Bill Scher Profile picture
Sep 26, 2020 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
In this November 3, 2016 lecture Amy Coney Barrett, speaking more like an analyst than an advocate, said the following about the future of Roe...
"I think people phrase the abortion question, when they think about the Supreme Court, as, 'is Roe vs. Wade going to be overruled?' ...
...We've had 30-plus years of a Court that did take, on the whole, a more conservative approach to the judicial role, and ... Casey vs. Pennsylvania, left Roe largely intact .. I don't think that abortion, or the right to abortion, would change ...
... I think some of the restrictions would change ... after the Kermit Gosnell affair ... states have imposed regulations on abortion clinics and I think the question is: how much freedom the Court is willing to let states have in regulating abortion. ...
... I think the question of -- you know, the Court has held that in some circumstances, states can render partial-birth abortion illegal, very late-term abortions -- I think that's the kind of thing that would change...
...I don't think that ... Roe's core holding, that women have a right to an abortion, I don't think that would change. But I think the question of whether people can get very late term abortions, how many restrictions can be put on clinics, I think that would change."

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More from @billscher

Nov 4
For Election Eve at @monthly I took one last look at Trump's shambolic GOTV washingtonmonthly.com/2024/11/04/the… which I first wrote about in June washingtonmonthly.com/2024/06/20/don…

But all year I have relied on great reporting from others on Trump's GOTV. A thread...
Start with the shivving of @RonnaMcDaniel at the urging of @charliekirk11

See @PhilipWegmann realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/…

@akarl_smith @HenryJGomez @Mdixon55 @VaughnHillyard nbcnews.com/politics/donal…

@natalie_allison politico.com/news/2024/06/1…
Kirk did it so his Turning Point network would play a main role in GOTV, but it has scant GOTV experience & is pretty sus overall

See @mikespiesnyc @JakePearsonProP propublica.org/article/at-thi…

@BrianSlodysko apnews.com/article/electi…

@ruelaswritings azcentral.com/story/news/pol…
Read 12 tweets
Jun 20
Trump has placed a huge bet on a bonkers GOTV plan

And he appears to have ousted Ronna McDaniel as RNC chair so he could do it

I explain in full at @monthly

But here’s a 🧵 sum-up…washingtonmonthly.com/2024/06/20/don…
Last year Charlie Kirk’s right-wing Turning Point operation began hawking at $108M GOTV plan focusing on AZ, GA, WI.

But Turning Point has no successful track record in the GOTV biz.

They played in the ‘22 AZ races & lost (see )…azcentral.com/story/news/pol…
At first glance of this proposal @EWErickson said: “Any donor who thinks an organization needs $108 million for a three-state grassroots get-out-the-vote campaign is being taken advantage of. It sounds like a grift.” …

apnews.com/article/electi…
Read 9 tweets
May 2, 2023
Funny thing about the swing state general election trial heats that test Trump & DeSantis: they are almost all from GOP firm Public Opinion Strategies, commissioned by Koch-network group Citizens Awareness Project citizenawarenessproject.com/research/

...
...Every one of the POS/CAP swing state polls has DeSantis outperforming Trump

citizenawarenessproject.com/research/

ajc.com/politics/polit…

...
...I'm aware of only two swing state general election trial heats not performed by POS/CAP

Nevada Independent has DeSantis performing better than Trump: thenevadaindependent.com/article/biden-…

In NH, Emerson has Trump performing better than DeSantis: emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-…

...
Read 4 tweets
Mar 19, 2023
The @peterbakernyt int’vw of Ben Barnes nytimes.com/2023/03/18/us/… absolutely strengthens the case that the Reagan ‘80 campaign (but not necessarily Reagan) illegally tried to undermine talks w/Iran to free the hostages

But it doesn’t answer the Q if that’s *why* Iran delayed…
…as noted by Baker, Barnes did talk previously (if not as extensively) with historian @hwbrands for Brands’ Reagan bio…
…but Brands still concluded the effort was “almost certainly superfluous”…
Read 5 tweets
Jan 12, 2023
How Democrats should handle the current migrant influx, both rhetorically and substantively, is a vexing challenge. But one they need to meet or else they will turn on each other.

I have thoughts in the @monthly, but in short...
washingtonmonthly.com/2023/01/11/dem…
Dems need to communicate that the influx is a short-term problem but a long-term opportunity.

* We have a labor shortage and need workers.

* Many are fleeing broken socialist countries. America should be a bulwark against authoritarianism by welcoming those seeking freedom...
* Yet the huge number of people coming puts real strain on cities trying to provide immediate food, shelter, education, and work.

* We need to better manage the flow, so we can fix the problems and reap the benefits....
Read 6 tweets
Dec 13, 2022
DeSantis' decisions are utterly baffling to me. I obviously have to acknowledge his noxious bets have all paid off to date. But what in the Sam Hill the is the upside of going all in on Covid vaccine skepticism?
Welp I guess DeSantis is going to run for prez as the anti-science candidate

(As a few others have wisely said to me, DeSantis can try to run to the right of Trump, who complained about Fauci but didn't fire him (which he didn't have the power to do))

Read 4 tweets

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