Someone asked if I could explain the various treatments which have been proposed for COVID-19. This is just my take and you may find some doctors disagree. Lots of research still ongoing - much of the world leading work is taking place in the UK funded by @NIHRresearch. 1/14
Hydroxychloroquine: Normally used to treat malaria and some types of arthritis. Was in early investigation in the Hong Kong SARS epidemic ten years ago. Huge hopes pinned on this drug but @NIHRresearch RECOVERY trial shows no benefit in COVID-19. Prevention trials ongoing. 2/14
Dexamethsone: A simple steroid drug widely used in many diseases. Shown in @NIHRresearch RECOVERY trial to improve survival for respiratory failure due to COVID-19 (i.e. severe cases only). Probably acts by reducing lung inflammation. 3/14
Hydrocortisone: Another widely used steroid drug. @NIHRresearch funded @remap_cap trial suggests benefit in ICU patients but this signal weaker than dexamethasone. May help the systemic (whole body) inflammation we see in critical (life threatening) illness. 4/14
Ventilation: For very severe cases where patients cannot breathe without a machine. Patients are sedated and a tube placed in their windpipe connecting them to a ventilator. High-burden but life sustaining treatment. Needs highly trained nurses. Only used in intensive care. 5/14
CPAP: For moderately severe cases where patients struggle to breathe. Patients stay awake and wear a tight mask connecting them to a machine which increases the air pressure in their lungs. Needs well trained nurses. Can be life saving. 6/14
Prone ventilation: For patients with severe breathing problems already needing CPAP or ventilation. Quite simply, patients lie (or are turned) on their front. This helps the way their lungs work and improves blood oxygen levels. Useful tool but not always needed or helpful. 7/14
Remdesivir: Anti-viral drug developed to treat Ebola. Re-tasked for COVID-19. Evidence suggests modest benefit and shorter periods of symptoms but nothing close to benefits of dexamethasone. Expensive and in short supply but I have prescribed this week to @NHSuk patients. 8/14
Anticoagulation: Various drugs in this group. Blood clots happen in critical illness but more in COVID-19. Medical terms are deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism. Latter can be fatal. These blood thinning drugs prevent clots forming. We are using them more in COVID. 9/14
Vitamin D: Good old fashioned vitamin. Deficiency widespread and linked to poor health. Many believe it could prevent or treat COVID. May help but evidence not there yet (trials ongoing). However, a good thing to supplement in any case and very safe at recommended doses. 10/14
Tociluzimab: Used to treat inflammatory arthritis and other immune disorders. Suppresses immune system. COVID (and all critical illness) cause whole-body inflammation so many think it may help. Historically, no such drug has worked. Should only be used in clinical trials. 11/14
JAK inhibitors: Another powerful anti-inflammatory drug which some hope will prevent the 'cytokine storm' of COVID. Emotive term describing the whole-body inflammation we see in critical illness. In decades of research, no drug has prevented this. Clinical trials ongoing. 12/14
Vaccines: Self-explanatory. The end-game. Many in development. Several clinical trials will run over the next few months in the UK. Not my field but I hear that coronaviruses are not the easiest pathogen to develop a vaccine against. Beware bold promises. Be very patient. 13/14
Scores of other 'cures' are proposed. A few may help, most are wacky, some frankly dangerous. There is NO cure for COVID but a few drugs may help. Science didn't get easier just because things got urgent. It is doing the basics well which will save most lives. 14/14
...omitted to mention convalescent plasma and other antibody therapies. We are testing these in clinical trials at the moment. Mixed views amongst scientists about the likely benefit but we should definitely wait for trial results before drawing firm conclusions. 15/14
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COVID Sitrep: Only a short update as on call this weekend with this amazing team covering covid ICU. TLDR: Things may be settling but the work is far from over. 1/8
Lots of talk this week about new covid infections hitting a plateau. This is probably driven by children going back to school. So not ideal, but better than the rebound peak we feared would happen after New Year. 2/8
New hospital admissions continue to fall but slowly. A large proportion of these are those 'incidental' covid patients admitted for other 'usual' medical problems not covid disease. 3/8
COVID sitrep: Some positive news to report this week. We are definitely feeling a fall in NHS hospital and ICU admissions with covid in London this week. The rest of the UK should see a similar pattern in the coming days. This below appeared on our ICU board this week! 1/10
As mentioned in previous weeks, being confident we are past the peak is a big deal for the NHS. Every day things get a little easier, a little simpler. We can do more ‘usual’ NHS work. We can get back to clearing the backlog of surgery and other patient care. 2/10
The colours on the national map are getting lighter every week which reassures us that the number of new infections continues to fall in most areas of the UK. 3/10
COVID sitrep: Lots of topics to choose from this week. Good news is we have probably passed the peak in new COVID-19 infections in several UK regions. This week’s map (right) is not so dark. But what will happen next is not so clear. A thread from the NHS perspective. 1/12
All eyes have been on London as the first UK region to get hit by the omicron variant. Cases seem to have peaked both in younger and older people (light blue line=<60yrs, dark blue line=60+ yrs). But we aren’t sure whether new case rates will fall quickly or plateau out. 2/12
Why so cautious when others seem confident cases are falling? Well, passing the peak defines the NHS response. When we know we are past the worst we stop planning extra covid capacity, re-focus on the patients we have, and plan more routine NHS work. A big shift in strategy. 3/12
First COVID sitrep of the New Year: The number of omicron variant COVID-19 infections remains extremely high in the UK and still far higher than anything we have seen up until last month. Here’s what’s happening in the NHS… 1/14
London was the first UK region to get hit by the omicron variant before spreading across the country. This week’s million dollar question is whether new infections have peaked in London. Many say yes, but it seems too early to be sure…. 2/14
…and being sure we are past the peak is a key moment in the NHS response to each wave. Once we *know* we are past the worst, we can stop planning extra covid capacity, we can re-focus on the patients we have, and all the other routine NHS work. This makes a big difference. 3/14
COVID sitrep for New Year’s Eve: The wave of omicron variant COVID-19 infections continues to spread around the world. Hospital admissions are rising across the UK but there are important differences to earlier waves…. 1/12
This omicron variant seems to spread much more easily. Infection rates are smashing all previous records. 189,000 ‘cases’ yesterday. Yes, we are testing a lot more people, but the proportion who test positive is also going up (blue line in graph). 2/12
The big discussion now is how harmful the omicron variant might be. Lots of reports of high rates of ‘incidental’ infections in hospital - patients testing positive for coronavirus who were admitted to hospital for a different illness. So what’s happening on the ground? 3/12
COVID sitrep for Christmas Eve: The huge wave of COVID-19 infections, driven by the new omicron variant, is spreading across the country. Hospital admissions are now rising in London but the good news is we think things won’t be as bad as last winter. 1/12 bbc.co.uk/news/uk-597587…
The wave of infections with SARS CoV-2 is simply huge, passing 100,000 ‘cases’ two days in a row and way in excess of the previous record peak of 81,000 in January 2021. Yesterday 119,000 people tested positive 2/12
Before anyone suggests it, this is NOT simply because we are doing more tests. Firstly, the proportion of tests done which are positive has increased too (blue line in graph). Secondly, people get tested for a reason - symptoms or a covid contact – it’s not random behaviour. 3/12