Jen Roesch Profile picture
Sep 20, 2020 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
This is so bad & terribly wrong, I'm not even sure where to begin. It's disappointing that @jacobinmag, which has run wonderful pieces by & about teachers fighting for their own lives & those of their students, would run a piece arguing *for* opening schools & economy. 1/
There's so much to say, but just a few major things for now:

The idea that Covid only targets the old is false. Young people die & Black people age 25-34 have a 10x greater chance of dying from it than white people their age. Our health inequalities mean more vulnerabilities. 2/
The idea that we can just lock away the elderly & let the young get on w/ their lives is ignorant of working-class life. 3.3 million seniors live w/ a school-age child (20% of Latinos). 20% work. Many are care providers for grandchildren and/or cared for by adult children. 3/
The explanation for racial disparities in death rates is glib, dismissive & wrong. It cannot simply be explained by overrepresentation of BIPOC in the urban working class b/c the disparities persist in areas where white people are the majority. 4/
The left has not ceded the "anti-lockdown" terrain to the right. The anti-lockdown terrain IS the terrain of the right. Black, Latinx and low-income people support lockdowns & other measures by dramatically higher numbers in every poll. 5/
Opposition to lockdown measures has come from the middle class & small business - and increasingly from the employer class more generally. Demand to open restaurants, for ex, has come from owners, not from workers. 6/
It's true that essential workers have borne the brunt of the virus, but those risks have been greatest when distancing measures are limited. It is possible to protect essential workers if other mitigation measures are in place. They bear the brunt of the risk w/ reopenings. 7/
Moreover, millions of workers have falsely been designated as essential workers. The true number of actually essential workers & businesses is much smaller. Limiting employers' ability to force these workers into unsafe conditions would save lives. 8/
Rather than providing ideological ammunition for capital's drive to reopen the economy, our side should be demanding that the vast wealth accumulated during the pandemic (& prior) be used to economically support workers: a pandemic income, rent relief, paid parental leave, etc 9/
Broad economic measures to support workers will not only save lives but they will be more effective in helping those affected by the pandemic. We've seen that reopening has barely made a dent in unemployment rates & the economy will continue to suffer as the virus plows on. 10/
They discuss herd immunity as if it's a menu of options. But there is no path to herd immunity short of a vaccine that doesn't rely on massive numbers of excess deaths. 11/
They deride those who want to lower infection rates as individualistic while failing to disclose the # of deaths that their strategy would entail - deaths that target the elderly, people with health vulnerabilities, immigrants, the working-class & people of color. 12/
Finally, while a vaccine is the most reliable & universal response, it is possible to contain the virus short of a vaccine. Many countries have successfully done so to the point that deaths number in hundreds, dozens & even single digits (total)while we approach 200k. 13/

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More from @JenRoesch

Oct 11, 2020
This article is widely circulating, what people want to hear and, unfortunately, it is dangerously misleading. A (very long) thread:
1/
She cites a .13% infection rate in her own study and one of less than 1/2 a percent "even in high-risk areas". However, there is no large-scale, randomized testing of students happening in schools. These #'s are students who voluntarily tested & were reported in schools. 2/
These rates use the total student population as the denominator, not the # of students tested. This is a different measurement than the positivity rate (% of those tested). Without widespread testing, we have no idea how many students are infected. 3/
Read 17 tweets
Sep 21, 2020
It is utterly disingenuous to describe the US as having implemented a lockdown strategy. It was tried briefly & then abandoned in much of the US - the same parts that experienced the 2nd wave & doubled our deaths from June-Sep. Sweden should be ashamed to be in our company.
Sweden is one of the wealthiest countries in the world, w/ a social democratic state, world-class healthcare system, & a major portion of its population living alone yet still ranks in the 11 highest deaths per capita. Its neighbors have per capita rates of 50-100 vs their 577.
Also: total failures of logic in the comments. For ex., that the top 10 countries for deaths per capita are "lockdown" countries is proof that lockdowns made things worse & Sweden (at #11) is the model. Really we should look at the lowest death rates & ask what they did right.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 20, 2020
@NYCMayor says it's safe to open school. However, the modeling projections developed by Columbia's School of Public Health in order to advise NYC on school & Phase 4 reopening plans shows that he knows it is not. A thread (h/t @Incindery1 who shared this with me): 1/
They modeled projections for 3 policies: a) open all biz (incl ph4) at 50% & schools at 100% capacity; b) open all biz (incl ph4) % schools at 50%; c) open ph1-3 biz 50%; ph4 biz 25%; schools 100%.

Notably, they did NOT model a policy of keeping schools & ph4 biz closed. 2/
Opening schools & biz at 50% means that, if transmission rates remain stable, they expect 14,456 deaths between 6/30/20 & 5/31/21. If contact tracing is successful in reducing transmission by 10%, it's 9,700 deaths. And if transmission increases by 10%, it's 18,774 deaths. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Sep 19, 2020
One thing I think is getting lost in the mass of confusing & horrifying details about NYC's school reopening plans: attempting to recreate "normal" school in the context of a pandemic is educationally & developmentally inappropriate &, by definition, cannot be trauma-informed. 1/
Trying to open in-person stresses teachers & reduces their ability to be there for students the way they need. It requires strict safety measures that tilt the balance towards discipline & control. It puts the burden of virus control on very young children. 2/
The fiction of "normal" school creates academic demands that are unreasonable. Whether in-person or remote, we can't expect kids to learn in the same ways or on the same schedules as previously. We can't just shift the classroom to a screen. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Sep 18, 2020
Oh my god, this is brilliant and beautiful - captures so perfectly the determination & collective spirt, and justified rage, of this city's working-class majority as we have been left behind by our leaders & business elite. Crying. I needed this.
"Do the chattering classes from City Hall to Wall Street who so richly enjoy thinking of themselves as civic leaders have any idea what the past six months have been like here? The terror of wailing ambulance sirens followed by a terrible silence."
"Doctors and nurses already warring against the coronavirus joined protests against police brutality on their lunch breaks, kneeling in the middle of Union Square in their white coats, their fists raised in the air."
Read 4 tweets
Sep 16, 2020
Based on our 1st day experience today, I'm guessing a lot of parents are going to be frustrated & upset. From tech to social-emotional aspects to communication styles & schedules, there's room for a lot of disappointment. A thread w/ some initial thoughts: 1/
Teachers spent the last weeks tracking cases in their schools, trying to get windows to open, monitoring ventilation reports, trying to get childcare for their own kids, getting tested & going over safety procedures. There's a lot of fear & it's founded & rational. 2/
This means there was not time for the important discussions about how to deal w/ the trauma kids are bringing to school w/ them, how to engage kids remotely w/o resorting to fear-based discipline & petty consequences, or how to talk to kids about safety w/o scaring them. 3/
Read 9 tweets

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