Based on data from clinical trials in the UK, this suggests that he has about a 23-26% mortality risk, depending on whether he received dexamethasone. nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
And based on my clinical experience, I and many other physicians across the country are quite concerned.
(Caveat: we haven't examined him. We have however seen lots and lots of patients like him.)
Even if he survives, he likely faces weeks of recovery .... and possibly long-term consequences to his lungs, heart, and other organs. (Even Boris Johnson took a month to get better!)
It is of course possible that the experimental drugs he received, combined with luck, will result in a quick recovery. And 3/4 of patients receiving O2 do not die.
But: we need to be honest about where we are at, and what we should be preparing for as a country.
I wish him and our country strength and good luck in the weeks to come.
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So.... I'm going to start a series of polls about TRUTHS about #vaccines in general, and the #COVID19 vaccine in particular. Please feel free to play along :)
I read the @Transition46 plan for #covid19 last week with what can only be described as relief.
At last, here are ALL THE THINGS we know will work to reduce spread of this virus. Here's all the science, attention to equity, attention to planning. 🎉 nytimes.com/2021/01/18/opi…
Here is the attention to manufacturing and supplies.
"For almost a year now, healthcare workers have been at the frontline fighting the #covid19 pandemic... but the vaccine isn't going to address the #mentalhealth effects of this grueling pandemic on HCWs"
🚨 Today, while our country is in the midst of turmoil, I received notice that the White House is proposing to cut firearm injury prevention research funding.