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https://twitter.com/bedbolukbasi/status/1309152368060137473?s=19

More from @Archer83Able

Status-6 (Military & Conflict News)

@Archer83Able

Oct 6

1/ 🇷🇺🪖 Russian milblogger Romanov writes about the current situation in Russian assault infantry units. Basically, it can be concluded that it's a death sentence.

"So, experts, attention, question: Romanov, why haven't you signed a contract yet? Look, they're offering six million (and In the long run eight million!)!

Because: if I sign the contract, they'll send me to the assault force. Despite the fact that:

- I have a certificate of completion from the Military Medical Academy, a course in 'military medical instructor,' and practical experience working on evacuations and stabilization points, etc.;
- I have experience working with UAVs, making adjustments, and a full set of personal equipment (Mavics, remote control, FPV, and navigation system).

2/

It doesn't matter. Regarding the assaultmen.
Because there really aren't enough assaultmen.
What's lacking is precisely the people who will 'push' the enemy on the ground and hold positions at the frontier.

Why aren't there enough of these assaultmen?
Because commanders view them as expendable.
They'll be given new ones, but the General Staff demands advances. Bonuses for advances. And they still have to earn their "advance payments."

3/

The average assault life cycle is 12 days.
- Day one: he signs the contract and arrives at the training ground;
- Days two to eleven: training at the training ground;
- Day twelve (the final day): arrival at the position.
In hot spots, only one out of two soldiers reaches the position. At best.

Because of enemy's UAVs. Because almost no one is systematically engaged in seizing the initiative in the air. Lack of resources, skills, or desire. When Mavics and FPVs are gone, they are replaced by assaultmen.

Read 7 tweets

Status-6 (Military & Conflict News)

@Archer83Able

Aug 14

🧵 Translated this interview by prominent Polish defence analyst @konrad_muzyka for RP, which focuses on the current state of the Russia-Ukraine war.

It's long, but very insightful. Many numbers, details and assessments.

1/

- There's the upcoming summit – a meeting between President Trump and President Putin. What do you expect regarding Ukraine?

- I don't have particularly optimistic expectations. It seems that Russia still maintains maximalist goals for Ukraine, assuming its complete subjugation. At this stage of the war, Moscow is in a more favorable position, so Putin will negotiate from a position of strength. Leaks regarding Ukraine's alleged ceding of the remaining part of the Donetsk Oblast have already been denied by Kyiv. Therefore, there is a risk that after the summit, Ukraine will be on a collision course with the United States. However, the negotiation process itself – if it begins at all and includes Ukrainian participation – will likely take months.

2/

- You recently returned from another visit to Ukraine. What's the current situation on the front?

- The Russians continue to maintain the strategic initiative along the entire front. Apart from very local counterattacks, the Ukrainians are in retreat. Russian forces are pressing hard on several axes, particularly in the areas of Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Velyka Novosilka, and most recently in Zaporizhzhia, i.e., in the deep south.

It is concerning that Russian territorial gains, especially in July, have been quite significant and larger than in previous months. The Russians have advanced 10-12 km on several axes. This is something we haven't seen before. If there were any territorial gains before, they were concentrated in a single area. Now we have several areas where the front is starting to leak.

3/

Read 24 tweets

Status-6 (Military & Conflict News)

@Archer83Able

Nov 17, 2023

https://twitter.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1725157813364600855

🇺🇦🇷🇺 | Polish defence analyst Konrad Muzyka shared his impressions regarding the current state of war following his trip to Ukraine. I've translated the thread into English.

1/12

https://twitter.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1725157813364600855

Let's start with Zaluzhny's article in The Economist. The word stalmate is used in a quite awkward manner (more on that below). But it emphasizes that the counteroffensive has ended. Ukraine currently does not have the potential to conduct offensive operations.

2/12

Personally, I think that the culmination of the counteroffensive took place in September, when the Ukrainians "broke through" the Russian line of fortifications west of Verbove.

3/12

https://twitter.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1725157818750124385?t=h2fbgMyNirK-ovA6IMCCdQ&s=19

Read 12 tweets

Status-6 (Military & Conflict News)

@Archer83Able

Nov 2, 2023

The wreckage of one of Ukrainian MiG-29 fighter jets reportedly destroyed as a result of Russian strikes (presumably with ZALA Lancet loitering munition) in September 2023. Kulbakino Air Base, Mykolaiv Oblast.

t.me/Rubric_lossesv…

*heavy watermark warning*

The second destroyed Ukrainian MiG-29 fighter jet at the Kulbakino Air Base in Mykolaiv Oblast in Ukraine as a result of Russian strikes earlier this fall.

t.me/Rubric_lossesv…

https://x.com/Archer83Able/status/1706499661786165263?s=20

And the third Ukrainian MiG-29 fighter jet at the Kulbakino Air Base in Mykolaiv Oblast of Ukraine destroyed as a result of Russian strikes earlier this fall.

I believe that this is the one seen in the video below.

t.me/Rubric_lossesv…

https://x.com/Archer83Able/status/1706499661786165263?s=20

Read 4 tweets

Status-6 (Military & Conflict News)

@Archer83Able

Oct 1, 2023

https://twitter.com/solonko1648/status/1708204916299170013

This is a very insightful thread about Russian defensive positions in the Robotyne-Novoprokopivka area, Orikhiv sector, Zaporizhzhia front. I translated it to English 👇

1/

https://twitter.com/solonko1648/status/1708204916299170013

"This, dear friends, is one of the most complex strongholds located in the Robotyne-Novoprokopivka area. A complex system of trenches-tunnels, dugouts, firing positions, to which the Russian invaders cling with all their might."

2/

x.com/solonko1648/st…

"What we see first. A system of trenches and firing positions. According to the results of observation and tracking of the movements of equipment and personnel of the occupiers, we confirm the routes of movement and approaches to the positions."

3/

x.com/solonko1648/st…

Read 12 tweets

Status-6 (Military & Conflict News)

@Archer83Able

Apr 19, 2023

1/6

There's an insane footage of Ukrainian soldiers defending their positions in the battle for the last road to Bakhmut.

We follow a 🇺🇦 soldier as he jumps into his dugout. He is made aware that his comrade has been killed. Shortly after, the Russians launch their assault.

2/6

The Ukrainians engage the attackers and intense firefight ensues. Russian soldier can be seen throwing a grenade at the defenders.

The Russians attacking from the left side are killed, but another group approach the trenches from the right side.

3/6

The Ukrainian soldier with callsign "Tihiy" tells his comrades to come to support him as the Russians advance on the right flank. The firefight continues.