Labour's NEC elections are underway & should reveal where our membership stand as new rules are designed so the full spectrum of party opinion is fairly represented (albeit only by 9 of its 40 members). This is my take on the nominations published today…
Only 4 of the 5 slates stand a chance of representation, plus perhaps one independent. Slates may suffer from the loss of transfers if they stand too many candidates, & 24 of the 42 candidates eligible to stand have no hope of election - the threshold should be higher!
Based on noms, the Grassroots Voice (Left) who got all 9 before STV can get 4 but no more. OL (Open Labour, soft left) will get both its 2 candidates. The Right (Labour to Win & Tribune) will get 3. Any independent elected (prob Crispin Flintoff) would be at the left's expense
Uncertainties: Will noms which tend to exaggerate front-runner support turn out to be a good guide? Who'll get the support of those who switched Corbyn-Starmer? Neither Left nor Open Labour are explicitly targeting them (yet). Will slates damage themselves by standing too many?
This is bleak reading for the Left. I think it has the wrong strategy, failing to recognise that 40% of Corbyn supporters voted Starmer, more now accept him whilst some have left the party. We must learn from our mistakes, build coalitions to win the support of party & country
There's no path to electing a transformative socialist government except through a democratic Labour Party. We must build support for that through persuasion, transforming Labour into the broad democratic movement for the transformation the country needs, members & unions united

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More from @jonlansman

Aug 25, 2020
1/4 This is misleading. Gurinder's claim that panels in the last 3 months have dealt with more cases than in any of the previous 3 years is untrue. The statistics published by Jennie Formby show that in 2019 nearly 300 cases were dealt with by panels…
2/4 Recent progress is excellent. But weekly panels were proposed not by the NEC, Keir or his staff but by staff in Governance & Legal Unit, who pre-date Keir's leadership & have been driving through major improvements over the last year with extra staff added under Jennie Formby
3/4 Gurinder shouldn't take credit for the work of Labour Party staff. He should be praising staff and letting members know how hard they've been working, rather than trying to hijack these improvements for his own personal benefit to win votes in the NEC election
Read 4 tweets
May 14, 2020
A good historical piece by Luke Akehurst on the history of Labour General secretaries here. He's right I think that Ken Livingstone backed the right's candidate against Iain McNicol but he doesn't say it concealed a "right-wing" TU rep's vote with the left…
I confess lobbied that time for Iain McNicol who promised to clean up HQ. He did remove 2 "Blairite" AGS's - his rival Chris Lennie + Alicia Kennedy - only to face revolt from party staff in an outbreak of anti-Brownite factionalism…
The party machine McNicol inherited I described back then as "corrupt and rotten". We needed a GS to ensure the party was reinvigorated at its roots, not silenced & squashed, but the leaked report has shown what he & others did when that did happen in 2015…
Read 4 tweets
Apr 8, 2020
Solidarity today, the start of Passover, with Jewish families across the world who would normally come together to celebrate the journey from slavery to freedom. On this night, it will feature not just 10 plagues but the one that will keep families apart for the safety of us all
I hope that our common experience of COVID-19 will help foster a shared commitment to ridding the world of the 10 plagues of Hunger, War, Tyranny, Greed, Poverty, Racism, Abuse, Homophobia, Pollution, & Indifference to human suffering which always feature in My family’s Seders
And also tonight I shall as always be remembering the start of the Warsaw ghetto uprising that began on this night in 1943, reflecting on the ongoing struggle against antisemitism, & wishing that next year will bring peace (and justice) in Jerusalem
Read 4 tweets
Nov 26, 2019
I agree with Chief Rabbi Mirvis: “challenging racism is not a matter of politics, it goes well beyond that. Wherever there is evidence of it... it must be swiftly rooted out. Hateful prejudice is always wrong, whoever the perpetrator, whoever the victim” but it begs questions
(1) how does Rabbi Mirvis respond to the racism of the Tory party and its leader? To talking of piccaninnies with watermelon smiles? Or of women who choose to wear burqas looking like letterboxes. Did he not say "whoever the perpetrator, whoever the victim"?
(2) Does he not think that he above all other Jews has a duty to be balanced in his statements about racism? Is what he said in the Times today balanced in the context of this?
Read 4 tweets
Jul 10, 2019
1/5 Antisemitism in Labour is a serious & complex issue which deserves fair & balanced discussion. But the contents of tonight’s Panorama exposé, some of which I’ve seen as a potential interviewee, suggest that it will fall well short of that
2/5 The party was approached not long ago with accusations. No-one has been asked about what Labour’s NEC has done to combat antisemitism. I declined to be interviewed for the programme because I had no expectation of a fair & balanced conversation
3/5 The director, John Ware, has a history of making anti-Labour documentaries & it seems most interviewees will be ex-Labour staffers from one faction. As a result, it seemed to me like the show will be a one sided hatchet job
Read 5 tweets
Jun 7, 2019
1/5 It’s right to show zero-tolerance towards expressions of antisemitism, but wrong not to recognise contrition & offer the possibility of redemption. I believe Lisa Forbes made a genuine mistake, & is clearly very sorry so I welcome her election
2/5 It’s easy to scroll down your Facebook feed and like a video without reading the long text someone’s written about it. I don’t believe Lisa read it or sought to endorse it. But we all have to be more vigilant on social media, as antisemitic rhetoric is increasingly spreading
3/5 It recently emerged that another MP shared an antisemitic caricature on Facebook some years ago & apologised. He is not from the Corbynite left. There were no calls for him to be suspended from the PLP. Was that because he’s from the Labour right?…
Read 5 tweets

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