Under DHS's new proposed rule, if you were born in, or are a citizen of, one of the countries on this map, you would be banned from getting a four-year degree in the United States, with a student visa limited to two years maximum.
Here's the best example I can give for why collective punishment based on visa overstay rates is arbitrary and cruel.
In 2019, six students from Tuvalu were supposed to leave the US. One didn't.
As a result, the visa overstay rate was 17%—meaning all Tuvalans would be punished.
Also, whoops, just realizing I forgot to add Chad to the map. Chad would also be subject to the ban, because they had a student visa/exchange visitor overstay rate over 10% in FY2019.
That completes the band across the middle of Africa.
One final thing to add to this thread; that things are not totally lost if the rule goes into effect.
Students in those situation would be able to ask DHS for an extension of their visas past two years. So that means it's not a total ban.
But those extensions aren't guaranteed.
Putting this here: I maybe should not have used the word "ban." Some people would still be able to get a four-year degree, but would be required to apply to extend their visas repeatedly through their time in college—extensions which aren't guaranteed.
If they actually put Title 42 into effect, expect border crossings to spike dramatically soon after he takes office. The policy was a huge winner for smugglers.
Here's what happened with border crossings when Stephen Miller got the CDC to implement Title 42: after the April 2020 lockdown, border crossings rose every single month for a year.
By November 2020, smugglers were telling Reuters they loved the policy.
As @David_J_Bier has documented, Title 42 led to an almost immediate spike in so-called "got-aways." With the asylum system shut down for nearly 2 years (with even ports of entry closed to those seeking protection), migrants began crossing over and over.
There are serious factual errors with what @mattyglesias writes here. For example, the deals had nothing to do with "seeking refuge closer to home." That was a lie pushed by the Trump admin. In fact, there deal with Honduras would have let them send Mexicans and Brazilians there.
Another thing missed by @mattyglesias is that the 2024 asylum ban crackdown couldn't have been done in early 2021! It required the end of Title 42, diplomatic deals with Mexico, Congressional funding of asylum officers, and more physical infrastructure.
@mattyglesias Anyway, @mattyglesias, you know my colleague @DLind well and I'd be happy to walk you through the facts you're missing; how the border situation Biden inherited in 2021 was unprecedented and there were a lot of very difficult policy choices which were not as easy as you think.
Not to put too fine a point on it, but anyone who claims that Mexico and Canada can "easily solve" migration and drug smuggling issues is either lying to themselves, lying to you, or just a complete moron.
Sorry, but no, this is simply not true. Mexico has been ramping up anti-migrant enforcement at U.S. request for more than a decade and is currently engaged in the largest crackdown on migrants yet, which has had a very significant impact on reducing border crossings into the US.
Yeah buddy, massive inflation worse than anything in the last few years, combined with a a huge blow to the U.S. economy causing thousands of firms to go under, is really better than the status quo. Uh huh. Sure.
Not sure exactly what @whstancil is suggesting but a couple thoughts:
1. Migration is rising globally. The United States is not unique in dealing with this trend, despite many US-centric media takes. 2. A key part of the current problem is Congress's decade-long refusal to act.
People are frustrated with migration not only because of the media's myopic and overdramatic views of the issue (remember the morning show filmed at the border wall in March 2021?), but also because policymakers keep suggesting this is an easy problem with an easy solution.
We have a 2,000 mile land border that people have been crossing in the millions for 50+ years. We have an economy built on the labor of people who are more likely to be exploited and less likely to have a recourse. And we don't let even those here for decades "fix their papers."
This is wrong. ICE’s non-detained docket includes many people whose cases ended years ago and who can’t be deported due to legal, diplomatic or humanitarian issues.
The number of people on the docket with convictions rose just 15% in 9 years — while the docket itself rose 225%.
Here is Tom Homan's testimony to Congress in support of Trump's FY 2018 budget request, noting that in June 2017, there were 177,000 people on ICE's non-detained docket with prior convictions AND final orders.
As I said—many have been here for decades. This isn't some new thing.
Here is some further context on *why* someone might be on ICE's non-detained docket with a serious conviction but not deported.
I explained some scenarios where this might happen yesterday in the below thread.
This report by @BillMelugin_ gets facts wrong and omits essential context: that millions of people on ICE's non-detained dockets have been here for decades.
By FY 2015, already 368,574 people on the docket had convictions. Many can't be deported, often for diplomatic reasons.
In the report, Bill repeatedly refers to people on ICE's non-detained docket as "illegal immigrants."
In fact, the non-detained docket contains many people who came here with green cards and then lost their status due to a criminal conviction. Some have been here for decades.
Many of those on ICE's non-detained docket who have a final order of removal but haven't been deported yet come from countries which refuses deportations.
As of 2022, there were 40,000 post-order Cubans living in the US. Many got out of jail decades ago. miamiherald.com/news/nation-wo…