BREAKING: Trump has filed emergency request at US Supreme Court to keep his accountant/tax records from NY Grand Jury.

This is the second round of appeals of the case he lost in July, when SCOTUS rejected “total immunity” argument and instructed him to make ordinary arguments.
First line of argument grasping for reason to appeal case:

“This Court rarely denies review when a President seeks certiorari. And it has never denied review when a President claims that he is being subjected to unlawful legal process.”

In short: Hear it because he’s President.
SCOTUS already determined this was not unlawful legal process. District and Second Circuit courts said the same—twice. Trump got his first case heard at SCOTUS because he is President; every justice rejected his “total immunity” argument. Are they really going to hear it again?
Kind of bizarre argument here:

“SCOTUS told President to raise further arguments as appropriate. That’s what the President did. But the district court was unwilling to accept that the President was entitled to pursue these claims on remand.”
Basically arguing that the lower courts didn’t accept that Trump was entitled to pursue these arguments simply because it *rejected* his arguments. Not really making sense.
“Second Circuit failed to even address the President’s argument that the district court erred by treating his claims as an attempt to relitigate immunity.”

Trump’s lawyers ignoring Second Circuit saw nonsensical nature of arg above and didn’t take it up because it made no sense.
It’s confusing (because the wording of Trump’s position is convoluted).

But what they are arguing is:

- SCOTUS told us to make argument

- We made argument

- Lower court said our argument just restated our earlier argument

- Second Circuit didn’t address that
But what *happened* was:

- SCOTUS told them to make argument

- They made argument but just said many of same facts they said in SCOTUS case, didn’t present any new ones

- Lower court said you didn’t even really make new argument

- Second Circuit agreed
One big problem here: they need four votes to secure hearing. Alito, Thomas almost certain to vote for that. Justice Kavanaugh likely as well, IMO.

Surprisingly, I also think Justice Breyer may do the same. He was very concerned about the Presidential office in the first case.

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More from @robertjdenault

15 Oct
NYT: US Intelligence believes the Burisma “emails” released today are forged and part of a Kremlin-GRU attempt to influence the election.
Not surprising to many but glad to see NYT getting Intel folks to comment about fears the Burisma hack is connected to chatter about an “October surprise” and possible forgeries.
So people see for themselves: Image
Read 4 tweets
13 Oct
NYT article criticizing folks asking “Who loaned Trump $421 million?” is weird. Citizens are aware loans came from Deutsche Bank.

Deutsche is a Russian laundromat. It is logical to question $421 million in Trump loans—especially after NYT reported Trump’s finances were awful.
Deutsche in particular has been creative in how it launders money. They created a mirror trading scheme between Moscow and London to launder money by stock trades. NYT always stresses there’s no formal Russia connection yet.

But to assail people for raising questions? Weird.
The NYT is correct in asserting the debt is still owned by Deutsche. But NYT also reported suspicious activity between Trump/Kushner accounts and Russian individuals; $46 million in Trump accounts from shady licensing deals; weird real estate sales between oligarchs and Trump.
Read 9 tweets
8 Oct
NEW: extremist group in Michigan wanted to hold a “treason” trial and murder Governor Gretchen Whitmer.
The group is called “Wolverine Watchmen.” MI has charged other members outside the 6 charged by the feds for attempted terrorism and felony possession charges. The group discussed annihilating the country in order to “conquer it” and “take it back.”
To clarify: MI is charging for support of terrorist acts; feds charging for different crimes.
Read 4 tweets
7 Oct
This is a QAnon dogwhistle. I wanted to believe Tebow was genuine; instead he says we need to “stop young boys and girls from being sent around the world.” Human trafficking affects ADULTS and children. It is forced prostitution, not some crazy child kidnapping conspiracy.
Kids can be trafficked and it is horrific. But how do we justify sudden conservative interest in “human trafficking” when it *ignores* what trafficking is? It is men forcing women to have sex, for money or other reasons. It can involve minors; it often doesn’t. Why rewrite it?
In *yet another* disservice to adult WOMEN who have suffered throughout history at the hands of traffickers, conservatives are suddenly interested in the plight of trafficking because they theorize it involves children, denigrates liberals, and is “being stopped” by Trump.
Read 9 tweets
7 Oct
BREAKING: The Second Circuit rejects Trump’s second (and final) appeal to block transmission of his financial documents, including accountant and tax records, to the Manhattan DA. Trump will likely appeal to SCOTUS.
The court was unanimous. While the Supreme Court could take up Trump’s appeal, it seems unlikely. There aren’t a lot of hard issues of law here.
“The direction of the subpoena to the President’s accountant, rather than to the President himself ... relieves the President of the burden of being responsible for compliance, thus freeing the President from obligations that might otherwise interfere with his duties of office.”
Read 4 tweets
4 Oct
Hillary Clinton’s national lead on this exact date in 2016: 14 points.

Do not get complacent. Do not trust the polls. Every vote will count.
If you’re in the mentions talking about why these are better polls or pointing out differences, ask yourself why. The only reason to argue with this is if you *want* the polls to be right so you feel better.

I get it. We want to win. But stop doing that. Just do the work.
But for those of you bickering saying I’m wrong:
cnn.com/2016/10/23/pol…
Read 5 tweets

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