I predict Trump wins based on data I’ve seen

It will be a close race, Trump might lose, but the outcome is not a foregone conclusion
This chart is a big reason

Major pro-Republican swing in voter registration patterns in swing states
Also, have a listen to this NYT podcast about how life long generational Democrats view Trump

Seeing alot of enthusiasm among Trump voters

No excitement for Biden/Harris, just anti-Trump

We’ll see, I think Pennsylvania is key

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Gummi Bear

Gummi Bear Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @gummibear737

11 Oct
My Fauci Deep Dive

America's most famous public health expert:
-Exalted deity to some
-Embodiment of evil to others

What's the truth?

It's complicated...

It starts slow, but boy does it get good

Please RT this first tweet if you learned something new and interesting

Any retrospective on Fauci has to start in the 1980's with the arrival of HIV/AIDS

A trained immunologist, he was named director of the National Institute for Allergens and Infections Disease (NAIAD) in 1984, and has held this position since (36 yrs)

AIDS was his first test

2 Image
Initially, Fauci was the target for the frustration of the Gay community which was being disproportionately affected by AIDS

Many were dying and treatments were not coming fast enough

Larry Kramer famously penned this critique of Fauci: villagevoice.com/2020/05/28/an-…

3 Image
Read 34 tweets
9 Oct
Hey NYC, congratulations!

You’ve most likely reached herd immunity

These lockdowns are asinine...not necessary to close Broadway

I’ll prove it

First, you’re testing like maniacs and you can’t find new cases

Other cities around the world are finding plenty of cases

Second, hardly anybody is being hospitalized

You’re averaging 30-40 daily hospitalizations for the past two and a half months

This is not because NYCers have become mask ninjas

Third, you’re averaging about five deaths per day for the last two and a half months

Again, NYCers haven’t become ninja social distancers...ninja social justice warrior is more like it

Read 6 tweets
7 Oct
Since @lpachter insists on repeated hit jobs on @MLevitt_NP2013, I thought I would look at some of the wisdom that Lior lays out in this thread

Unfortunately for Lior, I was in the middle of looking through NIAID project funding for 2020

Let's see how he did

So @MLevitt_NP2013 was replying to this tweet by me about how much funding the NIAID received relative to the impact that allergens and infectious disease have on mortality in the US

Dr. Levitt replied that people should not be surprised by this (I am)

In my tweet, I specified that NIAID received the "most money for their projects"

I never said funding or budget

According to the NIH Reporter, the NIAID has spent the largest amount on their active projects

link: projectreporter.nih.gov/reporter_summa…

$700 mil more than cancer

Read 13 tweets
1 Oct
I find this hit-job on @MLevitt_NP2013 unacceptable

@lpachter behaves as if he is the arbiter of truth and that he is right and Dr. Levitt is wrong

Dr. Levitt has made some wrong predictions, and he’s owned up to them - see unherd interview

But he ignores the correct prediction of burnout at 500-800 deaths/million which is currently being proven correct in Sweden

I take great offense to this type of hateful dehumanization of your opponents

Lior could have respectfully disagreed and made the same arguments

Instead, he transformed himself into the righteous keeper of truth and Dr. Levitt into an evil science denier

I can not imagine more egregious behavior in the scientific community

Lior, shame on you

Your career will forever be tarnished by this despicable smear

Read 6 tweets
28 Sep
Wasn’t planning on doing a mask deep-dive

No interest in reading contradicting studies + no RCTs

But I found a better approach: my journey

Let’s start with thread where I said masks work and are responsible for difference in Covid-19 in Asia vs West

This was my first model

Wow, masks are working great in China!

Read 10 tweets
25 Sep
Did you know that ICTV-CSG which is the authority on classifying and naming new viruses initially concluded that SARS-CoV-2 was NOT a novel virus?

Ralph Baric would know, he’s an expert

But, this figure didn’t make it to final publication☹️


1/3 Image
And then there’s this article from 2008 which makes reference to SARS-CoV1, SARS-CoV2, SARS-CoV3 which are made from SARS-CoV: Accession number AY864806

Don’t look at 1,2,3 - That’s just what they call different samples in the study

Look at AY864806

AY864806 took me to this article - it appears there were 115 genomes for SARS-CoV - each with an accession number

Maybe an expert can explain this for me

Question: Why have all these accession numbers disappeared?

Link Article

Link: IVTV database

3/3 Image
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!