pre-Barbarossa: losing only 100k soldiers - Hitler achieved in 7 weeks what nobody else in history had done, not Napoleon, not Caesar
He had conquered & combined what is basically the modern day EU, relying on this new economic production
So Hitler's resource calculations relied on estimates of total production the army would depend on based upon each country's pre-war output
But countries did not come close to reaching these levels of production under coercion that they had achieved freely & individually
In less than 2 years, the entire European infrastructure CRUMBLED
CONSENSUS (pop at least) is the Nazis w/ their shiny boots and BLITZKRIEG were unstoppable
It's true pound for pound that this Prussian military tradition was ELITE
However, the other side of this, per vh
is less discussed, which is WTF happened to France, the GREAT TERROR of Europe?
The German army was ~3M
French army ~3M, allies ~4M
French char b tank >> anything Germany had at time
Similarly w/ fighters
On paper - this should've been a draw or close fight
What happened?
General Halder told Hitler is was horrible idea, General Beck resigned
Hitler: "I've seen them at Munich and they're worms"
Important lesson here about a nation's SPIRIT
France outlawed mentions of Verdun from school textbooks
Holland renamed destroyer 'flotilla leader'
(This is all from late 20s throughout 30s leading up to war)
Oxford debating society: "for King and Country I shall not fight"
WW1 victors tried to forget the great war, refashion language & attitudes
Meanwhile Germany was doing pushups in the parking lot...
allies overall sentiment of appeasement, belief in "soft power", every excuse the western democracies could think of to deceive themselves and blind their society to WHAT NEEDED TO BE DONE
All resource & material advantages were sacrificed b/c of an unwillingness to FIGHT
However, the Prussian Spirit lives:
Bf-109 pilots - 5 missions per day vs 2 for French fighters
French tanks got to Meuse River to defend their civilization, asked where bridging equipment was, waited around 2 days for it
Rommel SWAM ACROSS THE RIVER
This was the difference
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My 🧵attempt at summarizing Spandrell's essay on Bioleninism (biological Leninism)
Spandrell starts his essay reviewing the loyalty generating mechanisms of the ruling classes in Europe - in their transformations from feudalism to absolutism onto liberalism
Important note on what's being addressed: this is not about various forms of govt, but factional ruling class loyalty mechanisms
Which inner party faction rules a state / society, how cohesive / loyal / stable is this faction, and which factions tend to outcompete others by generating fiercer loyalty mechanisms? Which group will get to extract rents, and exclude others from doing so?
In the 1960s U.S. this would be white male WASPs (natural/evolved), in Ptolemaic Egypt it was the Greek speaking Ptolemaic dynasty (outside conquerors), in the Soviet Union it was the communist dregs (ethnics, criminals), etc.
Feudalism is natural and extremely effective at generating loyalty - it's the transposition of hierarchy from a wartime conquering army onto peacetime - but is bad at getting things done - eg raising taxes, building, coordination
"The generals become counts. The colonels become earls. Everyone gets a peace of land, a set of rules of behavior, a set of duties of fealty."
Everyone is zealous about inherited status but resistant to change
If you work in data science, machine learning etc pay very close attention. The tools to rule your company, and forever squash any notion of "buy" (vendor) vs "build" have never been more accessible and at your fingertips. This will separate you from your peers going forward:
There's a sense in which what I'm going to say is completely stupid and obvious - "learn to work with these APIs" - but even in one of the largest tech companies I see complacency / separation happening as we speak.
The great superpower of all this AI stuff isn't being able to hop onto chatgpt for inspiration in writing a company comms. It's that they built seamless, well-documented APIs and a cookbook for how to build all sorts of applications with this stuff
One of the ideas that completely fascinates me lately is @CovfefeAnon 's "The Woke are more correct than the mainstream"
"South Africa used to have a Space program"
Liberals: "under the leadership of the ANC..."
Wokes: "yeah b/c apartheid" (b/c you locked up all the black ppl"
"Look at the decline of cities in the U.S."
Liberals: Republicans and their budget cuts refuse to fund schools, public services etc. Plus that's just nostalgia
Wokes: "It was only the good ole days for white people, blacks and gays were marginalized"
It's like woke millennials can sense the mainstream liberal contradictions. What's implicit in their arguments is that the COST of the good ole days / high functioning society WAS 'marginalizing blacks / gays' - it's a remarkable recognition even if implicitly
@CovfefeAnon For rw people with family or even just married, The opportunity cost of simply engaging in battle in order to just 'not lose' a relatively insignificant institution like the local library is enormous. For the single librarian cat lady - low opp cost for the cause
@CovfefeAnon The librarian *only* serves the cause in whatever way. For a rw'er, fighting costs time w/ kids etc. As Mr. Kaczynski pointed out - the leftist typology has extreme inferiority, intensely identifying w/ weak/defeated ppl and collectivist politics
@CovfefeAnon They have massive disproportionality in the number of people/soldiers with first order concerns that go directly to a much larger / more powerful collective (Egregore). The modal conservative's 1st order concern is to family
Covid accelerated the trend of people spending increasing amounts of their time not engaging / socializing in palpable, physical reality but in an artificial, simulated hyperreality - a digital world of abstractions and images 🧵
'The current thing' is not about the substantive issue - it's about the process of technological control that provokes unquestioning obligatory social responses - not by a change in people's material reality but by changes to the inputs in their artificial hyperreality
The smooth, sudden transition and totality of media demands are the issue, not 'the thing' per se - reflexively adopting, rationalizing and defending a new set of self-contradictory media-mandated morals every four months is a SOCIAL response. This is
***oversocialization***
You have to understand German Unification - suddenly overnight it creates an autocracy of elite Prussian militarism powered by an economy w/ largest population in Europe all during peak industrialization
This Germany in Central Europe is surrounded by enemies on all sides
All under major influence of Britain, who has ruled the world since Waterloo. France and Britain with their combined dominions and colonies own a significant share of the world at this point, Britain is the leader, and German Unification massively upsets this balance of power
Twitter not conducive to the level of detail / depth needed to go from there regarding arms races, mobilization, Russia etc, Bismarck, Russia and Britain's relationship etc - but we could just as easily marvel at how it took so long for a European civil war to break out