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Jeremy Konyndyk Profile picture
@JeremyKonyndyk
Sep 30, 2020 • 13 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Going to try to fact-check what Trump says on COVID.

Wish me luck.
"It is what it is because you are who you are."

Fact-check: Yup, as I told Vox back in March.

vox.com/2020/3/5/21166…
Trump says if the country had listened to Biden, the country "would have been left wide open."

False. Biden didn't speak against the China ban, and when Trump banned EU travel, Biden rightly pointed out that the ban was not a substitute for a plan:
Trump also claims that China is to blame for the virus. As I've written at length, China's bad behavior doesn't explain the US outbreak:
Trump says the bleach comments were made sarcastically. You be the judge.

As for the vaccine timeline, Fauci knows better than Trump.
(Hard to keep up)
Pelosi is not the obstacle to the next round of COVID aid. The House has moved; the Senate hasn't. bizjournals.com/washington/new…
Trump claims that the states that shut down have done poorly.

False. The states that reopened prematurely across the Sun Belt experienced huge surges over the summer. States like NY, NJ, CT that clamped down after early surges have been the best performers. Image
Trump rallies are *not* all outside. ImageImage
Trump claims Biden will close down the whole country.

False. Economic disruption is driven by the virus. What keeps communities closed is the failure to beat the virus. Curtailing the virus - what Trump has utterly failed to do for 9 months - is what will get the country open.
I'm tallying 8 big lies so far on this topic; sure I've missed some.
OK, they're off COVID. Whew.

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More from @JeremyKonyndyk

Jeremy Konyndyk Profile picture
Sep 12
New from us at @RefugeesIntl on famine in Gaza. Key takeaways:

- Parts of Gaza saw famine-like conditions in Feb/March
- Israeli concessions on aid access after ICJ order & WCK strike moved Gaza tenuously back below famine threshold
- Hunger worsening again since Rafah offensive
Since spring there has been a concerted pushback by the Israeli government seeking to cast doubt on the official famine analysis by @theIPCinfo.

Basic argument is that spring famine projections were overblown and therefore risks of future famine should be discounted.
Untangling the reality is important.

A lot of lives are at stake in a sustained famine in Gaza.

And that has major diplomatic and legal implications. The question of responsibility for the humanitarian crisis is key to ICJ & ICC cases, and the UK's recent halt to arms xfers.
Read 17 tweets
Jeremy Konyndyk Profile picture
Aug 12
Striking wording in this carefully-worded statement.

An "embargo" generally means a total ban on arms transfers. Opposing an "arms embargo" leaves the door pretty open to restrictions short of a full embargo.
The main thrust of advocacy on arms transfers Israel has not been a full embargo - it has focused on restricting things like 2000lb bombs and 155mm shells that are causing enormous civilian harm in Gaza.
So in effect this says she's opposed to a totally maximalist position - which could be read to suggest she's open to restrictions that fall short of that.
Read 5 tweets
Jeremy Konyndyk Profile picture
Jul 12
The pier was an expensive, shiny-object solution to a fundamentally political problem: Bibi was restricting aid access and Biden wouldn't deploy real leverage to change that.

The pier was a way to signal action on aid while avoiding the real obstacle.

🧵
This chart shows UN-verified aid & commercial inflows since October. The pier ("JLOTS") barely registers - just small slivers in May and July.
ochaopt.org/content/report…
Image
Vastly more impactful than the pier was the opening of the Erez West crossing into northern Gaza.

Netanyahu only agreed to this under intense US pressure following the World Central Kitchen attack...validating the premise that pressure delivers, while shiny objects don't. Image
Read 15 tweets
Jeremy Konyndyk Profile picture
Jun 17
Just back from a Gaza-focused trip to Egypt/Jordan/Israel.

Key takeaways 🧵:
- Aid push in March/April made progress against famine
- Rafah offensive then wiped out much of that progress
- Huge obstacles remain on access & last-mile distro
- Little progress on aid worker safety
.@JesCMarks and I conducted hours upon hours of extensive interviews with Palestinians who had fled Gaza and (remotely) with others still inside; with staff of aid agencies working in Gaza; with Israeli & Jordanian govts; and with USG humanitarian & diplomatic officials.
We heard credible firsthand accounts consistent with famine conditions in March/April.

But also that the uptick in food deliveries from late March thru April - following the @theIPCinfo famine analysis and ICJ order - then blunted the descent toward famine in the north.
Read 19 tweets
Jeremy Konyndyk Profile picture
May 24
Rishi Sunak staked his leadership on extreme, illegal anti-asylum policies.

This proved to be a legal and political fiasco and ultimately a failure. He is on track to lose in a landslide.

There is a lesson here!

🧵 theguardian.com/politics/artic…
Conventional wisdom across western democracies for the last decade has assumed that performative "toughness" on asylum is a political necessity.

The center/left has accepted this toughness/deterrence framing by the far right, and the debate is over how inhumane to be.
Just look at the border asylum debate in the US, and Biden's reaction to it. He warns of "chaos" and calls for "tougher control."

He has issued questionably legal restrictions on asylum access, and is on the cusp of issuing yet more.
Read 9 tweets
Jeremy Konyndyk Profile picture
Apr 2
There are no words to adequately convey the rage heartbreak of the Israeli govt murdering 7 aid workers.

First and foremost, my deepest condolences and full solidarity with @WCKitchen, @chefjoseandres, and the families of the 7 heroes who gave their lives feeding Gazans.
These were targeted hits on clearly marked humanitarian vehicles whose movement had been cleared with the IDF.

Clearly forbidden under international law. A total violation of IDF's legal obligation to distinguish non-mil objects and protect aid workers.
This is not just a grave IHL violation, it is a clear war crime. Part of a clear pattern of IDF striking humanitarians routinely since early in the war, while refusing refused repeated calls to set up a functional deconfliction system that would actually protect humanitarians.
Read 18 tweets

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