David Timoney Profile picture
Sep 25, 2020 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Of course, you could ask why such a situation - an utter disconnect between the PLP and the membership - arose, but that would mean accepting that what is unprecedented in British party politics is representative democracy.
That parties are organised conspiracies against democracy is not Marxist provocation but orthodox political science. They are mediative, both in the sense that they represent popular interests in the domain of formal politics & that they constrain what is deemed representable.
Parties tend to adopt democratic practices in policy formation when they feel confident that their membership is dominated by a narrow base in tune with the apparat. This is why centrist parties are often happiest with reselection & conference mandates, eg the Lib Dems & SNP.
When the base widens, they become less comfortable with democracy (eg the Young Liberals in the 60s). Their commitment to it is often inversely correlated with their popularity. They also risk alienating voters when their base doesn't expand to match (eg the LDs in 2010).
Parties of the flank, where there is a long tail, are much more guarded about democracy, less because they think they'll be pulled to the extremes than because they fear being restrained from opportunistically tacking towards the centre, which is the instinct of the apparat.
The solution is a managed democracy in which the membership are only consulted when the decision is a foregone conclusion (eg the Tories). Labour's problem in 2015 was a failure of party management (compare 2007), which is ironic given the charges subsequently levelled at Corbyn.
Corbyn's failure cannot be solely attributed to his own limitations, any more than the PLP & the liberal media's support for Starmer reflects his actual abilities. Rather it reveals a more worrying failure of democracy as the party system has failed to represent social changes.
This isn't to suggest that the wider electorate "got it wrong" in 2019, but that you cannot interpret a 32% share of the vote as grounds to marginalise the Labour left & the social interests it represents from the range of acceptable politics.
The idea that Labour is now in better shape "under new management" shows the persistence of the idea of the party as political firm (did anyone in Labour read Crouch or Mair?). It is this, as much as the flag-waving & exclusives in the Sun, that gives rise to a sense of deja vu.

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More from @fromarsetoelbow

May 31, 2023
New masterly inactivity just dropped ...
Obviously those imagining that Starmer will reverse course once he gets in ("The man is a consummate liar & that's why I'm voting for him") are going to be disappointed, but even those advocating the long game are sketchy on how the change in public opinion will come about.
The point to remember is that that the pro-EU establishment abjectly failed after 1992 to build a popular consensus in support of the project, partly because they wouldn't take on the europhobic press & partly because the EU was always a convenient excuse.
Read 4 tweets
May 31, 2023
Catherine McKinnon has, to use her own phrase, "winged to the Right" on topics such as porn & sex work, effectively providing feminist cover for reactionary politics, but this springs from a critique of liberation rather than a shared censoriousness.
That distinction is made clear in her take on trans rights. She has remained consistent in seeing "women" as a social construct rather than a biological essence, a point she makes well here. Image
And the inescapable logic of that is a critique of gender critical feminists as people who are insincere in their claim to be motivated by the excesses of male power. Image
Read 6 tweets
May 3, 2023
Lol. There are literally millions of people directly descended from William the Conqueror alone before you start getting down to the churls. Image
The problem with "ancestors" is that a lot of people imagine a pyramid with a couple at the top. But it's actually an inverted pyramid. Every generation going back doubles in number: you have 2 parents, 4 grandparents etc.
If you assume a generation of 30 years (i.e. birth to birth), 937 years back gets you 31 generations. 2^31 is 2.1 billion. Of course, there may have been a bit of in-breeding back then, particularly among the Southron folk, so the figure may be slightly lower.
Read 4 tweets
May 2, 2023
As usual, this fantasy is premised on the idea that there are lots of trained doctors & nurses available in the private sector. Leaving aside for the moment that many NHS medics moonlight (i.e. they're the same people), economics 101 tells us that this can't be true.
If it were, and at the scale necessary to make a dent in NHS backlogs, private healthcare would be carrying very large deadweight costs that would make it unprofitable. If those resources are fully utilised, this means the NHS will be in competition with private providers.
Those firms won't divert scarce resources to the NHS as that would be killing their primary business. More likely is that it will drive up the market rate (demand exceeding supply) allowing those private firms to import foreign medics at a premium to supply the NHS.
Read 4 tweets
May 2, 2023
That £9bn would cover all students, not just middle-class ones, and it includes maintenance grants, which obviously skew heavily towards students from lower income families. The "middle-class subsidy" is much lower.
It is true that the UK's tax burden (all tax as a % of GDP) is historically high, but it's still currently lower than the EU14 & the G7 . A projected high of 37.7% in 2027-28 will simply take us to the G7 average today.
As ever with tax, the key point to bear in mind is incidence: on whom does the burden most heavily fall. And that is lower income groups due to the regressive nature of VAT, the way tax-free allowances work, and, yes, middle class subsidies.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 30, 2023
We've been building homes for decades. The whole point of the moratorium on council houses was to shift activity/profits to the private sector, not to curtail building. You can criticise the housing industry for land-banking, but the reality is that we're not short of homes.
The secular problem is the fall in household density since the 60s (in simple terms, the ratio of people to bedrooms), which is the consequence of easier divorce, greater longevity (& the difference between male & female, i.e. more widow years), and fewer kids per family.
The state gave up on the provision of housing in the late-70s (under Labour) because it realised that greater supply would simply stimulate greater demand. The recurrent cry to "build more social housing" remains in denial about this political settlement.
Read 6 tweets

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