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Michael McDonald Profile picture
@ElectProject
Oct 2, 2020 • 6 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
#earlyvote morning update 10/2

At least 2.4 million people have voted in the 2020 general election electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202… Image
MN weekly and PA daily updates loaded. Now at least 2.6 million voted in the 2020 general election electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…
WI daily #earlyvote update posted. Just shy of at least 2.7 million voted in the 2020 general election electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…
IA, IL, and MI #earlyvote updates posted. At least 2.75 million people have voted in the 2020 general election electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…
Today's PA update did not have any data for returned ballots. I'm reverting to yesterday's report
NJ daily #earlyvote update posted. Now at least 2.8 million people have voted in the 2020 general election electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…

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More from @ElectProject

Michael McDonald Profile picture
Aug 30
Mark was kind to provide me with the GA file the AJC obtained for this story. One of the striking things I saw was the rise in "17.5" registrations -- young people who will be 18 by November but are still 17
We should expect younger and more diverse voters to continue to register before Election Day. It happens every election! This is one of the reasons why I've thought polls that sample from voter registration files may be under-estimating Harris by a point
The thousands of GA 17.5 registrants aren't active voters yet -- but they will be. Unless a pollster specifically requests the pending list like the AJC, they won't have them. Even if you did, their identifying information is redacted because they are minors
Read 4 tweets
Michael McDonald Profile picture
Jul 30
After long ramblings and multiple Ingraham prompts Trump finally says why Christians won't have to vote again:

1) He'll "fix the country" with new voting laws
2) People will love "us" (Republicans? He wouldn't be able to run again)
Now there are premises here that are false. Trump says Christians don't vote but religious people -- particularly those who attend church frequently -- have higher turnout rates
The laws: Trump wants voter id (federal and state laws already require it), wants only citizens to vote (ditto: federal and state law restricts voting to citizens, the little noncitizen voting is infrequent clerical errors), vote on paper (states already do this)...
Read 6 tweets
Michael McDonald Profile picture
Sep 18, 2023
National Voter Registration Day is upon us, and so it is time for my annual screed against voter registration
First, we don't need voter registration. North Dakota doesn't have it, you just need id to vote. This is how most developed democracies manage their voter rolls, with the important exception their governments give national id cards to everyone without additional costs
This is why I support a national voter identification card, that the government provides everyone at no cost. usatoday.com/story/opinion/…
Read 8 tweets
Michael McDonald Profile picture
May 16, 2023
Impossible to defeat the front running candidate without criticizing him
DeSantis’s Super-PAC Never Back Down is essentially a grift to take money from one uber-wealthy donor - Bigelow
The next Ocean’s movie idea: a rag tag band of con men steal tens of millions from an unsuspecting billionaire by convincing him a worthless candidate can win
Read 4 tweets
Michael McDonald Profile picture
May 10, 2023
Appears some of these charges against George Santos are similar to allegations of Herschel Walker redirecting campaign funds to a personal company thedailybeast.com/emails-reveal-…
From the Santos charges of allegations of him redirecting campaign donations to a personal company... Image
In this nexus of corruption is Tina Forte, who ran against AOC. There are false credit card transactions that mysteriously showed up in her campaign. The connection is Santos's campaign treasurer Nancy Marks. Expect to hear more about her motherjones.com/politics/2023/…
Read 7 tweets
Michael McDonald Profile picture
May 3, 2023
I posted updated graphics and statistics for demographic turnout rates calculated from the Current Population Survey to include 2022 electproject.org/election-data/…
(For the election nerds, these turnout rates differ from the Census Bureau tables in that I make a weight adjustment for the 17% of respondents who did not answer the CPS voting and registration supplement, and for vote over-report bias found in all surveys)
The electorate overall had the highest share of non-Hispanic Whites since 2014. Midterm elections tend to see a whiter electorate, although 2018 was a bit of an aberration. I fully expect to see a sizable drop in the White share of the electorate in 2024 compared to 2022 Image
Read 10 tweets

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