John Holbo jholbo.bsky.social Profile picture
Sep 26, 2020 12 tweets 3 min read Read on X
There is a lot of debate about whether the Dems should attack Amy Coney Barrett for this-or-that. That's a mistake. They shouldn't attack her at all. She's not the issue (and on twin-earth, where she's nominated to correct a hard left tilt, she's a fine pick.) 1/
If they find out that she's got 2 million in secret gambling debts, that should come out. But, stunning scandal revelation aside, any criticism of the nominee - even valid criticism - is a distraction from the problem. Make the hearings about the systemic state of the SC. 2/
Say things like 'You have been nominated because hard-right activists want you to deliver policy for them. They want you to overturn Roe, end the ACA, overturn Obergefell, and deliver pro-business, anti-regulatory decisions, etc.' Find juicy quotes in support. 3/
Put ACB under a bit of pressure-by-proxy. Ask her if it would be appropriate for her to be the judge her backers clearly think she is: namely, a reliable tool of right-wing policy-making and preferences. 4/
See if you can get her to say either that Josh Hawley is right to impose an anti-Roe litmus test or that he's wrong to do so. Presumably she will admit: it's wrong for politicians to stipulate specific legal outcomes in advance, as a condition of nomination and confirmation. 5/
Now press: how can the American people be confident that her supporters will be disappointed in her? How can we, the people, be sure you, ACB, are not who they think you are? Your credentials are sterling, yes, but you were not picked for that. That's concerning. 6/
Provide some evidence of her own partisan willingness to blow with the political winds, in saying what would be legally proper. 7/
No need to try to grill too insistently in this way. No doubt ACB will be smart enough not to say anything self-incriminating or too embarrassing to her side about the political realities of the situation. She will say in fact all her supporters want is 'originalism'. 8/
The response to that is: but what they SAY is they want 'conservative judges'. Enough conservatives have slavered at the mouth, in naked results-demanding explicitness, that D questioners can ask, 'shouldn't we be worried these partisans are getting what they want in you?' 9/
Again, I don't expect she'll fold and say 'you've got me.' Like on Perry Mason. The point of this line of questioning is not that ACB is bad but that the SC, in order to enjoy legitimacy in the eyes of the majority of the citizens, who aren't R's, needs balance. 10/
Nothing ACB says CAN be assurance enough that she'll backstab her backers if need be. So we need checks and balances. If the SC might be as partisan as R's are working to make it - highlight recent hardball play - then there is no fair way to divide it otherwise than evenly. 11/
In short, D's need to make the ACB hearings a seminar on contemporary judicial power politics. D's will be making the normative case for expanding the court under Biden, if it comes to that. R's won't be able to say they weren't given valid arguments about why that's needed. 12/

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More from @jholbo1

Feb 1
This @radleybalko debunking of the 'Derek Chauvin was wrongly convicted' documentary, "The Fall of Minneapolis", seems quite thorough, convincing, and damning. radleybalko.substack.com/p/the-retconni…
It's SO thorough & damning it's fair to say that figures like @coldxman who have promoted the documentary, & its conclusion, should either 1) debunk Balko's debunking back or 2) admit they were suckered by liars or 3) be themselves regarded as such. thefp.com/p/what-really-…
Back in December I somehow found myself listening to this bloggingheads discussion between @GlennLoury and John McWhorter, in which Loury quite strongly takes the line that the documentary exonerates Chauvin and proves 'we've been lied to'. bloggingheads.tv/videos/67137
Read 19 tweets
Oct 31, 2023
11 things can be true at once.
1) Israeli policy towards Palestinians has been & continues to be deeply unjust.
2) Belief in 1) is not antisemitic.
3) Since 1) is a main root of the conflict 'solutions' that ignore it won't work & are bad.
4) The left has an antisemitism problem.
5) The left has an idiot problem. Lots of people shouting antisemitic slogans they don't understand out of a vague sense that this is social justice.
6) 4) + 5) is really bad and poisonous to the left.
7) The right has an antisemitism problem (and an idiot problem, duh.)
8) The pro-Israel right has an interest in playing up 4) because it is unwilling to admit 1), despite 3), and would like to believe 7) is less serious than 4), which - maybe? (Who can say, but I doubt it.)
9) 8) predictably exacerbates 4) + 5), hence 6).
Read 5 tweets
Oct 9, 2023
My personal resolution: I'm only going to comment on the Israel/Gaza situation in a calm manner, addressed to the relatively small slice of people I think might be persuaded to see things a bit differently.
Here is @monacharen. Obviously there is a sense in which Israel did nothing to 'provoke' this attack. Nothing could justify or excuse it. But Israel did a great deal to risk it - to recklessly tempt such a development, politically, strategically. plus.thebulwark.com/p/hamas-makes-…
Image
One can say so without thereby excusing or justifying the attack. Every Israeli is demanding to know who is at fault on the Israeli side for staggering intelligence and defense lapses. No one is saying no one is at fault because, morally, it was the job of Hamas not to attack.
Read 9 tweets
Aug 18, 2023
[Deep breath] It's worse. It's so, so bad - so much worse even than that - that it's hard to keep the big picture in view. But let's try. Trump was denouncing vote-by-mail as "dangerous" and "fraudulent" as early as April, 2020. https://t.co/04CKW1Kl7inpr.org/sections/coron…
In fact, he made similar claims way back to 2016. All totally baseless. But let's just go back to April, 2020. As many have noted, as many R's have regretted, this was shooting himself in the foot. His voters believed him. He depressed his own turnout.
Why would Trump do that? He deliberately lowered his chances to win honestly because he calculated that doing so increased his chances to cheat - to steal the election by falsely alleging the election was stolen by D's.
Read 22 tweets
Aug 13, 2023
Moyn's lectures were great! Haven't read the book yet but the review, which is great, emphasises his key idea: the characteristic pessimism of Cold War-era philosophical liberalism - Trilling, Popper, Himmelfarb, Berlin, Shklar. Let me rub together 2 thoughts via that.
Rothfeld, the reviewer, contrasts these figures, as Moyn portrays them, with an identikit liberal. "A chipper rationalist who is scornfully secular, naively sanguine about humanity’s prospects for self-improvement and devoted to the philosophy of the Enlightenment."
This is just SO wrong. Cold War philosophical liberalism, as Moyn emphasises, is dark, pessimistic, concessive not aspirational, pre-emptively crouched. Per Moyn, it is 'against itself'. As a result - to this day - most anti-liberal critiques of liberalism are not EVEN wrong.
Read 23 tweets
Feb 12, 2023
The pull quote is exactly right for this one from @jbouie. One way to think about it: suppose, for the sake of the argument, there ARE two problems at present. 1) teens confusedly over-identifying as trans due to some social contagion whatever. 2) docs over-accommodating this. 1/
You reply: 1 & 2 aren't actually true. That's fine but just be an abstract normative political philosophy seminar room dork with me on this for a minute. It isn't absurd to imagine 1 & 2. If 1 & 2 were true, for the sake of argument, what would be the proper response? 2/
Broadly, there are two strategies. If you believe in liberty and respect and basic rights for all there is no alternative than muddling through. If the medical community has overcorrected for its long history of insufficiently recognising trans people, we need to correct the over
Read 26 tweets

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