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Jonathan Martin Profile picture
@jmart
Sep 27, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
NEW: NYT survey has Biden up 49-41, thanks to commanding lead w women & independents + a tied race (!) among men

And warning signs abound for GOP on Scotus, Roe & Covid

71% of indies + 31% of Rs want legal abortion all or some of time

w @alexburnsNYT >

nytimes.com/2020/09/27/us/…
Here is why some in Trump’s orbit we’re pushing Lagoa, and not just bc of Florida:

A majority of voters said they would be less likely to vote for Trump If his Scotus pick were to overturn Roe, even higher among women + indies.
For all (tired) jokes about diners, anybody who's followed politics since 2017 can easily grasp the race: there's an ongoing suburban backlash against the Trump Party

White women with college degrees:

Biden: 60
Trump: 34

White men with college degrees:

Biden: 50
Trump: 45
If there's good news for Republicans in the poll, esp those in tough Sen races, it's that voters aren't totally, uh, consistent on Scotus process.

While a clear majority wants the E Day winner to decide, they're divided over whether the Senate should act on Trump's pick: 47-48

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More from @jmart

Jonathan Martin Profile picture
Feb 5
Now cometh the news cycle when Dems realize Biden is gonna avoid debates, hope they can pin it on Trump for not doing debate commission ones

This has, literally folks, been the Biden plan for a year.

They “believe that Trump or any other Republican nominee will be reluctant to work with the Commission on Presidential Debates, lessening the chances, and risk, of a head-to-head debate.”

politico.com/news/magazine/…
If ya don’t think somebody who’s skipping the super bowl pre game interview two years in a row - a massive free media opportunity - is looking to avoid any unforced errors you should pay closer attention
Read 4 tweets
Jonathan Martin Profile picture
Apr 4, 2023
Best part of this is how much it contrasts w Biden’s woeful history in Iowa, caucuses and general

He knows who brung him to the dance and it ain’t Iowa

espn.com/womens-college…
Would only be better if it was SOUTH CAROLINA that had won finals 🌴
…and here comes the Nola pushback
Read 7 tweets
Jonathan Martin Profile picture
Mar 23, 2023
NEW: Inside Sinema’s sniping spree

As she stockpiles cash, she’s letting loose on what she really thinks of her Dem colleagues, @SenSchumer @RonaldKlain + jello

It’s delighting her GOP audiences & giving some hope they can convert her yet

My column:

politico.com/news/magazine/…
Among the Rs who want McConnell to cut a deal w Sinema: W. Mitt Romney

Even if she doesn’t caucus w Rs, Mitt said he wants Sinema back, is open to stump for her in Ariz

Consider: In the vote that counts for McConnell, leader, he’s more likely to be backed by Sinema than Lake
This glimpse at Sinema is why some of her colleagues like her (quick w a iine, in on the joke) and why some of them find her insufferable (full of self)

But it's who she is.

And is why so many eyes rolled when she became an indie & said she hadn't thought thru the implications
Read 9 tweets
Jonathan Martin Profile picture
Nov 14, 2022
News: In a conversation the day after the midterms, BIDEN urged PELOSI to keep serving w him. “I hope you stick,” he told her.

My new column on the president, his “Catholic sister,” and the twilight days of their political careers (or not!)

politico.com/news/2022/11/1…
The attack on Paul Pelosi has left the speaker & president shaken, deepening their alarm about the country. And for Pelosi, who had been weighing the personal & the political, the attack effectively merged those two considerations, bringing her concerns home in the worst fashion
Pelosi was poised to step back if a red wave came ashore. And many House Democrats still believe that as long as they fall short of 218, she will relinquish her leadership post. But the rank-and-file are first to say: they're speculating.
Read 7 tweets
Jonathan Martin Profile picture
Nov 11, 2022
🚨🚨

Rick Scott was poised to ride the red wave to launch a long shot challenge against Mitch McConnell, had even recorded video to take on Trump’s bete noire

Then the wave didn’t crash, and there may be no majority >

politico.com/news/magazine/…
Lawmakers think Scott would’ve found 5-10 votes.

But winning wasn’t the point. Scott wanted a foil.

But the aborted coup now may just mark the final rupture between Scott and McConnell, who go back to when Scott was a donor and hospital exec in Louisville in the 90s.
Didn’t get a ton of attention, between ya know a pending midterm and promising dirt on DeSantis, but Trump told Fox on Monday that Scott was “a likely candidate” for leader and “hates” McConnell.
Read 6 tweets
Jonathan Martin Profile picture
Nov 8, 2022
NEW: The truth that dare not speak its name...

My election day column >

politico.com/news/magazine/…
The kicker …
One of the few cong Dems who *is* willing to say it loud:
Read 8 tweets

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