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AukeHoekstra Profile picture
@AukeHoekstra
Oct 1, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
I have the feeling that this election will not be like others and that Americans don't grasp the enormity of this election.

EVERY MOVE that this president and his party can get away with will be used to CHEAT the majority out of a victory.

NOT every LEGAL move, but EVERY move.
Expect organised riots and intimidation at polling stations. Disqualifying/destroying mail-in ballots. Malfunctioning polling machines. Rows at certain polling stations. Misusing police. Legal loopholes. Online troll armies.

The works.

It's NOT going to be business as usual.
You saw in the last debate how this president behaves when everybody's looking. Imagine what he will do behind the screens.

I studied public administration and most dictatorships where democracies before something like this happened.
I honestly don't think that's hyperbole.
On a lighter note: this might be the only version of the presidential debate that's fun to watch.

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More from @AukeHoekstra

AukeHoekstra Profile picture
Apr 30
Solar PV is growing exponentially at the fastest rate of any energy source in history.

BUT we should stop comparing it to other energy technologies using WATT. (So the picture below from @renew_economy is doing it wrong!)

We should compare in WATT-HOUR!
reneweconomy.com.au/solar-is-now-b…
Image
Put differently: we should take the CAPACITY FACTOR into account.

For example: imagine we install 1 kilowatt-peak of solar (that's 2 or 3 solar panels).

How much kWh per hour will that produce on average?

If 1 kW produces 0.25 kWh/h on average,
the capacity factor is 25%.
And that means, we have to install 2 kW of solar to achieve the same as 1 kW of coal and up to 4 kW to achieve the same as nuclear.

In Europe, offshore wind can have a capacity factor of up to 50% and PV can be as low as 10%.
stout.com/en/insights/co…
Image
Read 4 tweets
AukeHoekstra Profile picture
Apr 14
Five of the Fossil Fuel Industry's Biggest Disinformation Tactics

@guardian article by @WesterveltAmy and @kylepope

Very recognizable for me too, so allow me to summarize the five points and add some observations/examples.
theguardian.com/us-news/2024/a…
1 "FF provides Energy Security"

In reality FF cause(d)(s) many INsecurities.

From the climate crisis, to "Dutch disease", to the end of democracy in Iran, to the war in Ukraine. [My examples]

Renewables are not scarce and last forever.
That sounds more secure to me. Image
2 "You must choose the economy or the environment"

The article gives great examples of this claim.
I hear it daily.

But the reality is that speeding up the transition to renewable SAVES money. Yes, really.

Don't be fooled by their delaying tactics!
cell.com/joule/pdf/S254…
Image
Read 6 tweets
AukeHoekstra Profile picture
Apr 13
The European Union just came out with an official report:
REAL-WORLD emissions versus the new WLTP cycle.

The results are
*UNBELIEVABLE!!*

PHEVs emit on average
THREE AND A HALF TIMES MORE
than the official test claims!
climate-energy.eea.europa.eu/topics/transpo…
Image
Remember my complaints about @Toyota's misinformation claiming PHEV's are better than full EV's because they need smaller batteries?

Well, @Toyota actually scores WORSE than average with a gap of OVER FOUR TIMES the official value.

(Although their cars are more frugal.) Image
Researchers know since 2012 or so that EU tests are bollox and only useful as an illustration of "regulatory capture".

In my texts explaining how to calculate CO2 emissions I refer to it as "Error 4" (of 6).


sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
researchgate.net/publication/37…
Image
Read 10 tweets
AukeHoekstra Profile picture
Apr 12
GEOTHERMAL
Just saw a fascinating webinar and you should too if geothermal interests you.


It explains how techniques from fracking are creating a game-changer in the last few years that can reduce the cost of energy systems without fossil fuels.

🧵
Image
The webinar by prof. Roland Horne from @Stanford is about Enhanced Geothermal Systems or EGS that he defines as using fracking to make the area between the infusion and extraction well permeable for water. Image
He focuses on @fervoenergy, a company founded by two @Stanford alumni (one from his program) that has for the first time in history used the horizontal boring technique from fracking in geothermal.
Image
Image
Read 12 tweets
AukeHoekstra Profile picture
Apr 5
OVERsupply for lithium batteries is looming!

It will bring battery prices down, helping the transition to EVs and clean energy, but create headaches for the lithium industry

Let me give some perspective, showing the long term trend is clear and e.g. @Toyota should be ashamed
🧵
This eviscerates the last credibility of @Toyota regarding EVs.

They (esp. Gill Pratt) have been pushing the story we should buy their hybrids instead of full EVs because lithium batteries are and will stay the bottleneck

BNEF shows that's simply untrue
The energy transition is the largest project in the history of humanity. OFF COURSE there will be some hickups when developing new industries.

But we should stop freaking out anytime some false doom prophet provides clickbait to push their agenda.
Read 10 tweets
AukeHoekstra Profile picture
Mar 23
How to look at our impact on life on earth in 3 graphs:

1) Humans are just 0.01% of all biomass. (The graph is gorgeous!)

2) Humans + domesticated animals have almost completely displaced wild mammals.

3) We use 45% of habitable land for agriculture.
I *love* how well this graph was designed and how well it shows how small we are in the grand scheme of things.

Fun facts:
- Life is 0.00001% of the earth by weight
- Earth is 0.0003% of the weight of the sun

So we are insignificant right?
Well...
weforum.org/agenda/2021/08…
If we look at the mammals at the top of the food chain the opposite is true: we have completely taken over.
(ht@bennettpeer - other source unknown) Image
Read 5 tweets

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