I’d like to expand on their mental models with a broad framework for how to categorize NFTs. messari.io/article/the-ar…
1️⃣ Individual NFTs and Collections
Ex: Axies, ENS domains, Trading Cards, Decentraland LAND, digital art
While individual NFTs may accrue notable value based on their utility or scarcity, this may not be the most effective strategy to capitalize on the growth of the NFT sector.
Insurance, derivatives, and other financial products represent a massive market for NFTs and given the speculative nature of crypto is likely to be one of the more immediate use cases.
Governance tokens are one of the most compelling ways to play the sector because they effectively represent an index of the NFTs on a certain platform.
4️⃣ NFT-Related Social Tokens
Ex: , ,
Social tokens backed by NFTs or NFT adjacent categories remain unproven, but encouraging. As crypto moves the world into the “ownership economy”, users will be increasingly rewarded for the value they bring into communities.
In the case of platforms, native protocol tokens will likely accrue more value than any individual items or event tokens, but NFTs can be an integral part of the respective platform ecosystems.
For a deeper analysis of each NFT category and its potential for venture scale returns, check out the full report!
While the world is no longer early to Bitcoin, we're still in the early innings of stablecoins with only 20-30 million monthly active users of stablecoins.
Over the course of the next decade, I expect this number to grow significantly as hundreds of millions of users interact with stablecoins – directly or indirectly – in their daily lives.
Some of the stablecoin opportunities we're excited about:
Great recent newsletter from @artemis__xyz about stablecoin activity.
Some takeaways that I thought were interesting 👇
The on and offramp space, once dominated by Moonpay continues to grow more competitive.
Recently, traditional large fintech Revolut has grown as a leading stablecoin onramp provider.
Exchanges are still key liquidity hubs for specific regions and corridors. For instance, stablecoin remittance activity from U.S. based CEX's like Coinbase and Kraken @Bitso has nearly doubled in 2024.
Stablecoin activity will be most impactful in emerging market corridors like LATAM, South East Asia, and Africa.
Thought provoking essay but I still stand in the fat app thesis camp.
While horizontal wallets certainly capture value today I think Applications will be better positioned than wallets in the future.
Applications will capture more value than horizontal wallets because: 1) Wallet fragmentation will happen. All large apps will launch their own wallets. 2) Every app in the future will be its own wallet capturing order flow and attention. 3) Crypto’s inevitable shift to mobile will favor applications over horizontal wallets.
1) All apps want to own the end user.
Wallets are increasingly commoditized and every sufficiently large app launches its own wallet - Uniswap, Coinbase, Magic Eden, Jupiter, etc.
I also disagree with the statement: “If an application increases its take rate, will users leave for a cheaper alternative?” Apps with retail users are sticky just like wallets are sticky.
The top applications all maintain healthy take rates - Uniswap, Magic Eden, Aave, Jupiter, Raydium.
2) Future apps launch with their own wallets.
There’s a reason we see fewer horizontal wallet companies being built today. New apps (whether consumer or defi) launch with their own wallets by default because of access solutions like Privy and Turnkey. It’s never been easier to integrate a wallet into an app. While horizontal wallets today have an advantage, new apps of the future can onboard users to their wallets directly. Apps like Farcsster are a one good example on this trend- people onboard to Warpcast directly.
Telegram bots are another perfect example of this - they’re first and foremost exchanges / trading apps but have wallets by default. They’ve grown because they offer better products (more social and convenient) that horizontal wallets.
Chain abstraction also arguably decreases the stickiness of Fat Wallets because it gets easier to move asset. Abstraction allows apps to vampire attack horizontal wallets to easily move funds to its own app integrated wallet without the user knowing or caring.
The superpower of crypto is creating new assets and markets.
Now, I try to ask the question – how could this business become an exchange? For certain businesses it’s very clear, but for others, it requires some imagination.
Let’s talk about exchanges, and where to find them 👇
One of the most common and successful business models in crypto is the exchange model which is why we've seen so many companies and protocols eventually adopt the exchange business model.
Exchanges are well-positioned to develop in scenarios were:
- New assets emerge onchain
- Apps control distribution and can introduce transactional behavior
- New services emerge that impact valuable onchain state or are somehow connected to transactions
- Crypto games control their own asset issuance and have open economies
- Developer platforms can introduce service marketplaces or auction houses for transactions
There are a few common crypto business models:
- Exchanges and marketplaces
- Transaction sequencing
- Asset managers
Let's dive into some examples 👇
Exchange Model
Subset 1) marketplace models – fee on transactions
- create a new asset and market (e.g. Polymarket, Perps)
- expand access to emerging asset (Coinbase and BTC)
- convenience fee (wallet swaps)
- SaaS enabled marketplaces – Proof marketplaces
Exchange subset 2): Liquidity servicing - build valuable pool of specialized liquidity and charge acces fee to end app (e.g. hooks) or match-maker fee (e.g. swaps)
- DEXs
- Lending
MEV / Transaction sequencing – own and monetize valuable order flow
- App PFOF (e.g. TG Bots)
- Sequencer model - own sequencer and MEV (e.g. L2)
- SaaS enabled tx sequencing and monitoring - RaaS, RPC providers, security providers, oracles etc.
When combined with new products, tokens – or the promise of tokens – have proven effective at alleviating the cold start problem.
But, networks that launch with a token from the jump, must find PMF in a shortened window amidst inorganic activity or otherwise these networks are just spending tokens for limited upside.
My friend and fellow investor, @howdai27 calls this the “hot start problem” where the presence of a token limits the window of time a startup has to find PMF and gain enough organic traction such that the startup can retain users/liquidity as token rewards diminish.
The hot start problem – launching tokens early and dealing with finding PMF amidst inorganic activity – is favorable to the cold start problem in two scenarios:
1) Startups competing in red ocean markets (markets with a high degree of competition and known demand)
Examples: Second mover defi protocols, Blur vs OpenSea, LRTs, etc.
2) Products and networks with passive-supply side participation
Examples: passive jobs to be done – staking (L1s), providing liquidity, or set-it and forget-it hardware (e.g. DePIN). masonnystrom.com/p/tokenized-ma…