Some random thoughts on the return of the 'Daily Briefing' today. I remember it with something approaching fondness... back in April/May, it was often the highlight of the lockdown day (though it rarely failed to disappoint). 1/
Way back then, the core message was simple. Stay home, protect the NHS, save lives. The debates were about sunbathing in parks, walking in the Peaks, and buying Easter eggs. 2/
Since then, the message has become more complex. What is the policy re returning to work, holidays, and mask wearing? There is a lot of confusion. 3/
Thus, there is a call for clear communication (instead of suggestions that if stricter measures are reintroduced it will be because the people failed to abide by the rules and guidance). 4/
So... it is, I think, good that the Briefing is returning today. But its return has not been managed well. 5/
There are two problems which are immediately apparent. First, it is at 11am on a Monday morning (when most people will be working). Why not have it yesterday? Or after work? 6/
Second, it will feature only the scientists, and not Govt Ministers. The relationship between SAGE, PHE, the CMO and the Govt has been much debated and is problematic. 7/
For better or worse, the decision of the Govt not to be involved today speaks to a further erosion of the idea that the Govt is 'following the science'. 8/
But, saying that, there are a lot of questions which need to be answered - and who knows, breaking with precedent, it may be that some useful answers do emerge. Here are four to start the ball rolling. 9/
What does the recent rise in cases mean in terms of the prospects for hospitalisations and deaths (which are now rising, but only slowly)? [There are many theories; I want to hear what they have to say.] 10/
Where do we stand in terms of the COVID alert level? Does the rise in cases mean that we need to row back on the phased reopening (especially if we need to ensure that schools remain open and education continues)? 11/
What does behavioural science tell us about how much people are likely to adhere to 'the rule of six' and 'hands, space, face' and complex quarantine rules? 12/
What has happened to test, trace and isolate? Wasn't it a fundamental aspect of the return to the new normal? Is it not reckless to reopen workplaces, schools and Universities without a fully-functioning, quick and easy system? 13/
Hopefully, we will get some answers at today's briefing. Or at least a set of more pointed questions which we will then be able to put to the Govt. 14/14
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