Personal Update: After a journey of learnings of decades compressed in few years, I am moving on from Pantomath. As the saying goes ‘I am not sad that it is over. I am happy that it has happened'. Today, I enable myself to paint on my life’s canvas, a future the way I want to 🤞
Happy to share the PMS performance which has done reasonably well…thanks to #APIs#Chemical#Platform businesses. Thank you @pantomath_group for giving me a chance.
I will take this opportunity to share a few key learnings over the last few years. There have been many, but a sharing the few which have helped me be a better investor....
Learning #1
Rejection is more important than selection (“kya nahin lena hain” is more imp than “kya lena hain”). The agony and financial pain of a wrong investment can be far higher than the joy of a successful one. Make ur own framework as a process & follow it religiously.
Learning #2
“Focus on doing less mistakes rather than thinking about returns, money will be made on its own” (some “hope trades” or “bade-investor-ne-liya trades” or “big turnaround hoga” or “jaldi paisa banega trades” can take away all good things done in your portfolio)
- Learning #3
“Historical data is more important than any excel future projections” (Focus on finding “good companies” backed with historical data (good promoters, high roce, low debt, controlled working cap) rather than just doing excel projections on a co with no sound history
Learning #4
"In Value-investing, you will always make money slowly and steadily but surely”. It is okay to be in companies where stocks don’t move daily, and/or are not discussed on TV/social media. Keep the faith on data.
Learning #5
“Paisa jaldi kamana hain ya zyada” Choice is yours. Keep it simple & adhere to process always. A lot of money gets lost in being adventurous or buying things based on hearsay which gives faaltu ka loss. Stop this asap – and u will be amazed at the results that follow
Learning #6
“Doing less is good for investment”. We are not rocket scientists, but ones who ride on a good corporates hard work. Find a great business run by a great businesswoman/man – track it - don’t make projections daily based on the stock price fluctuations
Learning #7
A lot of macros are not in our hand...it is good as a topic to chat but honestly we should focus on micros (valuations). You are here not to be "right or wrong" but to "make money". Valuations adds it all.
To my twitter family - Stay connected, because the journey of learning and investing continues unabated. I am fully charged up to do more & more research which is what I love.
🤗🤗🤗🤗
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Few of my learnings as an investor in 2022. A thread. 🧵
1) Investing is simple but not easy. It is very hard to become a long-term investor. Sometimes, it can be a lonely road especially when your hypothesis gets tested again and again
cont..
2)Watching the screen and trying to assess daily moves can be hugely unproductive if you are a long-term investor. Lot of people sell great businesses looking at the screen
General Q: Why talks of US banning Russia oil imports?
Simple Answer: US does not get impacted economically
Sadly, it is about politics over peace talks/ effort
Fact check: US imports only 3% oil from Russia
US Oil imports from Russia in 2021, at $4.71 billion, is a 45% decline from a decade ago.
Fact check: Now, let us look at US oil exports which increased almost 3,000% due to increase in domestic production brought on by fracking + ended 4-decade-long ban on oil exports, dating back to the Arab Oil Embargo of 1973.
PS: Use ur own wisdom, view on results can vary person to person. I am still learning
Strong results
Ramco Cement
Ebidta/ tonne near 2000
Sales down 4.4% yoy, Ebidta up 49% yoy, Pat up 42% yoy
Volume miss; realisations spiked 17% YoY (a major surprise)
Jefferies: raise FY21 EPS by 60%, retain Rs1,000 PT
TTM PE at 35, 12% roce
Strong results with reasonable valuations
Coromandel Int
Sales down 5% yoy but up 43% qoq
Ebidta up 18% yoy, up 104% qoq
Pat up 17% yoy, up 135% qoq
TTM PE at 16x, 25% roce