DeLongToday <delongtoday.com> earlier this morning. From the Q&A:
**Q: What did you think about the debate?** A: Back in the 1960s, SF State University President S.I. Hayakawa became a U.S. Senator—briefly—by making sure he controlled the microphone. Chris Wallace... 1/
A (cont): ... committed moderatorial malpractice by not having—and using—a microphone switch. May whoever follows him as a moderator be… less oblivious to the situation.
**Q: What do you think of the "Trump Economy"?** A: About the Trump economy, what is to say? Douglas... 2/
A (cont): ...Holtz-Eakin—who can always be counted to make a much-more-than-fair case for the Republican and paint only rosy-Republican scenario pictures—claims that Trump is a zero: that the good done by the tax cut has been balanced by the bad done by fighting and... 3/
A (cont): ...osing stupid trade wars. I think he’s wrong—about the good part of the tax cut, for his argument requires that savings at full employment be highly elastic with respect to the real interest rate, and I see no evidence for and a lot of evidence against that... 4/
A (cont.): ...claim. But he’s a zero. Everyone else even half reality-based sees Trump’s interventions in the economy as a big minus. Plus there is the disastrous plague control failure—and its economic fallout. 5/
**Q: What do you think about the stimulus debate in congress?** A: Other countries that suppress the virus have a a good chance of having a rapid consumer-led recovery. We do not: our consumer is scared of catching coronavirus, and so is saving a lot for a brighter... 6/
A (cont.): ..less COVID-ridden future. Since the consumer has sat down, either business investment or the government must stand up. Without a plan for getting business investment up, the government and fiscal stimulus is the only thing left. I confess I was genuinely... 7/
A (cont.): ... surprised that the CARES act was not rapidly renewed back last June. Seemed to me the Republicans had every incentive—political, and economic-substantive, to do so. It seems I underestimated the extent to which they really are Hayekians, Schumpeterians... 8/
A (cont.): ...Mellonians, Hooverians—believe that periods of high unemployment and massive small-business bankruptcy are salutary for the system. That was a view I thought went out with Mellon and Schumpeter in the 1930s. Yet it seems to be the default: whatever happens... 9/
A (cont.): ...“the market giveth, the market taketh away; blessed be the name of the market!”
MUCH MOAR (albeit with some mysterious audio static of unknown origin on the LARIS line) at delongtoday.com DeLongToday.
Tune in next week We 2020-10-07 10:00/7:00 EDT/PDT 10/
@terry_renaud@DylanRileyNLR Speaking as a slightly repentant left-neoliberal, much of the Marxist cultural turn was an attempt to build an orrery to explain why Engels's predictions about how the steampower mode of production would educate humanity for socialism went wrong. But, in my view, much of... 1/
@terry_renaud@DylanRileyNLR ...the orrery was unnecessary. The bifurcated world of mass steampower factories growing larger and larger as the ruling and middle classes grew smaller and smaller would have brought Engels's hopes of revolution rich countries much closer. (Whether those revolutions would... 2/
@terry_renaud@DylanRileyNLR ...have had the desired beneficial consequences is a deep issue.) But technology advanced, the mode of production moved on. The Second-Industrial-Revolution mode of production was not the Steampower one. Fordism was not Second-Industrial-Revolution. Global Value-Chain was... 3/
@postdiscipline Yes, the changing technology-driven forces-of-production hardware of society greatly constrain and shape the relations-of-production and superstructural econo-politico-socio-cultural software of society that puts the forces-of-production to work and does the distribution... 1/
@postdiscipline ...and utilization of our common and collective wealth.
Yes, feudal-era forces- and relations-of-production teach people that society is static, hierarchical, with who you are chosen for you by the role ascribed to you; that production is small-scale, handicraft, and... 2/
@postdiscipline ...individually autonomous; and that those who work owe rent to those who protect them and tithes to those who guide them to salvation. Hence the feudal mode-of-production requires that we write feudal-society software to run on top of it.
Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality: It Is Harmful to My Psychological Health for Me to Read David Brooks, & BRIEFLY NOTED for 2023-01-13 Fr braddelong.substack.com/p/it-is-harmfu…
...Do you think that maybe doing your job required telling your readers back at the time, in the early 2000s, that neoliberal supply-side conservatism was played out? Do you think that maybe doing your job required telling your readers back at the time, in the early 2000s... 2/
...that “compassionate conservatism” was very weak and unsatisfactory tea? What conception of “doing your job” do you have that does not include doing those two things in the early 2000s?
Do you think that maybe doing your job required telling your readers back at the... 3/
I think the easiest way to conceptualize what I think of as the major point is to set up a model in which… 1/
…1. The central bank has a target rate of inflation.
2. The rate of inflation is a constant markdown applied to the rate of nominal wage increase.
3. The rate of increase of nominal wages that workers are able to demand, and enforce, is a declining function of the… 2/
...unemployment rate and of the real wage.
In this model, there is a warranted rate of nominal wage increase: the central bank’s inflation target, plus the wedge between price inflation and nominal wage increase. In this model, the natural rate of unemployment is the… 3/
Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality: In Which Long-Time Netizen & Programmer-at-Arms Dave Winer Records a Podcast for Me, Personally braddelong.substack.com/p/in-which-lon…
...“The Fall of the Blogosphere”, by Stable Diffusion, via NightCafe
But since I have a Gutenberg-Galaxy brain, I feed it to text-recognition software <otter.ai>, and then edit the transcript.
But let me first link to a subsequent piece in which Dave muses… 2/
The way I thought of this ten years ago, during the decline and fall, was that it all should work in the way that network communication worked in Vernor Vinge’s amazing mindbending science-fiction space-opera… 3/
I volunteered to write an introduction to the reissue of three of my favorite alternate-history novels: Jo Walton’s “Small Change” series <amazon.com/dp/B08L9GHPDC>
* "Farthing": Publishers Weekly: Starred: “World Fantasy Award–winner Walton (Tooth and Claw) crosses genres… 2/
...without missing a beat with this stunningly powerful alternative history set in 1949…
* Ha’Penny: Publishers Weekly: “This provocative sequel to acclaimed alternate history Farthing (2006) delves deeper into the intrigue and paranoia of 1940s fascist Great Britain… 3/