I’m noticing there’s a lot less negativity on social media about our elimination strategy as our daily cases fall, as the cluster is contained, and testing/tracing shuts down the outbreak - as it works. “Let it run” means kiss Level 1 goodbye, stress++, more hospital headlines.
Under stress, news headlines point wistfully to (worse) situations overseas, where Level 1 is a dream, deaths are high, Plan B academics in the news again. Let’s acknowledge when the strategy is working. For instance, we could have the UK situation here: bbc.com/news/uk-542219…
Or we could be grappling with similar issues in hard hit Victoria (recognise these?) - where outbreaks amongst essential health workers have (probably) prolonged the necessary duration of the lockdown: smh.com.au/national/victo…
Or we could be Singapore, who have done extremely well, with few deaths despite over 50,000 cases (likely due to other factors including excellent healthcare, demographic) - but look how similar the issues are to NZ: straitstimes.com/singapore/heal…
All I’m trying to say is that - when things are going well, because our unique strategy is working - we are still wrestling with the same issues seen elsewhere. We also have a lot to be grateful for, as cases are rising in many countries, including across Europe ahead of winter.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Today’s covid update has NZ Twitter feeling wild. The traffic light system ends. There is a clear shift from using non-pharmacological interventions, to reliance on pharmacological interventions to manage covid.
To judge this decision, we need to ask four questions.
A thread🧵/1
The four questions are these: 1/ Who remains at (greatest) risk? 2/ How effective are vaccines for those at risk? 3/ How effective is paxlovid for those at risk? 4/ What is the risk (to the population) of long covid?
I can’t see that these 4 ques were addressed at the standup, /2
So I have tried to hunt down some up to date answers in the latest studies.
Before I get stuck in, I just want to say that these questions matter immensely. Because what is at stake here is public trust in the government’s covid response.
Our primary school kept masks compulsory through winter for Y4 upwards when we moved into Orange. That decision has paid off tremendously. Just received email from Principal saying that unlike neighbouring schools, we’ve had no year group closures due to staff illness/outbreak /1
My boys have been able to enjoy two full school terms of uninterrupted learning. The rhythm and consistency has been amazing for their wellbeing, esp with our youngest starting school this year. We’ve also avoided catching covid as a family - I’ve made it to my second booster. /2
This winter was always going to be tough after closed borders. Wearing masks when indoors helps keep schools open for learning in this tricky season. Schools should be encouraged to create strong mask cultures for the start of Term 3, if not already. paediatrics.org.nz/news/article/m…
I’m encouraged that mainstream media are increasingly interested in how the pandemic has affected children, going beyond case counts and covid complications.
All around the world, incl here in Aotearoa, we are seeing the impacts of the pandemic on children and young people - disruption, anxiety, financial stress, educational gaps, and more. The TL;DR is, we need to pay attention to these impacts so we can support our young people /2
As parents, there’s a lot we can do to support our children’s flourishing, despite everything happening. Children flourish with stability, consistency, and connection. As much as is possible, try to give this to them. Establish family routines that help you connect. /3
The Royal Children’s Hospital in Melbourne is recording a surge in hospital presentations from influenza, RSV, Covid-19, parainfluenza, enteroviruses etc.
NZ parents, schools, and other settings can act now to help reduce the risk this winter to kids /1 smh.com.au/national/surge…
It is well worth it for NZ parents to read the article in full, because NZ infection patterns tend to follow those in Australia. /2
The first thing is, if you’ve got children over 6 months of age, they can be vaccinated to protect against serious illness from influenza. kidshealth.org.nz/flu-influenza
#Budget2022. A missed opportunity to reduce child poverty. The major investment in healthcare services needed to go hand in hand with efforts to reduce poverty.
Poverty is a major determinant of child health. Investing in one without the other is ambulance at the bottom stuff
Child health is exquisitely sensitive to child poverty. We can’t achieve child health and well-being without tackling child poverty. /2
In terms of #Budget2022, if the government’s figures are taken at face value, one in ten children are in material hardship, and one in seven are in income poverty. Poverty rates for Māori and Pacific children are much higher, as well as for disabled children. /3
Cabinet is going to possibly announce changes to the traffic light settings in Ao/NZ on Thursday. A shift to orange could mean masks are no longer mandated for Y4+ in schools.
Here are five reasons why I think we should keep wearing masks in schools through this winter /1
First, masks are about source control - protecting each other. They are a simple and effective way to reduce the risk of transmission of Covid-19, and are an important layer of protection in schools during the pandemic. /1
Secondly, students in Y4+ and up have done a brilliant job (mostly) in wearing masks indoors. It is easier to keep these good habits in place for a bit longer, than to repeal and then replace them. /2