Marc Ambinder Profile picture
Sep 22, 2020 20 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1. The United States DOES NOT HAVE a national counter-disinformation strategy. I say again, for the people in the back: the United States does NOT have a whole-of-government, whole of society, whole-of-anything strategy to address the grave threats posed by disinfo.
2. This is odd. It is infuriating. It is not surprising. The current president's national security strategy identifies fighting misinformation as a priority, although it treats MI as though it's an attack vector, rather than an emergent global condition hsdl.org/?abstract&did=…
3. The @nsa, @ncscgov, and @cisa have done well -- credit to them -- in fortifying physical critical infrastructure from external and internal sabotage. The @fbi and @DHSgov have the helm inside the country. This is basically all they do, though.
4. Press releases. With officious language. Telling us what we already know. Their solution: The FBI "urges the American public to critically evaluate the sources of information they consume." Well -- yes. Thanks. How?
5. State and local election officials have basically no money to condition the public about what havoc misinformation might wreak on election night. And no one has trained them in the art of combating misinformation. (The great @USC_TrueVote initiative is as close as we've got.)
6. The media is all over the place. Crazed and confused. Unsure of how to report ABOUT misinformation without amplifying it. Unsure of how to condition their audience for various election night outcomes without confusing them. Unsure of how to build and sustain trust.
7. Our chronic information disorder, a consequence of 30+ years of truth decay (@RANDCorporation's coinage), platform-mediated information flows, deliberate efforts to undermine government sources of raw data, post 2000 asymmetric polarization... theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
8.... is obvious to anyone who glances at the @CDCgov home page. The sense that, in future national security/ public health emergencies, people will turn to the government instead of to "trusted" friends and neighbors on social platforms has been vitiated.
(Begin parenthetical: And yes -- of course -- the current administration, willfully and through mistakes, has made all of this so much worse. Anyone who reads this already knows; not going to dwell on the point. I want to move forward. End parenthetical).
9. This is especially true during what scholars who work at @zittrain's Assembly Program have called "news voids" - when people really NEED info but no one HAS it -- this is the moment when misinformation spread is most harmful because whatever people hear first will stick,
10. ...because it's right at this point where bad actors can easily inject misinformation into high-velocity, high-impact channels.... because people are cognitively unprepared to be critical thinkers when they are in limbic hijack....
11. Platforms are just now starting to introduce friction during these moments americanprogress.org/issues/technol…
12. But for a myriad of reasons, they haven't figured out how to scale the technology solutions to reduce the incentives for engaging with misinformation during emergencies. time.com/5884804/mark-z…
13. Facebook (to focus on one platform) has thousands of people working on this. They work hard. And people still get hurt. buzzfeednews.com/article/craigs…
14. There is NO national strategy here. There are national strategies elsewhere. (cf, Taiwan, Sweden.) I fully appreciate that a national strategy to fight against an international chronic condition that has its own physics won't be sufficient. But is IS necessary.
15. It will engage/pressure the platforms. It will completely revamp essential USG public communication. It will extend its reach from public schools to the nuclear decision handbook carried by the Milaide (though that part might be classified.) Its goal should be...
16. ... nothing less than a major update to our mental software, where digital competence is deemed critically essential AND where students are taught from an early age about the physics of cause and effect in the digital dimension.
17. It would recapitalize local journalism. Local journalists are THE counter-disinformation army. There are thousands of fewer combatants; we need many more.
18. It would ensuring that the public gets access to accurate information in crises must be a NATIONAL ESSENTIAL PRIORITY. Those three words have meaning to folks who write government strategies.
19. This can be done. It can. Really. We can do it without the government becoming a content moderator. We can do it WITH political uncertainty (@Aelkus) still existing as a perpetual feature of human interaction. But we can't do it without bottom-up and top-down pressure.

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More from @marcambinder

Aug 14, 2022
So, nuclear classification issues. For the @NNSAHruby equities - National Nuclear Security Administration, part of the @ENERGY department, @CherylRofer has a great explainer. As @wellerstein and others have explained exhaustively, a lot of information about nuclear weapons is.
Born classified. That is, by statute, not by executive order, it is protected national defense information. NNSA and DOE declassify various bits ... like, "the yield from this test was x" or "ablative laser refraction is used to help develop more precisely implosion technologies.
These documents don't usually make their way to the White House. They have to do with the technical specifications of nukes, their vulnerabilities, the science of the Super, etc. The most sensitive category of Restricted Data is probably Sigma 14.
Read 19 tweets
Nov 4, 2021
Thread: this isn't a pattern from the noise. During the last few months, the Biden administration has aggressively ramped up its cyber defense and cyber offense efforts, throwing attack groups for a loop.
(1) There was a still-secret national security decision directive ordering a whole-of-government offensive counter cyber intrusion campaign. # (2) Acknowledged offensive Cybercom operations targeting major ransomware firms (reuters.com/technology/exc…)
(3) Aggressive moves to curtail the use of spyware. (See the NSO story today.
Read 9 tweets
Nov 3, 2021
If voters "just knew the truth" is seductive and reductive and gives the media omnipotence (also, weirdly, does the same for the anti-media (the GOP machine)..while giving voters zero agency and treating them like dolts.
The right wing anti-media machine exists. It's powerful. It's asymmetrically powerful. It hurts Dems sometimes. Grieving about it makes a lot of consultants rich. The account that it's *dispositive* fails to plausibly explain so many counter-examples and is unpersuasive.
How much coverage did the VA media give to Youngkin's ties to Trump relative to the GOP gaslighting on schools? I'd be interested in a qualitative and quantitative breakdown. A few selective online headlines from @WashPost don't count. Also, the polls were right this time.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 3, 2021
Others are thinking: If Dems in Congress had passed really the popular stuff that helps eveything, and could point to it, rather than having to rely on/mess up their anti-Trump /cultural messaging - and Dems mess this up regardless of what side you're on ....
Of course there is no single reductive answer as to why... but only the absolute fact that Dems lost to a candidate they had every reason to think they could beat...
The limits of Trump's stench. Macker's campaign. Frustration with Dems in Congress. Gaslighting from the right. Fairly good campaign by Youngkin. Dems lost the salience wars.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 25, 2021
The #AspenInfoCommission on the infodemic will be extraordinarily valuable and the commissioners are first-rate. I wish I was had been selected, but seeing the caliber of the scholars and thinkers who were, I don’t feel put out. I feel obliged to help, where I can.
My focus continues to be on pragmatic intervention: what the ordinary person can do to model good information processing habits, mindful social communication, and effective claim reviews and fact-checking. For a subset: information operations, response matrices, org dynamics.
I see criticism of the commission for adding a few high-profile public figures with deep intuitive knowledge of the press and communication. I know that Aspen is Aspen and is going to Aspen, but I see value in the perspectives.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 18, 2021
A Threat About the Nuclear Transfer of Power: When President Trump departs Joint Base Andrews at 8:00 am on 1/20, he will be accompanied by a military aide and an emergency actions team, never more than 2 doors or 2 minutes away... for the last time.
Simultaneously, as Joe Biden and Kamala Harris begin their day and prepare to depart for the U.S. Capitol, two teams of military aides -- with two other satchels -- will shadow them.
As VP Pence departs in a motorcade from the Naval Observatory, a FOURTH team from the White House Military Office will ride a few cars behind him.
Read 26 tweets

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