Well here it is.

R0 for SARS-CoV-2 estimated at between 4.7 and 11, taking into consideration superspreading.

royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rs…
Image
Sanche way back said 2.5 to 3.5 but probably double when considering asymptomatics.
I said not to bother debating with droplet people ...

To note, higher numbers not new. Estimates of R0 for SARS-CoV-2 in the early days. Depends on how calc'd. Image
Here is ref:

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32052846/

Sorry had to dig it up.
From the original article:

Left: cases grow faster once superspreading starts.

Right: what percentage of spread is attributable to superspreading. Zero until it starts, then high, settling down at about 80% (note: that's what articles have said). Image
To note, R0 from contact tracing different from R0 calculated from physical things like virus shedding.

In fig, contact tracing says R0=2, but everything else 4 and up (that's using Ebola-like parameters).

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P… Image
Oh look. Another. R0=12.

"A computation of R_e(t) is provided using mean parameters. The point estimate of the basic reproduction number is approximately 12."

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…

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More from @jmcrookston

Oct 14
@ExtroSpecteur I presume he is saying airborne mitigations should be equally alongside touch or droplet.

No, there is no evidence for any. As I keep saying, but happy to say again, for thousands of years people flipflopped between "it's touch" and "it floats but generates in swamps because ...
@ExtroSpecteur ... they did not understand pathogens. Once they did, referring to respiratory illness, they simply assumed it was droplet because most infections can be traced to an infected having been near the index case. Droplet became an idea with Chapin in 1910, to explain why one needed..
@ExtroSpecteur ...to be close. However, first, their idea of droplet was not necessarily 2 metres. Their idea of airborne was many kilometers, so their discussion of close has to be understood in this context. Two, their investigations were crude, by the 30s air people like Wells
Read 15 tweets
Oct 4
Rasmussen saying she always believed in aerosols oh come on now 🤡
2021 Image
Read 19 tweets
Sep 4
Another one for the pile.

Call me in two years when you haven't heard anything at all about this vaccine.

And how would it be administered. We take shots every morning?

We have nasal vaccines for flu btw. Still have flu.
But hey 250,000 views. If I wanted to sell books I might post stuff like this. 🤷
Hey here are some other ideas:

sun entering cooling phase which should obviate climate change.

Just bang the like button. That's all we're here for I guess. Let's all be irresponsible. 🤷
Read 6 tweets
Aug 18
It's always funny to me that virologists get everything and transmission so wrong. I guess because they work with viruses they think they know everything about them. 🤷

The sad part is we would assume that because they work with viruses they know everything about them. Image
*everything about
Virologists don't really work on transmission. Maybe sometimes they spin a tub and flip some in the air or something. But they don't really know what's going on. And then the doctors know the biological clinical side of things but they don't work on transmission either.
Read 14 tweets
Jun 8
COVID-19 took measles out back and absolutely SHOT IT DEAD.

1 sick player infected 100% OF BOTH HOCKEY TEAMS - 42 people - then another 102 spectators.

172 people in total.

You can watch it sweep the first team then the second team then the stands in the epi curves.

Wow.
A few sick kids at a doctor's office?

Pfft, measles, get out of here you weakly-transmitting pathetic cold of a virus. Even pre-vax you weren't doing this.

SARS-CoV-2 is absolutely mind-blowingly transmissible.
Read 10 tweets
May 8
Imma help you with this "science speak"
Just remember the ladder of denial and elite panic myth means if you are hearing a 2 it's a 4. If a 4 it's a 6. If a 6 pack your bags. You'll never hear 8 and up the TV will just play static

Read 15 tweets

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