Phil Syrpis Profile picture
Sep 21, 2020 14 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Some random thoughts on the return of the 'Daily Briefing' today. I remember it with something approaching fondness... back in April/May, it was often the highlight of the lockdown day (though it rarely failed to disappoint). 1/
Way back then, the core message was simple. Stay home, protect the NHS, save lives. The debates were about sunbathing in parks, walking in the Peaks, and buying Easter eggs. 2/
Since then, the message has become more complex. What is the policy re returning to work, holidays, and mask wearing? There is a lot of confusion. 3/
Thus, there is a call for clear communication (instead of suggestions that if stricter measures are reintroduced it will be because the people failed to abide by the rules and guidance). 4/
So... it is, I think, good that the Briefing is returning today. But its return has not been managed well. 5/
There are two problems which are immediately apparent. First, it is at 11am on a Monday morning (when most people will be working). Why not have it yesterday? Or after work? 6/
Second, it will feature only the scientists, and not Govt Ministers. The relationship between SAGE, PHE, the CMO and the Govt has been much debated and is problematic. 7/
For better or worse, the decision of the Govt not to be involved today speaks to a further erosion of the idea that the Govt is 'following the science'. 8/
But, saying that, there are a lot of questions which need to be answered - and who knows, breaking with precedent, it may be that some useful answers do emerge. Here are four to start the ball rolling. 9/
What does the recent rise in cases mean in terms of the prospects for hospitalisations and deaths (which are now rising, but only slowly)? [There are many theories; I want to hear what they have to say.] 10/
Where do we stand in terms of the COVID alert level? Does the rise in cases mean that we need to row back on the phased reopening (especially if we need to ensure that schools remain open and education continues)? 11/
What does behavioural science tell us about how much people are likely to adhere to 'the rule of six' and 'hands, space, face' and complex quarantine rules? 12/
What has happened to test, trace and isolate? Wasn't it a fundamental aspect of the return to the new normal? Is it not reckless to reopen workplaces, schools and Universities without a fully-functioning, quick and easy system? 13/
Hopefully, we will get some answers at today's briefing. Or at least a set of more pointed questions which we will then be able to put to the Govt. 14/14

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More from @syrpis

Jun 5
Probably not one for the heat of the election battle, but for me at least, something which goes to the core of the damage done by this Govt.

It is about the Govt's relationship with the set of institutions listed below. THREAD 1/8
I'm thinking of Parliament, the justice system, the Church, the armed forces, transport, schools, local government, the BBC, the NHS, social care systems, welfare systems, schools, universities, utility companies, the post office, the National Trust, libraries, etc 2/8
It's difficult to know just how to describe them.

Perhaps... what used to be 'the public realm'?

In any case, they now have a range of very different relationships with the 'state'. 3/8
Read 8 tweets
Sep 21, 2023
After yesterday's intervention on net-zero, it's time for an assessment of Rishi Sunak.

TL;DR: he's doomed.🧵1/11
The core difficulty he faces, is the same core difficulty faced by all PMs since that fateful day in 2016.

He is having to navigate the gap - the chasm, rather - between the wishes and dreams of the Tory Right and reality/public opinion. 2/
Let's look at how his predecessors sought to navigate that chasm.

Liz Truss fully embraced the wishes and dreams of the Right, earned (and is still earning (ker-ching)) rave reviews from those groups... and lasted 45 days. Reality could not endure her. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Sep 15, 2023
We know that the plans of governments are often derailed by 'events'... and we know that, in recent years, COVID and the war in Ukraine have been hugely significant and disruptive.

But I'm becoming increasingly annoyed by the Govt's use of 'events' as an excuse. 🧵1/6
The most recent example is the attempt to blame striking NHS staff for the failure of the Govt to achieve its NHS waiting list targets.

Well... if the Govt doesn't invest in staff, then staff shortages, and strikes, are a predictable response. 2/
Similarly, if the Govt doesn't invest in school buildings, it is likely to encounter problems (like RAAC) which will lead to school closures and disruption to education. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 27, 2023
If there’s a unifying theme, it’s that people on the Right in the ‘culture wars’ want to act, and do act, as they please.

They do not believe that any negative consequences should attach to their words and actions. 1/3
They fail to see that their words and actions may have negative consequences for others, which those others may, legitimately, guard against.

It’s an individualistic mindset. And one which ignores power dynamics in society. 2/3
Johnson and Farage are two exemplars of this thinking.

They are used to getting what they want. And their instinct is to crush those who stand in their way. 3/3
Read 5 tweets
May 31, 2023
So... in the wake of the Starmer Express interview (personal highlight that our European 'friends' are 'eating our lunch' and 'nicking our dinner money too' (no, me neither)), what are people expecting a Starmer Govt to do on the question of Europe? 1/6
I see a lot of comments to the effect that he is saying what (he thinks) needs to be said in order to win an election.

This tends to be accompanied by hope (for others, fear) that, if he wins, he will change tack, and reveal his true colours. 2/
It is true that nothing he says now will in any meaningful sense 'bind' him if he wins power. He will have a free hand.

BUT... 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 5, 2023
So much of the Brexit debate is the same.

People point out the consequences of being outside the EU, eg the extra checks required for people and goods to access the EU market.

And other people respond by saying it’s nothing to do with Brexit (and/or the EU’s fault). 1/6
Obviously all sorts of factors combine to produce effects on the economy.

Covid, the war in Ukraine, and govt ineptitude all play a role.

And so does Brexit. 2/6
Cooperating with other countries is the way to reduce trade frictions.

That’s why trade deals matter - you can negotiate for better access than you otherwise would have, returns agreements, participation in shared projects, etc etc. 3/6
Read 6 tweets

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