In case you are wondering, the real Maestro Rayo was one of Colombia's most famous artists:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Omar_Rayo

I'm unrelated to him.
My name here makes tribute to the great satire song by @Ariasvilla and @karltroller where Rayo gets sick at a cocktail/exhibition party at an 80s disco.

soundcloud.com/ariasytroller/…
I have no clue if this actually happened but the song is a great summary of (upper class/snob) society in Bogotá in the 80s. I think it hasn't changed that much.
I also enjoy Rayo's art, is very geometrical. Image

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More from @maestro_rayo

19 Nov
Hotspots update. Any hints of endemicity?

1/ Brussels. Unexpectedly, less immunity than other hotspots. Would be interesting to look at data with more granularity (neighborhoods, hospitals vs. care-homes). Curve seems to be stabilizing now and smaller than first though so far.
2/ London. Deaths in Hospital + all cause vs. 5 year average.
3/ Manaus. Não vejo segunda onda.
Read 7 tweets
18 Nov
1/ However disappointing that the Premier (not AT) is talking about restrictions in Sweden, it's interesting that this is still subject to consultation to several "bodies". Also, if it passes:

* Starts on Nov. 24 and for 4 weeks.
* Schools open.
* No limits to private gatherings
2/

* No mask mandates.
* Restaurants and bars open.

I wished we had this type of "lockdown" here.

krisinformation.se/nyheter/2020/n…
3/

Bodies have to give their impressions by tomorrow, 15:00.

regeringen.se/pressmeddeland…
Read 6 tweets
18 Nov
Update: It will *not* be subject to vote in the parliament, but it has been sent to "consultation bodies" for input. They have to give their impressions by tomorrow, 15:00.

regeringen.se/pressmeddeland…
This is because this constitutes an amendment to a previous "forördning". The alcohol ban after 10PM constitutes a new "forördning" and thus apparently may be discussed in parliament?

Again thanks @HaraldofW proud new and busy dad for all help here :)

regeringen.se/4abc0c/content…
This is an example of bodies that have answered this proposal so far. It is refreshing to hear there is at least some democratic process behind these decisions.
Read 4 tweets
1 Nov
1/ Lockdowns aren’t born equal. What are we really expecting to achieve? Another irrelevant thread from yours truly @maestro_rayo and @federicolois
2/ “Bro, you dumb. Of course Lockdowns work!” we have heard, over and over. Also “Lockdowns don’t work at all, bro”. That begs the question. What is “A Lockdown”? What is the goal? How effective are LDs at achieving those goals? And what are the costs and risks?
3/ We know ‘a certain’ respiratory disease is transmitted (mostly) by human to human contact. You heard it, droplets, aerosols. We might fear fomites and zoonotic hosts but let’s stick to “overwhelming majority of transmission is human to human”.
Read 36 tweets
18 Oct
1/ The way I see it there are 4 "schools" on how to respond to this crisis (with a lot of levels in between of course):

1. #ZeroCovid (eradication)
2. Suppression until vaccine
3. Mitigation in parallel to vaccine and treatment development
4. Do nothing
2/ 1 and 4 are extremes. They both have serious flaws. On the one hand humanity has only eradicated very few diseases with very particular characteristics.

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK98114/
3/ On the other hand "do nothing" is not ethical, we must ethically strive to minimize damage caused by the pandemic.

What to do then?
Read 17 tweets

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