My personal analysis of current events, based on my knowledge of climate.
It will require 30 minutes of your time
For weeks, i have mentioned
#Methane releases in the #arctic
Incredible sea surface temperatures (SST) in the east siberian arctic shelf (ESAS) , other arctic seas
This is an analysis of the latest scientific study published by Dr Shakhova, analysed by "just have a think" .
It will give you a quick insight of the available knowledge on the topic

This is a 7 year old video from doctor Shakhova, warming of potential problems.
Warming seas, warming sea bed , no ice coverage, destabilizing methane clathrates.
Sounds familiar?
Please listen ..it's only 8 minutes
Natalia Shakhova is a teacher and a leading scientist at the Tomsk Polytechnic University, the only people in the world organizing summer- winter expeditions to the Eastern Arctic seas, to study the emission and release of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere
They are the scientists who found this giant methane seep, by searching for it.
Air around the ship had 16 x the normal methane concentration

telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/10/0…
So, in 2020, we have incredible SSTs in the #ESAS and #arctic area. +6C over average, no ice over that area for the last 3 months
Check the methane emissions the last 4 weeks over ESAS and arctic seas
Now , check the SSTs map
and the methane emissions in those regions..
Are ultra high SSTs destabilizing the methane clathrates in the ESAS?
Dr Shakhova warned the methane would escape directly to mid atmosphere ..
Do we have lots of methane mid atmosphere?

It seems this way
Dr Shakhova also warned surface sensors wouldn't capture the methane escaping from the sea

What do surface sensors say?
Here is the updated data from Finland and Svalbard

Not capturing anything
Why does this matter?
because EU is planning 0 emissions in 2050 for a cost in trillions
Biden has a fake plan for 2 trillions on green energy.

All of this is USELESS if methane is escaping shallow seabeds, because of warming sea surface temperatures.
Feel free to RT this analysis if you find it interesting .

It is absolutely incredible that no one is noticing this climate event (SSTs) ,not checking on Shakhova to get new data, considering #Nasa , #copernicus picking emissions in the area.
Today's map of temperature anomaly

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More from @chriscartw83

Dec 6, 2019
A new thread as #COP25 begins.
I am totally fed up with the messages about 1.5C or 2 C warming
And fed up with the "Lalaland" way of thinking that "we are about to cut emissions"
So i decided to sum up the data i have..to call this BULLSHIT
It's time for all to WAKE UP
Please RT
Thread
Let's have a look at every sector emitting Co2 or methane
Nature
NEW FACTS
tropical forests co2 capture ended
nature.com/articles/s4147…
Soil not capturing co2
 nytimes.com/2019/01/23/cli…
nature.com/articles/s4158…
Read 15 tweets
Nov 23, 2019
Thread
My analysis on potential #runawayclimatechange and the #IPCC goal of 1.5-2C target
And why/how i expect nasty surprises soon
First, a chart with trend lines showing warming speeding up
#methane #permafrost #arctic #antarctica
#ClimateCrisis #climatechange #gretathunberg
A few charts showing #breakout of temperatures, or potential #runawayclimatechange in 2019, from #alaska to #california or #europe
#ClimateAction #climatechange #gretathunberg
Why warmer soon? several factors
1/ the SUN
Sun is waking up, with solar spots appearing , and the solar minimum period is ending , with a weak solar maximum expected in 2023 .
Lagging time: 4 years
#sun #solarcycle #solarminimum

spaceweatherarchive.com/2019/11/02/sol…
Read 17 tweets
Oct 13, 2019
For weeks and months, i have been tracking the arctic temperatures and the decline of the icecap.
Wondering why it was so warm , and for so long.
What is happening there? Icecap is down over 50%.
Albedo effect will be massively impacted by this.
#climatechange #gretathunberg
We learned a few days ago, that scientific expedition in the east siberian arctic just found methane fountains bubbling on the sea surface , in the middle of the east siberian sea.
Some of the implications :

#ClimateCrisis #climatestrike #ClimateAction

telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/10/0…
Here is the theory:
1/ Increasing periods of open water implies an increasing number of storm events.. Such events have the potential to rapidly ventilate bubble-transported and dissolved CH4 from the water column, producing high emission rates to the atmosphere
#gretathunberg
Read 14 tweets
Oct 10, 2019
A dark tweet, sorry about this.
We learned yesterday that scientific expedition in the east siberian arctic just found methane fountains bubbling on the sea surface .
#ClimateCrisis #climatestrike #ClimateAction #climatechange #gretathunberg

telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/10/0…
Please watch the video and focus on what the russian scientist declares (13.20-14-20)
Dr Natalia Shakhova
"WE ABSOLUTELY DO NOT LIKE WHAT WE SEE THERE"
#ClimateCrisis #climatestrike #ClimateAction #climatechange #gretathunberg #methane

Natalia Shakhova doesn't agree with the #ipcc, which doesn't take the ESAS risk into account for calculating the various #RCP ..or any feedback loops including #CH4

You can read more here
counterpunch.org/2019/06/20/the…
Read 7 tweets

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