Trump attempts to wield conspiracy against Biden, to put him off his debate prep by intimidation, and to explain away his inevitable debate loss.
"Strongly demanding," he says? But conspiracy doesn't end with "proof" or "evidence"--so if Biden takes & passes the drug test, Trump won't stop accusing Biden of cheating somehow. Remember when Obama produced his birth certificate? Did that end Trump's birther quest? Nope.
The Trump-Biden match up will be more contentious than the Trump-Clinton match up because both candidates will likely come out as brawlers. Clinton had to worry about debating as a woman and her "likability," whereas Biden doesn't.
Biden has shown that he's willing to be aggressive when he needs to and I think we'll see him match Trump's aggressiveness. Emotions are very high on both sides. The interest in these debates is extraordinary.
But, voters have already made up their minds, so they won't be watching to learn new information, they'll be watching to cheer and boo and they'll be expecting a spectacle. So the pressure is really on for both Trump and Biden.
These heightened expectations for their performance might push the candidates to be even more aggressive, to play to the audience. However, due to the limited live debate audience, the candidates may have difficulty "playing to the crowd."
Trump, in particular, feeds off of audience reaction. He's like a child who acts out in class. It works well when he performing for his classmates, but it doesn't work so well in the Principal's office.
Trump claims that Biden is going to cheat, but Trump has always cheated at debate. He cheats by violating debate rules. He's aggressive--using ad hominem attacks, ad baculum threats & more. Trump uses the kind of rhetoric that would disqualify a high school or collegiate debater.
Trump is typically over confident in his ability to wing it. He likes to think that his gut instincts are better than the expertise. He likely thinks he knows all he needs to because he's the incumbent.
He likely thinks he gets enough debate practice by answering reporters' questions. That might be true, he isn't a typical debater. He doesn't care if he doesn't have the correct information or a solid argument. He looks at these debates as an opportunity to spin, not educate.
Trump may have some trouble because he is underestimating Biden's abilities. Biden is a solid debater, and can be a brawler if he needs to be--matching Trump's aggression. I imagine Biden will call out Trump's lies and spin.
We will likely hear Biden say, "Come on, man" to Trump, challenging his authority. Trump doesn't handle humiliation well, so Biden may be able to put Trump on tilt. Biden's best strategy is to treat Trump like a ridiculous bully, which will enrage Trump and thrill Biden's fans.
Now, is that good, productive debate that will help the nation to solve problems? No, it definitely is not. But, let's be honest, we're way too far past that at this point.
We're too far gone with partisanship for a real policy debate. Trump doesn't debate, he breaks the rules.
My great hope is that someone--either Biden or a moderator--holds Trump accountable for his words and actions. I want to see someone tell Trump that the way that he mocks, lies, threatens, distracts, etc. are threats to the nation. They are.
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"An elderly man, pale and weak in mind, body, and morals, stands on a stage in front of an adoring crowd. He appears before them in disguise—orange make-up and dark bronzer attempt to give his pale skin a color that suggests youthfulness."
"A cotton candy-like confection of bright blond hair-stuff covers his head, suggesting an angelic vitality. His voice is loud, he talks rough, suggesting strength and a powerful toughness. His suit is tailored to cover up his aged and deformed body."
"Shoe lifts give him height but also make him tilt forward awkwardly—and clumsily. His loyal audience doesn’t see with their own eyes but with his. Likewise, they don’t hear him with their own ears. They hear only what he wants them to hear."
Things I've seen that show me people still don't get what 2024 is about:
"We've already seen what Trump is like as president, it will be like that."
"He can't do that."
If Trump wins, his 2nd term won't be anything like his first. It will be much worse. Laws won't stop him.
Democratic erosion scholars call this "competitive authoritarianism"--it's the way that most democracies go authoritarian now--coups with the veneer of still being democratic:
I've tried to explain this before: Trump thinks he was too nice the last time he was president. He's pissed that his generals & staff prevented him from doing what he wanted while president, made him leave the WH when he lost. He wants unlimited power.
WARNING: anyone thinking of paying anyone to vote a certain way OR anyone accepting money to vote a certain way is violating 18 US Code 597 and will be punished with fines and/or two years in jail.
Like, just FYI. There are actual laws against accepting money for votes.
Reminds me of when I teach political campaigning and we talk about GOTV strategies and I have to tell my students that there are actual laws and most of their ideas for getting folks to vote are illegal.
Here are three explainers that might be helpful for thinking about why Trump's Big Election Lie worked on his followers, why they still believe it, and why even this mountain of evidence may not change their minds.
One of the biggest weaknesses of fascist leaders is they refuse to listen to advice. They’re afraid of appearing weak. They don’t want to acknowledge that other people know more than they do. They’re cognitively irresponsible, they want the authority to declare reality.
One thing you learn when you become an expert in something is how little you know compared to how much there is to know. When you speak to a lot of experts you learn how many other things there are to know and how impossible it would be to be an expert in more than one thing.
Subject matter experts are valuable, we’re much smarter together than we are in isolation. Autocrats never want to admit that. They treat experts as threats to the autocrat’s authority (they are) & try to punish experts or force them to comply with the authoritarian’s “truth.”
You might wonder why Trump would take the time to make an all-caps tweet stating his (apparently very strong) negative feelings about the world's biggest pop star. Trump treats all women as objects (he reifies them): all women are either treasured objects or hated objects.
Women are "treasured objects" when they make Trump look good. Women are "hated objects" when they refuse to capitulate to Trump & make him look bad. He gets in his feelings bigly when a popular, attractive, successful woman defies him. He's truly the smallest man who ever lived.