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Colin Yeo

Oct 4, 2020 • 6 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X

https://twitter.com/ColinYeo1/status/1312059434437410824?s=20

1/ Some quick thoughts on the Priti Patel proposals. First, remember around 3/4 refugees reaching the UK are genuine refugees according to Home Office stats and the number of claims fell last year. Real problem is delay in Home Office decision making:

https://twitter.com/ColinYeo1/status/1312059434437410824?s=20

2/ Patel’s plans look like a tired rehash of the New Labour years. They are certainly not new. ‘One stop’ appeals were introduced by Immigration and Asylum Act 1999. My first job was at Oakington ‘reception’ centre in 2000...

3/ Judges are already instructed to doubt claims of asylum seekers travelling through safe countries by section 8 of the Asylum and Immigration (Treatment of Claimants etc) Act 2004...

4/ We cannot remove asylum seekers to a third country without that country’s consent and I assume she’s not proposing we send refugees back to be persecuted in their country of origin because of their means of travel here.

5/ The stuff on safe routes is welcome but what would be more welcome is if she actually reopened the resettlement scheme she closed down.

6/ Basically it looks like a return to the performative law making of New Labour. But this time the numbers are lower, far more are recognised as genuine refugees and the UK has jettisoned the idea of co-operating with EU neighbours, making returns to safe countries impossible.

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More from @ColinYeo1

Colin Yeo

@ColinYeo1

May 10

1. Abandoning the Rwanda scheme would be a massive win for the Home Office. The department has limited budget, staff, time and energy. For years that has been frittered away on developing and implementing ideas that are not just impractical but actually make the situation worse.

2. The latest version of the Rwanda scheme involves declaring all asylum claims 'inadmissible' and a legal ban on refugee status being granted. Unless tens of thousands of asylum seekers can be removed to Rwanda then it creates a perma-backlog of asylum claims.

3. There are direct and indirect costs. We hear a lot about direct costs but the indirect ones are very important too. The direct cost is the perma-backlog, which is hugely expensive in money, staffing, management, barges, etc. As well as the terrible politics of asylum hotels.

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Colin Yeo

@ColinYeo1

Apr 23

🧵 1. The Illegal Migration Act prohibits any person arriving illegally after 7 March 2023 from being granted asylum or legal status. One of three things can happen to them: (a) be removed to a third country, (b) voluntarily depart to their own country or (c) stay in the UK with no legal status.

2. Voluntary departures likely to be tiny. So unless no. of removals to Rwanda is equal to or greater than number of new arrivals, there will be an ever-growing perma-backlog of asylum seekers who can never be granted status. More people will enter the backlog than leave it.

3. No-one thinks more than a couple of thousand of people a year can ever be removed to Rwanda, if that. So new arrivals have to reduce from c.70-80k per year to around c.2k per year or less.

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Colin Yeo

@ColinYeo1

Feb 21

1. I don’t think preventing care workers bringing their family will cause a shortage of care workers. I agree with @alanmanning4 and @robfordmancs on this. Plenty will still want to come here without family.

2. It is possible the average profile of care workers might change from women with partners and children to women or men without dependent children or partners. Not likely though.

3. The countries of origin may change. Some countries from which care workers traditionally originate have a long tradition of emigration for work and sending remittances home to families.

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Colin Yeo

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Dec 22, 2023

1. I don’t know about you but I’m totally exhausted. Doesn’t help that I’ve been bed-ridden for most of the last week, admittedly. The recent government “climbdown” on the minimum income rule for spouses and partners is a good illustration of why I’m so, so tired of it all.

2. The pattern is a deliberately or incompetently over-egged govt announcement which is so stupid or outrageous it will have a calamitous effect. Outcry and reality intervene. The government “compromises”. But the new plan is still a terrible one.

3. It looks to the media like a government climbdown and a victory for the campaigners. That’s the story. They move on. All the energy goes out of the campaign. We’re stuck with the compromise, no matter how terrible it is.

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Colin Yeo

@ColinYeo1

Sep 26, 2023

1. When Braverman (and many others) claims that refugees who passed through safe countries aren’t real refugees, she is arguing those safe countries should do more than they do already. Think about it in the real world for a moment.

2. In the UK we receive VERY few refugees compared to, say, France and Germany. Never mind Poland or Turkey or further away. Are we seriously telling those countries to “step up” or whatever, while we do so little?

3. And what are those countries supposed to do anyway? Detain refugees to prevent their onward movement? Accept transfer from us even though they already receive far, far more refugees than us?

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