Buy right – sit tight?
Everybody brainwashes u when u start by reading all WB books
Absolute wrong to imagine that stock will go up 20-30 times in 20 years
U r buying stocks for 1-3 years and if its does well – u r holding it
All you know is bad management and bad history – u don’t know about good management
You can only know bad things about cos or management
A large cos do well – focus on rejecting cos
Meeting management?
U will miss a lot if u trusted management more
I am a friend of investor and not any promoter
Best is to be distant with management
Bull & Bear Market
In bear market: many stocks went zero but allocation was low (that is imp)
Shoring is helpful in bad years (13% of book)
Who is Samir?
Not interested in value stocks
Better to be known as “GARP – Growth at reasonable price”
Connecting dots is more imp than spending time on macros
“Simple logical thinking” more imp than wasting time on macros which not in hand
Advice to Samir from Samir?
Stop buying any turnaround cos
Biggest money lost in cos having receivables from GoI
Never invested in infra
Advice to wannabe investors
Invest in stock market but don't make markets as a pure trading business for living
Should not get into trading by watching TV whole day
Learn to live life & not get bogged full day in trading/ investing
Less is good & focus on time
News Stories: be logical & not dramatic
Yes Bank example: news and news but no logic
hindsight talks are v easy - don't get swayed by it
be cynical and open-minded/ rational
THANK YOU SIR
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Few of my learnings as an investor in 2022. A thread. 🧵
1) Investing is simple but not easy. It is very hard to become a long-term investor. Sometimes, it can be a lonely road especially when your hypothesis gets tested again and again
cont..
2)Watching the screen and trying to assess daily moves can be hugely unproductive if you are a long-term investor. Lot of people sell great businesses looking at the screen
General Q: Why talks of US banning Russia oil imports?
Simple Answer: US does not get impacted economically
Sadly, it is about politics over peace talks/ effort
Fact check: US imports only 3% oil from Russia
US Oil imports from Russia in 2021, at $4.71 billion, is a 45% decline from a decade ago.
Fact check: Now, let us look at US oil exports which increased almost 3,000% due to increase in domestic production brought on by fracking + ended 4-decade-long ban on oil exports, dating back to the Arab Oil Embargo of 1973.
PS: Use ur own wisdom, view on results can vary person to person. I am still learning
Strong results
Ramco Cement
Ebidta/ tonne near 2000
Sales down 4.4% yoy, Ebidta up 49% yoy, Pat up 42% yoy
Volume miss; realisations spiked 17% YoY (a major surprise)
Jefferies: raise FY21 EPS by 60%, retain Rs1,000 PT
TTM PE at 35, 12% roce
Strong results with reasonable valuations
Coromandel Int
Sales down 5% yoy but up 43% qoq
Ebidta up 18% yoy, up 104% qoq
Pat up 17% yoy, up 135% qoq
TTM PE at 16x, 25% roce