of Eastern Russia which lies in Asia, in order to "ensure security".
I think, Pakistan may not really have thought this through.
Many of the fighters who have gone to Afghanistan now, were earlier Pakistan's cannon-fodder. They're now in Afghanistan, and thus aren't available to Pakistan any further.
There is no incentive for them to come and fight for Pakistan against India in Kashmir.
Pakistan may not have the same level of control on political messaging in various seminaries in Afghanistan, where they can spread the same anti-India hate as happened in Pakistan.
Effectively, Taliban have been freed from Pakistani oversight and control.
Sure, in Afghanistan, Taliban will do mayhem as per their ideology, but politically Taliban is now free.
2. Neither Russia, China, Iran, Pakistan, USA nor Turkey will be trying to dislodge it. There's no opposition game left anymore.
3. Afghans have been betrayed, ANA units have crossed over to Taliban.
4. It is of no use to try to deny the Taliban recognition from our side. They ARE in power.
5. Our recognition or lack of it, doesn't make them weaker. They have access to Pak, Iran, China, Russia, etc, who can meet all their diplomatic and investment requirements.
6. If India had a credible game in Afghanistan, then it would have been different. Then we may have supported other groups. But we don't. We lack land access. We can't really help anybody there.